Senior Market Analyst, Commodities and Energy
John's Feed
Nov 14, 2014

Oil market is trapped in a negative bubble: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 14 (Reuters) – The best way to think about the
dramatic slide in oil prices over the last five months, Brent
has fallen by more than 30 percent, is that the market is caught
in a negative bubble.

The downward lurch in oil prices over such a short space of
time is the mirror image of the price spike in the first half of
2008.

Nov 14, 2014

Saudi oil policy needs better communications: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 14 (Reuters) – “As a result of the fall in
demand and the rise in non-OPEC supplies, we recognised too late
that oil was overpriced, that it had reached an unwarrantably
high level, destroying the state of virtual equilibrium between
supply and demand,” the Saudi oil minister told his audience.

The recent sharp drop in prices had not been good for either
producers or consumers, he explained. “Neither … can plan with
confidence for long-term energy production, investment and
consumption … What the oil industry badly needs is price
stability in the long term.”

Nov 13, 2014

For China, pollution and climate change are not the same problem: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 13 (Reuters) – Beijing is one of the most
polluted cities in China, according to official statistics.

Every time China hosts a major international event the
government has to take extraordinary measures to clean up the
air and avoid suffocating its prominent guests in a dangerous
choking smog.

Nov 12, 2014

Will the Saudis drive U.S. shale out of business? Kemp

LONDON, Nov 12 (Reuters) – There has always been a close
link between U.S. oil production, international prices and OPEC,
so it should come as no surprise that North America’s shale
drillers find themselves locked in a battle with Saudi Arabia
over prices and market share.

Until the 1950s, the United States accounted for more than
half of all global oil production. Big finds such as Oklahoma’s
Glenn Pool (1905) and the East Texas field (1930) drove oil
price changes around the rest of the world.

Nov 12, 2014

U.S.-China climate statement is no breakthrough: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 12 (Reuters) – The joint statement by the United
States and China on climate change, issued on Wednesday, is more
important for its political and diplomatic symbolism than any
practical effect it might have in reducing emissions.

The statement reiterates policies China and the United
States have been developing on their own and contains no new
binding limits on greenhouse emissions.

Nov 10, 2014

China’s Silk Road challenges U.S. dominance in Asia: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) – “The Silk Road, no longer just a
concept in history books, has evolved into a story of modern
logistics and Sino-European cooperation,” Yang Jiechi, China’s
top diplomat, told a conference this month.

The New Silk Road Economic Belt – from China across Central
Asia and Russia to Europe – and the 21st Century Maritime Silk
Road – through the Malacca Strait to India, the Middle East and
East Africa – have become the centrepiece of China’s economic
diplomacy.

Nov 6, 2014

U.S. Clean Power Plan poses risks to electricity reliability: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) – The Environmental Protection
Agency’s (EPA) Clean Power Plan could harm the reliability of
the power grid and may need to be modified before it is
finalised.

In an initial review released on Wednesday, the North
American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) assessed how
proposed limits on greenhouse emissions from existing
fossil-fuelled power stations would affect the reliability of
the bulk power system (“Potential reliability impacts of EPA’s
proposed clean power plan”, Nov 5).

Nov 6, 2014

U.S. crude export controls are crumbling: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) – In the three months ending in
August, the United States and Canada swapped a record amount of
crude oil with each other, one of the more bizarre consequences
of outdated U.S. export controls.

Because U.S. oil producers cannot export crude oil to any
other country, crude is sent north to refineries in Canada, even
if it would make more sense to ship it to refineries in Europe,
Latin America or Asia.

Nov 4, 2014

Saudi Arabia is not declaring a volume war (yet): Kemp

LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) – Saudi Aramco cut the price of
December crude deliveries to U.S. refiners on Monday in order to
protect its competitiveness amid an erosion of its U.S. market
share by rival exporters such as Canada and Iraq.

In August, U.S. crude imports from Saudi Arabia slipped
below 900,000 barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy
Information Administration.

Nov 3, 2014

Why Argentina is most attractive shale play outside US: Kemp

LONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) – Cristina Fernandez, president of
Argentina, is the sort of populist political leader financial
markets love to hate.

For business interests and the media, she has become an
archetypal villain, a symbol of everything that has gone wrong
with the country’s economy over the last century.

    • About John

      "John joined Reuters in 2008 as one of its first financial columnists, specialising in commodities and energy. While his main focus is on oil markets, he has written broadly on the emergence of commodities as an asset class, regulatory issues and macroeconomic themes. Before joining Reuters, John spent seven years as a senior analyst for Sempra Commodities (now part of JP Morgan) covering base metals and crude oil. Previously, he worked as an analyst on world trade, banking and financial regulation for consultancy Oxford Analytica."
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