Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
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Oct 31, 2014

EIA study removes final barrier to U.S. oil exports: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 31 (Reuters) – Gasoline prices in all parts of
the United States are tied to Brent rather than the domestic
crude oil benchmark WTI, according to a detailed study published
on Thursday by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

The EIA study removes the last principled objection to
lifting the ban on U.S. crude oil exports – namely that it would
lift domestic oil prices and through them the cost of filling up
at the pump.

Oct 30, 2014

US manufacturing renaissance proves elusive despite cheap gas: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 30 (Reuters) – According to many commentators,
cheap natural gas is producing a renaissance in U.S.
manufacturing and putting European competitors at a
disadvantage.

But empirical studies show the impact has been small and
concentrated in a handful of energy-intensive industries that
account for only a small share of manufacturing value-added.

Oct 30, 2014

Why Britain will not suffer blackouts this winter: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 30 (Reuters) – “If you can keep your head when
all about you are losing theirs and blaming it on you,” is the
famous opening line of a poem by Rudyard Kipling that was once
voted Britain’s favourite verse.

Published at the start of the 20th century, when Britain’s
empire was at its greatest extent, “If” captures the country’s
self-image as phlegmatic and unflappable.

Oct 27, 2014

Canadian power producers want to keep U.S. border open: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – “In a very real sense, the North American electricity market is borderless,” Canada’s electric industry wrote to U.S. energy regulators last month.

There are more than 35 high-voltage connections across the border. Another six lines will be in service by the end of the decade or are planned, the Canadian Electricity Association wrote to the U.S. Department of Energy, which is currently conducting the first Quadrennial Energy Review.

Oct 27, 2014

Divided by shale, only some U.S. states win: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) – Thanks to shale, energy-producing
states have been the strongest economic performers in the United
States over the past decade, sharply improving their position
compared with the energy-consuming states.

Only 13 of the 50 states produced more energy than they
consumed in 2010, the latest year for which comprehensive data
is available, according to the U.S. Energy Information
Administration (EIA).

Oct 23, 2014

History of controls on U.S. oil exports: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 23 (Reuters) – On Oct. 20, 1973, King Faisal of
Saudi Arabia imposed a total embargo on oil shipments to the
United States among other countries in response to their support
for Israel during the Arab-Israeli war.

Faisal’s decision led directly to the introduction of a ban
on U.S. crude exports, which remains in force in a slightly
modified form and is now the focus of an intense struggle for
reform.

Oct 21, 2014

Congressional study questions embargo-era oil policies: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) – Lifting restrictions on U.S.
crude oil exports could actually lower fuel prices for U.S.
motorists and other consumers by contributing to a drop in world
oil prices, according to a report from an influential
congressional watchdog released on Monday.

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) also recommended
that the U.S. Department of Energy review the size of the
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to ensure it remains
appropriate as net oil imports fall.

Oct 17, 2014

EU wants market-led response to any Russian gas crisis: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) – “A price increase is not a supply
crisis and not a justification for intervening in the market
under the pretext of security of supply,” the European
Commission warned member states on Thursday as it outlined how
markets would be effected if gas deliveries are cut this winter
as a result of the dispute between Russia and Ukraine.

Gas prices could double as a result of a shutdown in transit
shipments, according to the International Energy Agency, but the
European Commission insists they must be allowed to rise to
promote fuel switching and reduce non-essential demand as well
as attract additional LNG cargoes to replace lost supplies from
Russia.

Oct 16, 2014

Prices, time, expectations: the oil market’s fuzzy price floor: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) – How far do oil prices need to
fall to curb the investment in shale production and stem the
destruction of demand?

As the price of benchmark Brent has plummeted almost 30
percent from $114 per barrel in June to just $83 this week,
stunned producers and traders have been left trying to predict
how much further prices will fall before finding some sort of
floor.

Oct 15, 2014

Oil market proves mightier than OPEC: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) – There is nothing remotely
surprising about the sharp fall in oil prices over the last four
months, except perhaps the timing.

The fundamental forces driving prices lower (rising supply
outside OPEC from shale and sluggish demand growth as result of
conservation and substitution) have been clearly visible for at
least two years.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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