Oilfield jobs boom in U.S. despite recession: John Kemp
LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) – Jobs related to oil and gas
drilling account for more than one in eight of all net new
nonfarm jobs in the United States since 2003, and almost one in
five in the private sector, according to an analysis of data
from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Oil and gas drilling is one of the fastest growing sectors
of employment, as near-record prices spur a massive expansion in
activity and employment.
Drilling boom heralds big oil output rise: John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 31 (Reuters) – Soaring oil prices have spurred a
worldwide drilling boom that should result in much-faster growth
in oil production over the next 2-3 years, helping meet strong
growth in consumption, and tempering upward pressure on prices.
The number of rotary rigs drilling for oil and gas stands at
the highest level for over two decades, according to oilfield
services company Baker Hughes.
Ebbing oil prices point to market shift: John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 28 (Reuters) – For all the bullish talk about
tight supplies next year if the global economy skirts renewed
recession, and occasional sharp short-covering rallies,
benchmark oil prices are softening.
In the past six months, each of a series of sharp
short-covering rallies has pushed the front-month Brent futures
contract to peak at a lower level than the previous one:
$127 on April 11, $126 on April 28, $121 on June 15, $120 on
Aug. 1, $116 on Sept. 8, $114 on Oct. 14 and now $112 on Oct.
27.
American Dream turns to gloom: John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 25 (Reuters) – U.S. consumers have given up
hopes of a recovery, according to the gloomy findings of the
Conference Board’s regular survey, in a sign recessionary forces
are still gathering momentum and the economy is set to slow
further in the next few months.
Consumers who expect their total household income to shrink
in the next six months (19.2 percent) outnumber those who expect
it to rise (10.3 percent) by almost two-to-one. The negative
balance (-8.9 percentage points) is the worst since
February-April 2009, when the economy was contracting.
Households are far more pessimistic than in the aftermath of
earlier recessions ().
Controlling inflation is key to UK growth: John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) – Britain’s inflation performance
is much worse than that of the other advanced economies and
rapid price rises are more widespread than officials are
comfortable admitting in public.
A surging inflation rate is recognised as a problem
everywhere but at the Bank of England — where officials
stubbornly insist the phenomenon is a “one shot spike”, that is
“very temporary”.
Is fracking set to transform the oil market? John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 12 (Reuters) – Hydraulic fracturing and
horizontal drilling revolutionised the natural gas market,
unlocking huge quantities of previous unrecoverable reserves
trapped in tight rock formations.
The question is whether they are about to do the same for
oil — unlocking billions of barrels of crude trapped in similar
rock forms, and thereby upending forecasts about increasing oil
scarcity and steeply rising prices.
Oil market lurches from exuberance to panic: John Kemp
LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) – Oil markets have swung from
irrational exuberance in the first half of the year to
increasingly irrational pessimism in recent weeks.
Participants risk exaggerating the risk of a deep and
prolonged recession hitting demand in both the advanced
economies and emerging markets.
Time is most important fundamental of all: John Kemp
LONDON (Reuters) – The most important fundamental in commodity markets is not supply, demand, inventories or spare capacity but the passage of time itself.
Successful traders learn time is the most important influence on their profits. Not just in the simple sense of picking peaks and troughs but on the cost of holding positions and time’s impact on all the other variables affecting prices (investment in new capacity, demand destruction and stock building).
Real indicators point to continued US stagnation: Kemp
LONDON, Sept 27 (Reuters) – According to the Wikileaks
diplomatic cables, China’s powerful Vice-Premier Li Keqiang told
the American ambassador he paid little attention to official
data on industrial production and GDP — preferring to focus on
railroad cargo volumes, power consumption and bank loans as more
reliable metrics for growth.
Unlike China’s notoriously unreliable data, the United
States spends more than $100 million a year on data collection
and analysis by the Bureau of the Economic Analysis and the
Census Bureau, and has the most comprehensive, timely and
accurate macro data among the advanced economies.
Commodity markets reveal their wild side: John Kemp
LONDON (Reuters) – Commodities suffered the equivalent of a meteorite strike last Thursday and Friday.
Macro fears triggered an extraordinary plunge across a broad range of futures, with over-extended markets routed amid an acute lack of liquidity and the need to raise cash.

