Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
John's Feed
Oct 27, 2014

Canadian power producers want to keep U.S. border open: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – “In a very real sense, the North American electricity market is borderless,” Canada’s electric industry wrote to U.S. energy regulators last month.

There are more than 35 high-voltage connections across the border. Another six lines will be in service by the end of the decade or are planned, the Canadian Electricity Association wrote to the U.S. Department of Energy, which is currently conducting the first Quadrennial Energy Review.

Oct 27, 2014

Divided by shale, only some U.S. states win: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) – Thanks to shale, energy-producing
states have been the strongest economic performers in the United
States over the past decade, sharply improving their position
compared with the energy-consuming states.

Only 13 of the 50 states produced more energy than they
consumed in 2010, the latest year for which comprehensive data
is available, according to the U.S. Energy Information
Administration (EIA).

Oct 23, 2014

History of controls on U.S. oil exports: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 23 (Reuters) – On Oct. 20, 1973, King Faisal of
Saudi Arabia imposed a total embargo on oil shipments to the
United States among other countries in response to their support
for Israel during the Arab-Israeli war.

Faisal’s decision led directly to the introduction of a ban
on U.S. crude exports, which remains in force in a slightly
modified form and is now the focus of an intense struggle for

Oct 21, 2014

Congressional study questions embargo-era oil policies: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) – Lifting restrictions on U.S.
crude oil exports could actually lower fuel prices for U.S.
motorists and other consumers by contributing to a drop in world
oil prices, according to a report from an influential
congressional watchdog released on Monday.

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) also recommended
that the U.S. Department of Energy review the size of the
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to ensure it remains
appropriate as net oil imports fall.

Oct 17, 2014

EU wants market-led response to any Russian gas crisis: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) – “A price increase is not a supply
crisis and not a justification for intervening in the market
under the pretext of security of supply,” the European
Commission warned member states on Thursday as it outlined how
markets would be effected if gas deliveries are cut this winter
as a result of the dispute between Russia and Ukraine.

Gas prices could double as a result of a shutdown in transit
shipments, according to the International Energy Agency, but the
European Commission insists they must be allowed to rise to
promote fuel switching and reduce non-essential demand as well
as attract additional LNG cargoes to replace lost supplies from

Oct 16, 2014

Prices, time, expectations: the oil market’s fuzzy price floor: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) – How far do oil prices need to
fall to curb the investment in shale production and stem the
destruction of demand?

As the price of benchmark Brent has plummeted almost 30
percent from $114 per barrel in June to just $83 this week,
stunned producers and traders have been left trying to predict
how much further prices will fall before finding some sort of

Oct 15, 2014

Oil market proves mightier than OPEC: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) – There is nothing remotely
surprising about the sharp fall in oil prices over the last four
months, except perhaps the timing.

The fundamental forces driving prices lower (rising supply
outside OPEC from shale and sluggish demand growth as result of
conservation and substitution) have been clearly visible for at
least two years.

Oct 14, 2014

The Saudi oil enigma: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) – “I cannot forecast to you the
action of Russia. It is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an
enigma,” Winston Churchill told his listeners in a radio
broadcast in October 1939.

Much the same can be said about Saudi Arabia – one of the
most compulsively secretive countries in the world at the start
of the 21st century.

Oct 10, 2014

Oil producers enter supercycle’s dark side: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) – Oil producers are getting another
brutal reminder that theirs is a business characterised by long,
deep price cycles.

Benchmark Brent futures have dropped below $90 a
barrel, the lowest level since December 2010, but that actually
understates the extent of the damage.

Oct 10, 2014

New definitions needed for condensate and gas liquids: Kemp

LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) – “A rose by any other name would
smell as sweet,” William Shakespeare wrote in “Romeo and
Juliet”. But he was not working for the U.S. government and
trying to define what constitutes condensate and natural gas

A simple and workable definition might have baffled even the
undisputed master of the English language.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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