Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
John's Feed
Oct 1, 2014

U.S. power grid survived polar vortex, but only just: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – The U.S. power industry survived its toughest test in years in January when lights and heaters stayed on even as the polar vortex swept over the country. But it was a close run thing, as regulators revealed in a new report published on Tuesday.

According to the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), power system operators “successfully maintained reliability” during the coldest winter temperatures since 1997 through a combination of training, preparation and emergency tools to manage generation and demand. (“Polar Vortex Review” Sep 30)

Sep 30, 2014

Free trade in crude oil is in U.S. interests: Kemp

LONDON, Sept 30 (Reuters) – U.S. oil refiners have been
among the biggest beneficiaries of free trade in the last
decade, so it is ironic some continue to lobby hard to maintain
the protectionist ban on crude exports.

Domestic consumption of oil-based products fell by just over
2 million barrels per day (b/d) between 2005 and 2013, according
to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Sep 29, 2014

Time for a good sweating in the oil market: Kemp

LONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters) – U.S. demand for petroleum
products has experienced an unprecedented and broad-based
decline over the last eight years as soaring oil prices have
forced consumers to become more efficient and seek cheaper

Consumption of oil-based products has fallen in every major
category – from gasoline, diesel and jet kerosene to heating
oil, fuel oil, petrochemical feedstock, petroleum coke and
asphalt, according to the U.S. Energy Information

Sep 26, 2014

Airlines fly slower to cut fuel bill: Kemp

LONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) – Higher oil prices have had a
traumatic effect on U.S. airlines, forcing carriers to
re-examine every aspect of the way they do business in a bid to
control costs.

Between 2002 and 2012, the price of jet fuel quadruped from
70 cents per gallon to over $3. Fuel bills rose from 15 percent
to more than 40 percent of the total operating costs of U.S.
airlines to become their single largest operating expense.

Sep 24, 2014

Energy efficiency – bigger than shale: Kemp

LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) – The United States is
experiencing the largest and most sustained drop in oil demand
since the start of the petroleum era in 1859 thanks to
improvements in efficiency and the switch to alternative fuels.

Quietly and almost unnoticed by most commentators,
efficiency and fuel switching are making an even bigger
contribution to the North American energy revolution than
hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling.

Sep 22, 2014

In search for security, China’s navy enters Strait of Hormuz: Kemp

LONDON, Sept 22 (Reuters) – Bandar Abbas, home of Iran’s
navy and the main port in the strategically important Strait of
Hormuz, is currently hosting two Chinese naval vessels on a
five-day goodwill visit, underlining the increasingly warm
relationship between the two countries.

It is the first such port call to Iran by the People’s
Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) and highlights the efforts both
China and Iran are making to counterbalance the power of the
United States in the Middle East and along the sea lanes
connecting the oil fields of the Gulf with major
energy-consuming centres in Asia.

Sep 18, 2014

Record output, exports amid U.S. condensate boom: Kemp

LONDON (Reuters) – Natural gas liquids are the fastest-growing section of the U.S. oil and gas business, with production and exports setting new records in the second quarter of 2014, according to government statistics.

The business attracts far less attention than crude oil or natural gas because of the bewildering array of definitions employed when talking about natural gas liquids and the patchwork of fragmentary statistics on their production.

Aug 29, 2014

Why the shale revolution is not about to end: Kemp

LONDON, Aug 29 (Reuters) – Doubts about the sustainability
of the North American oil and gas boom centre on rapidly
declining output from many shale wells after they are initially

Shale sceptics point to the need to drill an ever-increasing
number of new holes just to replace the declining output from
existing wells, let alone expand production. At some point it
will become impossible to keep up, they argue.

Aug 28, 2014

Free cash flow says little about the future of shale: Kemp

LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) – The independent companies at the
forefront of the U.S. shale boom will finally earn enough from
selling oil and gas to cover their capital expenditures next
year, for the first time since 2008.

Free cash flow, which measures operating cash flow minus
capital spending, for the 25 leading independent oil and gas
producers is expected to show a surplus of $2.4 billion in 2015,
according to a consensus forecast in the Financial Times.

Aug 28, 2014

Joint petroleum development in the South China Sea: Kemp

LONDON, Aug 27 (Reuters) – Shared development of oil, gas
and possibly other natural resources is the most promising
option for reducing tensions in the South China Sea and should
be the focus of efforts to improve diplomatic relations between
China and its coastal neighbours.

Joint development agreements (JDAs) are already common
across Asia. Most of the countries with a disputed claim in the
South China Sea have signed at least one joint agreement to
explore for oil and gas, either in the South China Sea or in
neighbouring areas like the Gulf of Thailand and the East China
Sea, so there are plenty of precedents to draw on.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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