Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
John's Feed
Jun 28, 2013

British power supply faces close-run thing in 2015: Kemp

LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) – For a few hours in the dark,
cold winter evenings between October 2015 and March 2016,
Britain’s National Grid may come uncomfortably close to being
forced to disconnect some electricity customers as demand
exceeds supply.

Before resorting to disconnections, the grid operator and
the power utilities will do everything possible to keep the
lights on – reducing customer voltages, ordering generators to
run flat out and introducing emergency restrictions on
electricity exports to France and Ireland.

Jun 27, 2013

Shale boom will not stop with the US: Kemp

LONDON, June 27 (Reuters) – The success of the shale
revolution will be slow to replicate outside the United States
because of limited access to drilling equipment and skilled
personnel, according to influential oil analyst Leonardo

Maugeri has produced a thoughtful assessment of the U.S. oil
industry. But he is too pessimistic about the potential for
shale production in the rest of the world and its role in
restraining medium-term and long-term oil prices.

Jun 26, 2013

Shale, the unfinished revolution: John Kemp

GENEVA, June 26 (Reuters) – Shale has revolutionised oil and
gas supply and the global political balance in less than five
years, transforming the narrative from one about “peak energy”
into a story about managing abundance.

The revolution stems from the application of two mature
technologies (horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing) in a
new context to unlock oil and gas from well known rock
formations that were previously impossible to tap because of
their low permeability.

Jun 24, 2013

Breathing new life into climate policy: Kemp

LONDON, June 24 (Reuters) – Shale has killed climate policy.
Now the International Energy Agency is trying to bring it back
to life.

Following the shale revolution, policymakers can no longer
count on peaking oil and gas supplies and soaring fuel prices to
save the world from potentially catastrophic climate change.

Jun 20, 2013

Overcoming objections to smart electricity tariffs: Kemp

LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) – By the end of 2015, more than 70
million smart electricity meters will have been installed across
the United States.

Britain, Australia and other countries have also embraced
the concept of a smart grid, with smart metering at its core,
though the rollout of the actual meters is further behind.

Jun 18, 2013

Shale hampers diesel maximisation: John Kemp

LONDON, June 18 (Reuters) – U.S. refiners’ efforts to boost
output of diesel and other middle distillates, now the most
profitable products from oil refining, are being complicated by
soaring production of shale crudes.

In 2012 distillate fuel oil accounted for a record 29
percent of output from U.S. refineries, up from less than 22
percent in 1993.

Jun 17, 2013

U.S. shale forces adjustment in Saudi oil prices: Kemp

LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) – Even without a relaxation of the
ban on U.S. crude oil exports, the ripples of the shale
revolution have already reached Asia.

Nowhere is that more obvious than in changes it has forced
in the official selling prices Saudi Arabia charges to its

Jun 13, 2013

Centrica buys an option on Britain’s shale future: Kemp

LONDON, June 13 (Reuters) – Britain’s shale gas industry
remains more of a concept than reality. But Centrica’s decision
to buy a stake in one of the most promising tracts provides the
capital, technical expertise and political muscle to move to the
next stage of development.

Centrica announced Thursday that it has bought a 25
percent stake in Petroleum Exploration and Development Licence
(PEDL) 165 which covers the Bowland shale in Lancashire, from
Cuadrilla Resources and AJ Lucas.

Jun 12, 2013

Shale wells and methane emissions: Kemp

LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) – Shale gas supporters say it can
cut greenhouse emissions by replacing dirtier fuels such as
coal, but critics warn it is worsening climate change due to
methane leaks from shale wells.

Because methane is so much more potent than carbon dioxide as
a greenhouse gas, even small emissions can have a huge impact.
Depending on the time horizon, 1 tonne of methane has the same
global warming potential as 25-72 tonnes of carbon dioxide,
according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Jun 11, 2013

Shale estimates cement shift from oil to gas: Kemp

LONDON, June 11 (Reuters) – The shale revolution is likely
to have a far bigger effect on the global gas market than on oil
supplies, entrenching the long-term price advantage of gas,
according to new data from the Energy Information Administration

Shale will extend recoverable oil resources by only 11
percent but boost recoverable gas resources by 47 percent,
according to the agency’s report on “Technically recoverable
shale oil and gas resources: an assessment of 137 shale
formations in 41 countries outside the United States”.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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