John's Feed
May 21, 2014
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Chinese real estate is in real trouble

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s property market is built on a vicious triangle. There are three ways the pressures building in the real estate industry could show: shrinking investment, disappearing funding for developers, and lower prices. Though they’re all related, the effects and remedies are different.

May 13, 2014
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China’s other e-commerce giant is priced to go

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By John Foley
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Being second has its advantages. JD.com, China’s number two e-commerce company, has set an indicative range for its initial public offering that values it at around $23 billion. That’s far behind the $100 billion-plus price tag attached to rival Alibaba. But it leaves room for a decent performance.

May 9, 2014
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Big Ad merger sorely misjudged its audience

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Publicis Omnicom has gone the way of New Coke and Microsoft Zune – ideas that looked great on paper, but sorely misjudged their audiences. The merger of the two advertising agencies was called off after it became clear the deal couldn’t be completed in a reasonable time frame, the two said on May 9.

May 9, 2014
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Alibaba finance arm better out than in for IPO

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Alibaba’s secret weapon is its payment division. Yet Alipay isn’t part of the Chinese e-commerce company’s upcoming initial public offering. The company is “conceptually” thinking about reuniting them, according to people familiar with the situation. But the status quo, however strange, looks better.

May 7, 2014
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Alibaba’s big reveal: high growth, odd governance

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

There are two things to know about Alibaba, which filed for an initial public offering in New York on May 6. First, China’s dominant e-commerce company is huge, and could be even bigger. Second, new investors will have little say in how it is run – the founders are keeping a firm grip.

Apr 24, 2014
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China’s state firm shakeup gets it only half right

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Private shareholders could bring discipline to China’s 150,000 or so state owned enterprises. There’s no question the companies, which generate a return on assets about half that of private sector rivals, need the help. Recent shake-ups at CITIC Group and Sinopec have set the ball rolling. But for real efficiency, SOEs need to pay market rates for debt as well as equity.

Apr 24, 2014
via Breakingviews

China’s state firm shakeup gets it only half right

Photo

By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Private shareholders could bring discipline to China’s 150,000 or so state owned enterprises. There’s no question the companies, which generate a return on assets about half that of private sector rivals, need the help. Recent shake-ups at CITIC Group and Sinopec have set the ball rolling. But for real efficiency, SOEs need to pay market rates for debt as well as equity.

Apr 22, 2014
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Graft purges don’t hurt shareholders – insiders do

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China Resources chairman Song Lin has been sacked for disciplinary violations, leaving an empire with $150 billion in assets leaderless. Though China’s state-company bosses will quake in their loafers, the damage to investors looks manageable. The real problem is a wider culture that treats outside shareholders as an afterthought.

Apr 22, 2014
via Breakingviews

Graft purges don’t hurt shareholders – insiders do

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China Resources chairman Song Lin has been sacked for disciplinary violations, leaving an empire with $150 billion in assets leaderless. Though China’s state-company bosses will quake in their loafers, the damage to investors looks manageable. The real problem is a wider culture that treats outside shareholders as an afterthought.

Apr 10, 2014
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Time to bust China’s “omniscient regulator” myth

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s clever bureaucrats can no more guarantee the health of the country’s financial system than they can see through walls. It is time to bust the myth of the “omniscient regulator”.