Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
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Jul 27, 2015

Hedge funds are most bearish on U.S. oil since 2010: Kemp

LONDON, July 27 (Reuters) – Hedge funds are more bearish
about the outlook for U.S. oil prices than at any time for
almost five years, according to data from the U.S. Commodity
Futures Trading Commission.

Hedge funds and other money managers had a net long position
in WTI-linked futures and options equivalent to just 118 million
barrels of oil on July 21, down from a recent high of 294
million barrels 11 weeks earlier (link.reuters.com/pug35w).

Jul 24, 2015

U.S. SPR oil sale before strategic review would be a mistake: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – “The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is not an ATM,” Lisa Murkowski, chair of the Energy and Natural Resources Committee warned the Senate this week. “It is certainly not the petty cash drawer for Congress.”

The senator from Alaska was criticizing a proposal to sell 101 million barrels of crude from the government’s stocks to offset a shortfall in funding in the highway trust fund.

Jul 24, 2015

U.S. oil imports rise, WTI contango deepens: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – Futures prices are making it increasingly profitable to store surplus crude in the United States, coinciding with a strong period of oil imports and a further build up of already swollen stockpiles.

WTI crude futures prices imply the market is paying more than 61 cents per month to cover the cost of financing and storing oil at the Cushing delivery hub during the fourth quarter of 2015.

Jul 22, 2015

North Dakota oil well completions slow sharply: Kemp

LONDON, July 22 (Reuters) – No new well completion reports
have been filed in North Dakota since July 10, the longest gap
this year, according to daily activity records published by the
state’s Department of Mineral Resources (DMR).

Completions, rather than wells drilled, provide the best
guide to short-term changes in output, since operators can
always delay completing a well and putting it into production,
either because they are waiting for completion crews to be
available or to wait for better prices.

Jul 21, 2015

California drivers pay dearly for refinery problems: Kemp

LONDON, July 21 (Reuters) – California motorists are paying
$1 per gallon more for gasoline than drivers in the rest of the
country as problems at state refineries leave the state fuel
market unusually tight.

The average price of gasoline sold in the state was $3.95
per gallon on Monday, compared with a nationwide average of
$2.89, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration
(link.reuters.com/xyx25w).

Jul 20, 2015

Hedge funds turn unusually bearish on oil: Kemp

LONDON, July 20 (Reuters) – Hedge funds and other money
managers have rarely been so bearish about the outlook for oil
prices, according to the latest positioning data from the U.S.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Hedge funds boosted short positions in futures and options
linked to the price of U.S. crude to 138 million barrels by July
14, from 84 million four weeks earlier. Over the same period,
they cut long positions from 340 million to 292 million barrels.

Jul 17, 2015

Crude spreads remain firm in the face of “massive oversupply”: Kemp

LONDON, July 17 (Reuters) – The oil market was massively
oversupplied in the second quarter and remains so today, the
International Energy Agency (IEA) wrote in its latest monthly
oil market report.

“The market’s ability to absorb that oversupply is unlikely
to last. Onshore storage space is limited. So is the tanker
fleet. New refineries do not get built every day. Something has
to give,” the agency warned starkly.

Jul 16, 2015

Iran’s possible oil production response post-sanctions: Kemp

LONDON, July 16 (Reuters) – Iran could increase its oil
production by up to 1 million barrels per day within 12 months
of sanctions being lifted, provided it can find buyers for the
crude.

In 2014, the country produced an average of just over 1,350
barrels per day (bpd) per well, from 2,280 wells, according to
the OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin (link.reuters.com/xes25w).

Jul 15, 2015

Iran needs time and favourable conditions to boost oil output: Kemp

LONDON, July 15 (Reuters) – Iran has big ambitions to
increase oil and gas production once sanctions are lifted but a
substantial increase in exports is probably years away.

The country has the world’s fourth-largest proved reserves
of crude oil (behind Venezuela, Saudi Arabia and Canada) and the
largest proved reserves of natural gas (ahead of Qatar and
Russia), according to BP.

Jul 13, 2015

North Dakota’s oil output stabilises but does not fall: Kemp

LONDON, July 13 (Reuters) – Crude oil production data
published by the state of North Dakota on Friday contained
something for both bulls and bears.

Bears can point to the unexpected resilience of shale
production in the face of lower oil prices while bulls can point
to the fact that production is no longer growing after five
years of tremendous gains.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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