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	<title>John Wasik</title>
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		<title>Column: Two ways to pick your summer stock retreat</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/20/us-column-wasik-summersectors-idUSBRE94J0RL20130520?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/20/column-two-ways-to-pick-your-summer-stock-retreat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 20:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; It used to be easy to abide by the old Wall Street nugget that you should pull out of the market in spring and come back in the fall. But research shows that it doesn&#8217;t make sense to completely abandon the stock market during the summer months, particularly when it comes to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; It used to be easy to abide by the old Wall Street nugget that you should pull out of the market in spring and come back in the fall.</p>
<p>But research shows that it doesn&#8217;t make sense to completely abandon the stock market during the summer months, particularly when it comes to individual sectors. Not all of them will decline.</p>
<p>There are several ways to seize gains if you want to make some portfolio adjustments. Here are two approaches.</p>
<p>GO DEFENSIVE</p>
<p>For those who remember the nasty summer of 2011, when stocks got blistered by European and U.S. debt fears, it didn&#8217;t hurt to be in dividend-paying companies that Wall Streeters consider defensive plays. While not immune from market declines, their prices tend to hold up better than for non-dividend payers.</p>
<p>According to the Leuthold Group, holding defensive stocks from May to October yielded a nearly 16 percent gain since 1990 (through April 2013) compared to 9 percent for the Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s 500 index.</p>
<p>When both trading and weather heat up, healthcare and utilities tend to outperform. Both sectors are doing well this year, with almost 23 percent and 15-percent returns through May 17, respectively.</p>
<p>Wall Street mavens may have already embraced healthcare as a defensive move, which is the top sector now in the S&#038;P 500. The Health Care Select SPDR has risen 24 percent year to date and averaged 20 percent over the past three years. This exchange-traded fund holds household names like Johnson &#038; Johnson, Pfizer Inc and Merck &#038; Co Inc.</p>
<p>The Vanguard Utilities Index ETF holds Duke Energy (DUK), American Electric Power and Pacific Gas &#038; Electric in a basket of utilities. The fund has grown 17 percent year to date and averaged 15 percent over three years. It has a 3.6 percent yield, a bonus for income-oriented investors.</p>
<p>PICK A LAGGING SECTOR</p>
<p>Sometimes it seems like big money managers move on a whim, but they often engage in &#8220;sector rotation,&#8221; meaning they switch from one group of stocks to another depending upon valuations. Typically that translates into a herd-like drive from a popular sector to a lagging one.</p>
<p>In terms of today&#8217;s market, such a shift could favor the two weakest groups within the S&#038;P 500 Index: Materials and Information Technology.</p>
<p>These two sectors have only gained about 9 percent and 10 percent, respectively, this year through May 17. That&#8217;s about half the 18 percent gain by the S&#038;P 500 Index.</p>
<p>Buying a sector when it is out of favor can lead to healthy gains. If institutional managers are looking for bargains, this is where they might turn.</p>
<p>Why have these companies not enjoyed the kind of popularity enjoyed by hot consumer discretionary and financials? There&#8217;s no solid reason except that they are less in favor in a still-recovering economy. If employment and economic growth continue apace, the picture could change.</p>
<p>The best candidates for investing in materials and tech stocks are the Materials Select Sector SPDR, an index-based ETF that holds chemical companies like DuPont, mining firms like Freeport McMoRan Copper &#038; Gold and International Paper Co. The fund was up 10 percent year to date through May 17 and averaged 12 percent over the past three years.</p>
<p>The Vanguard Information Technology ETF owns tech giants such as Apple Inc, International Business Machines Corp and Google Inc. It has risen more than 11 percent year to date and nearly 13 percent over the past three years.</p>
<p>Despite the appeal of anticipating the market, these seasonal moves are not guaranteed to beat any summer swoon or correction. Only make a tactical move to defensive stocks if you feel you&#8217;re taking too much risk or spooked by volatility in the general stock market.</p>
<p>And be sure to proceed with caution: Should you decide to bolster your portfolio in this way, you may have to sell other stock positions, which will trigger commissions if you own ETFs, in addition to possible capital gains outside of retirement accounts.</p>
<p>Doing nothing is a third option, naturally. If you&#8217;re happy with your general stock allocation &#8211; and it meets your objectives &#8211; you will ride the market&#8217;s wave if you hold a broad-market ETF or mutual fund, assuming stocks continue to climb.</p>
<p>(The author is a Reuters columnist and the opinions expressed are his own.)</p>
<p>(Follow us @ReutersMoney or <a href="http://www.reuters.com/finance/personal-finance">here</a> Editing by Lauren Young and Richard Chang)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Two ways to pick your summer stock retreat</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/20/column-wasik-summersectors-idUSL2N0E11GO20130520?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/20/two-ways-to-pick-your-summer-stock-retreat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 19:55:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=603</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 20 (Reuters) &#8211; It used to be easy to abide by the old Wall Street nugget that you should pull out of the market in spring and come back in the fall. But research shows that it doesn&#8217;t make sense to completely abandon the stock market during the summer months, particularly when it [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 20 (Reuters) &#8211; It used to be easy to abide by<br />
the old Wall Street nugget that you should pull out of the<br />
market in spring and come back in the fall.</p>
<p>But research shows that it doesn&#8217;t make sense to completely<br />
abandon the stock market during the summer months, particularly<br />
when it comes to individual sectors. Not all of them will<br />
decline.</p>
<p>There are several ways to seize gains if you want to make<br />
some portfolio adjustments. Here are two approaches.</p>
</p>
<p>GO DEFENSIVE</p>
<p>For those who remember the nasty summer of 2011, when stocks<br />
got blistered by European and U.S. debt fears, it didn&#8217;t hurt to<br />
be in dividend-paying companies that Wall Streeters consider<br />
defensive plays. While not immune from market declines, their<br />
prices tend to hold up better than for non-dividend payers.</p>
<p>According to the Leuthold Group, holding defensive stocks<br />
from May to October yielded a nearly 16 percent gain since 1990<br />
(through April 2013) compared to 9 percent for the Standard &#038;<br />
Poor&#8217;s 500 index.</p>
<p>When both trading and weather heat up, healthcare and<br />
utilities tend to outperform. Both sectors are doing well this<br />
year, with almost 23 percent and 15-percent returns through May<br />
17, respectively.</p>
<p>Wall Street mavens may have already embraced healthcare as a<br />
defensive move, which is the top sector now in the S&#038;P 500. The<br />
Health Care Select SPDR has risen 24 percent year to<br />
date and averaged 20 percent over the past three years. This<br />
exchange-traded fund holds household names like Johnson &#038;<br />
Johnson, Pfizer Inc and Merck &#038; Co Inc.</p>
<p>The Vanguard Utilities Index ETF holds Duke Energy<br />
(DUK), American Electric Power and Pacific Gas &#038;<br />
Electric in a basket of utilities. The fund has grown<br />
17 percent year to date and averaged 15 percent over three<br />
years. It has a 3.6 percent yield, a bonus for income-oriented<br />
investors.</p>
</p>
<p>PICK A LAGGING SECTOR</p>
<p>Sometimes it seems like big money managers move on a whim,<br />
but they often engage in &#8220;sector rotation,&#8221; meaning they switch<br />
from one group of stocks to another depending upon valuations.<br />
Typically that translates into a herd-like drive from a popular<br />
sector to a lagging one.</p>
<p>In terms of today&#8217;s market, such a shift could favor the two<br />
weakest groups within the S&#038;P 500 Index: Materials and<br />
Information Technology.</p>
<p>These two sectors have only gained about 9 percent and 10<br />
percent, respectively, this year through May 17. That&#8217;s about<br />
half the 18 percent gain by the S&#038;P 500 Index.</p>
<p>Buying a sector when it is out of favor can lead to healthy<br />
gains. If institutional managers are looking for bargains, this<br />
is where they might turn.</p>
<p>Why have these companies not enjoyed the kind of popularity<br />
enjoyed by hot consumer discretionary and financials? There&#8217;s no<br />
solid reason except that they are less in favor in a<br />
still-recovering economy. If employment and economic growth<br />
continue apace, the picture could change.</p>
<p>The best candidates for investing in materials and tech<br />
stocks are the Materials Select Sector SPDR, an<br />
index-based ETF that holds chemical companies like DuPont<br />
, mining firms like Freeport McMoRan Copper &#038; Gold<br />
and International Paper Co. The fund was up 10 percent<br />
year to date through May 17 and averaged 12 percent over the<br />
past three years.</p>
<p>The Vanguard Information Technology ETF owns tech<br />
giants such as Apple Inc, International Business<br />
Machines Corp and Google Inc. It has risen more<br />
than 11 percent year to date and nearly 13 percent over the past<br />
three years.</p>
<p>Despite the appeal of anticipating the market, these<br />
seasonal moves are not guaranteed to beat any summer swoon or<br />
correction. Only make a tactical move to defensive stocks if you<br />
feel you&#8217;re taking too much risk or spooked by volatility in the<br />
general stock market.</p>
<p>And be sure to proceed with caution: Should you decide to<br />
bolster your portfolio in this way, you may have to sell other<br />
stock positions, which will trigger commissions if you own ETFs,<br />
in addition to possible capital gains outside of retirement<br />
accounts.</p>
<p>Doing nothing is a third option, naturally. If you&#8217;re happy<br />
with your general stock allocation &#8211; and it meets your<br />
objectives &#8211; you will ride the market&#8217;s wave if you hold a<br />
broad-market ETF or mutual fund, assuming stocks continue to<br />
climb.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Column: Business Development Companies &#8211; High yield, high risk</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/17/us-column-wasik-bdcs-idUSBRE94G0CL20130517?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/17/column-business-development-companies-high-yield-high-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 May 2013 12:07:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=599</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; In a frantic search for yields, investors often turn toward relatively unknown products. Business Development Companies (BDCs) are one of latest vehicles to grab investor attention &#8211; and money. BDCs are companies that lend to young, thinly traded and often distressed companies that have credit ratings in the &#8220;junk&#8221; status. They are [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; In a frantic search for yields, investors often turn toward relatively unknown products. Business Development Companies (BDCs) are one of latest vehicles to grab investor attention &#8211; and money.</p>
<p>BDCs are companies that lend to young, thinly traded and often distressed companies that have credit ratings in the &#8220;junk&#8221; status. They are as close to a private equity enterprise as you&#8217;re going to get in a public company. Yet their high yields come at a price in terms of elevated risk that should not be underestimated, and investors must proceed with caution.</p>
<p>Like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), BDCs must pass through at least 90 percent of their profit to shareholders. Most of their borrowers carry the lowest-possible credit ratings such as BBB-, or are not rated at all. They hold a variety of companies in their portfolios, so some are more diversified than others.</p>
<p>As high-yield vehicles, BDCs have been emerging at a relatively rapid clip in recent years. There were just four of them nine years ago. Now, there are nearly 30, with a total market capitalization of $26 billion, according to Financial Advisor, a trade magazine. That&#8217;s peanuts compared with megabanks like JPM Morgan Chase &#038; Co or Bank of America Corp, but they are a growing force in corporate finance.</p>
<p>While regulated, BDCs occupy a useful niche in helping companies grow. Since they can borrow at record-low rates and make money on the spread &#8211; the above-market rates they charge less credit-worthy borrowers &#8211; BDCs are in a sweet spot now as the economy continues to rebound. They can provide financing to a wide range of companies typically eschewed by mainstream banks. Consider them sub-prime lenders to small- to mid-size companies.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re going to hold BDCs at all, it&#8217;s best to own a diversified portfolio of them through an exchange-traded fund or note. There are currently two products on the market that hold BDCs. Both of them are new, so there is not much of a track record to evaluate.</p>
<p>The UBS ETRACS Wells Fargo Business Development Company Exchange-traded note tracks an index of BDCs and pays a 6.7 percent yield. It has gained 6 percent year-to-date and returned nearly 30 percent over the past year through May 15. Holdings include 28 BDCs such as Ares Capital Corp, which specializes in financing private middle-market companies, and Prospect Capital Corp, which provides debt and equity capital to the same market.</p>
<p>The Market Vectors BDC Income ETF offers a 7.6 percent yield, but has been on the market only since February. It holds 26 companies including American Capital Ltd and Fifth Street Finance Corp and has returned 3 percent over the past three months through May 15.</p>
<p>WARNINGS</p>
<p>Be careful with these vehicles as regulators and certified financial planners have raised concerns. Earlier this year, FINRA, the securities industry self-regulator, singled out BDCs for their &#8220;significant market, credit and liquidity risks.&#8221; The availability of low-cost financing means BDCs &#8220;run the risk of overleveraging their relatively illiquid portfolios,&#8221; FINRA noted.</p>
<p>Not all of the BDCs are publicly traded. The nontraded variety, sold through brokers who take commissions up to 7 percent, pose even higher risks because there may be no viable secondary market for them. Both nontraded and traded BDCs are highly volatile.</p>
<p>&#8220;If you don&#8217;t like the volatility of publicly traded BDCs. There are always nontraded ones, but then you have nonliquidity risk,&#8221; says Gary Alt, a certified financial planner and partner with Monterey Private Wealth in Monterey, California.</p>
<p>&#8220;The capital markets didn&#8217;t understand this risk fully until 2008 and 2009 when all the money from banks dried up,&#8221; Alt adds. &#8220;For investors accustomed to getting income from bonds, they better be ready for a wild ride with BDCs.&#8221;</p>
<p>Although ETFs solve one problem by diversifying among many of the companies, they are still concentrating risk within a small, volatile sector of the financial services industry.</p>
<p>&#8220;Diversification is not the problem,&#8221; notes Don Martin, a certified financial planner with Mayflower Capital in Los Altos, California. &#8220;The real problem is that the asset class is too risky. I would be very wary of investing in a BDC and would be suspicious of any high-yield product.&#8221;</p>
<p>Given their high-risk profiles, BDCs are not a comparable substitute for Treasuries, mortgage securities, municipals or corporates in your portfolio.</p>
<p>If you are risk-averse, they are not for you. I wouldn&#8217;t wait to see how they hold up in a down market. I would only approach them as an alternative for less than 2 percent of your holdings if you can add them to your portfolio to supplement &#8211; but not replace &#8211; your other income vehicles.</p>
<p>(The author is a Reuters columnist and the opinions expressed are his own. For more from John Wasik see <a href="http://link.reuters.com/syk97s">link.reuters.com/syk97s</a>)</p>
<p>(Editing by Lauren Young and Matthew Lewis)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Business Development Companies: High yield, high risk</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/17/column-wasik-bdcs-idUSL2N0DX1ZB20130517?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/17/business-development-companies-high-yield-high-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 May 2013 11:59:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=601</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 17 (Reuters) &#8211; In a frantic search for yields, investors often turn toward relatively unknown products. Business Development Companies (BDCs) are one of latest vehicles to grab investor attention &#8211; and money. BDCs are companies that lend to young, thinly traded and often distressed companies that have credit ratings in the &#8220;junk&#8221; status. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 17 (Reuters) &#8211; In a frantic search for yields,<br />
investors often turn toward relatively unknown products.<br />
Business Development Companies (BDCs) are one of latest vehicles<br />
to grab investor attention &#8211; and money.</p>
<p>BDCs are companies that lend to young, thinly traded and<br />
often distressed companies that have credit ratings in the<br />
&#8220;junk&#8221; status. They are as close to a private equity enterprise<br />
as you&#8217;re going to get in a public company. Yet their high<br />
yields come at a price in terms of elevated risk that should not<br />
be underestimated, and investors must proceed with caution.</p>
<p>Like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), BDCs must pass<br />
through at least 90 percent of their profit to shareholders.<br />
Most of their borrowers carry the lowest-possible credit ratings<br />
such as BBB-, or are not rated at all. They hold a variety of<br />
companies in their portfolios, so some are more diversified than<br />
others.</p>
<p>As high-yield vehicles, BDCs have been emerging at a<br />
relatively rapid clip in recent years. There were just four of<br />
them nine years ago. Now, there are nearly 30, with a total<br />
market capitalization of $26 billion, according to Financial<br />
Advisor, a trade magazine. That&#8217;s peanuts compared with<br />
megabanks like JPM Morgan Chase &#038; Co or Bank of America<br />
Corp, but they are a growing force in corporate finance.</p>
<p>While regulated, BDCs occupy a useful niche in helping<br />
companies grow. Since they can borrow at record-low rates and<br />
make money on the spread &#8211; the above-market rates they charge<br />
less credit-worthy borrowers &#8211; BDCs are in a sweet spot now as<br />
the economy continues to rebound. They can provide financing to<br />
a wide range of companies typically eschewed by mainstream<br />
banks. Consider them sub-prime lenders to small- to mid-size<br />
companies.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re going to hold BDCs at all, it&#8217;s best to own a<br />
diversified portfolio of them through an exchange-traded fund or<br />
note. There are currently two products on the market that hold<br />
BDCs. Both of them are new, so there is not much of a track<br />
record to evaluate.</p>
<p>The UBS ETRACS Wells Fargo Business Development Company<br />
Exchange-traded note tracks an index of BDCs and pays a 6.7<br />
percent yield. It has gained 6 percent year-to-date and returned<br />
nearly 30 percent over the past year through May 15. Holdings<br />
include 28 BDCs such as Ares Capital Corp, which<br />
specializes in financing private middle-market companies, and<br />
Prospect Capital Corp, which provides debt and equity<br />
capital to the same market.</p>
<p>The Market Vectors BDC Income ETF offers a 7.6<br />
percent yield, but has been on the market only since February.<br />
It holds 26 companies including American Capital Ltd<br />
and Fifth Street Finance Corp and has returned 3 percent<br />
over the past three months through May 15.</p>
</p>
<p>WARNINGS</p>
<p>Be careful with these vehicles as regulators and certified<br />
financial planners have raised concerns. Earlier this year,<br />
FINRA, the securities industry self-regulator, singled out BDCs<br />
for their &#8220;significant market, credit and liquidity risks.&#8221; The<br />
availability of low-cost financing means BDCs &#8220;run the risk of<br />
overleveraging their relatively illiquid portfolios,&#8221; FINRA<br />
noted.</p>
<p>Not all of the BDCs are publicly traded. The nontraded<br />
variety, sold through brokers who take commissions up to 7<br />
percent, pose even higher risks because there may be no viable<br />
secondary market for them. Both nontraded and traded BDCs are<br />
highly volatile.</p>
<p>&#8220;If you don&#8217;t like the volatility of publicly traded BDCs.<br />
There are always nontraded ones, but then you have nonliquidity<br />
risk,&#8221; says Gary Alt, a certified financial planner and partner<br />
with Monterey Private Wealth in Monterey, California.</p>
<p>&#8220;The capital markets didn&#8217;t understand this risk fully until<br />
2008 and 2009 when all the money from banks dried up,&#8221; Alt adds.<br />
&#8220;For investors accustomed to getting income from bonds, they<br />
better be ready for a wild ride with BDCs.&#8221;</p>
<p>Although ETFs solve one problem by diversifying among many<br />
of the companies, they are still concentrating risk within a<br />
small, volatile sector of the financial services industry.</p>
<p>&#8220;Diversification is not the problem,&#8221; notes Don Martin, a<br />
certified financial planner with Mayflower Capital in Los Altos,<br />
California.  &#8220;The real problem is that the asset class is too<br />
risky. I would be very wary of investing in a BDC and would be<br />
suspicious of any high-yield product.&#8221;</p>
<p>Given their high-risk profiles, BDCs are not a comparable<br />
substitute for Treasuries, mortgage securities, municipals or<br />
corporates in your portfolio.</p>
<p>If you are risk-averse, they are not for you. I wouldn&#8217;t<br />
wait to see how they hold up in a down market. I would only<br />
approach them as an alternative for less than 2 percent of your<br />
holdings if you can add them to your portfolio to supplement -<br />
but not replace &#8211; your other income vehicles.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
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		<title>Column: Four ways to avoid bad decisions during a bull run</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/us-column-wasik-investormistakes-idUSBRE94E0LZ20130515?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/15/column-four-ways-to-avoid-bad-decisions-during-a-bull-run/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 12:54:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=597</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; Is the Dow&#8217;s movement above 15,000 or the record close of the S&#038;P 500 Index last week a buy signal? They may not mean anything, but most market watchers believe the rise is talismanic. Despite the lure of recent market gains, there&#8217;s often no pattern to investment results. To avoid seeing patterns [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; Is the Dow&#8217;s movement above 15,000 or the record close of the S&#038;P 500 Index last week a buy signal? They may not mean anything, but most market watchers believe the rise is talismanic.</p>
<p>Despite the lure of recent market gains, there&#8217;s often no pattern to investment results. To avoid seeing patterns where there may be none &#8211; and acting irrationally &#8211; we often need to short-circuit our instincts and think counter-intuitively.</p>
<p>A go-slow approach that avoids trading on market timing can often avert losses. Here are some behavioral biases and ways to prevent bad decisions:</p>
<p>1. Don&#8217;t time jumps in and out of the market.</p>
<p>Trading decisions typically are expensive and eat into your total return.</p>
<p>A study released late last year by the Gerstein Fisher research center found that the S&#038;P 500 posted a 6.66 percent annualized return from January 1, 1996, through December 31, 2010. After trading, inflation, fund expenses and taxes, however, individuals reaped a miserable 1 percent return. Investors paid a steep penalty for market timing.</p>
<p>2. Buy and hold works.</p>
<p>We tend to be overconfident in our ability to predict the future.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s say you held a basket of small-company stocks from 1993 through last year. You would have reaped an 11 percent compound annual return, according to Ibbotson Associates. If you were in large stocks, your gain would have been about 8 percent on average annually if you held your position for 20 years through 2011, according to Dalbar, a Boston-based financial research firm.</p>
<p>Most investors didn&#8217;t stay still. They lagged the S&#038;P 500 index by more than four percentage points. Keep in mind that this period included more than two recessions and two major market sell-offs.</p>
<p>Trading can be expensive, too, even when you think you&#8217;re being cautious. Let&#8217;s look at 2011, a particularly volatile year. Stock-market investors studied by Dalbar lost 5.73 percent when they cashed out at the sign of trouble. Simply holding the S&#038;P 500 would have netted them a slight gain.</p>
<p>3. Immediate past results don&#8217;t predict future returns.</p>
<p>When a market reaches new heights, investors fall prey to what behavioral economists call &#8220;hindsight bias.&#8221;</p>
<p>We tend to overestimate the possibility that immediate past performance will continue. As a result, the herd flowing into the market often gets in at the peak, just before a decline.</p>
<p>Burned investors tend to head in the wrong direction. Look at two years of the current bull market &#8211; 2010 and 2011 &#8211; when it would have been a good time to get in on the early stages of the record-setting ascent following the financial crash.</p>
<p>Some $370 billion poured into bond mutual funds during those years, according to the Investment Company Institute, compared to an outflow of nearly $140 billion from stock funds.</p>
<p>Of course, there&#8217;s no way to predict how long a rally or downturn will last. That&#8217;s why it&#8217;s best to look to your own goals, not major market turns, to anchor your decisions.</p>
<p>4. My stocks will bounce back.</p>
<p>The hardest thing to do emotionally is to take a loss and move on. A notable research paper by Terrance Odean of the University of California, Berkeley, demonstrated that the aversion to dumping losers is common and costly. He found that investors could have earned a 4.4 percent better return if they had sold them while holding onto winners.</p>
<p>Often we buy stocks or funds because we&#8217;re sentimentally connected to them or simply a lot of other people are buying them. If millions of others like something, it has to be good, right? Wrong &#8211; and it doesn&#8217;t mean they&#8217;ll be good investments in the future, either.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why it&#8217;s important to pay attention to the purchase price and where the stock is headed. Compare price/earnings ratios against similar stocks. Are they overpriced? What&#8217;s the direction of the company and competition?</p>
<p>Most of all, get over what Daniel Kahneman, Nobel Prize winner in economics and author of the best-selling book &#8220;Thinking Fast and Slow,&#8221; calls the &#8220;delusion of control&#8221; that many investors possess when viewing the market. The only things within your power are how much you pay for your investments, how often you put money to work and how much you save.</p>
<p>(The author is a Reuters columnist and the opinions expressed are his own. For more from John Wasik see <a href="http://link.reuters.com/syk97s">link.reuters.com/syk97s</a>)</p>
<p>(Follow us @ReutersMoney or <a href="http://www.reuters.com/finance/personal-finance">here</a> Editing by Lauren Young and Prudence Crowther)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Four ways to avoid bad decisions during a bull run</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/column-wasik-investormistakes-idUSL2N0DU2T220130515?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/15/four-ways-to-avoid-bad-decisions-during-a-bull-run/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 11:59:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=595</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 15 (Reuters) &#8211; Is the Dow&#8217;s movement above 15,000 or the record close of the S&#038;P 500 Index last week a buy signal? They may not mean anything, but most market watchers believe the rise is talismanic. Despite the lure of recent market gains, there&#8217;s often no pattern to investment results. To avoid [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 15 (Reuters) &#8211; Is the Dow&#8217;s movement above<br />
15,000 or the record close of the S&#038;P 500 Index last week a buy<br />
signal? They may not mean anything, but most market watchers<br />
believe the rise is talismanic.</p>
<p>Despite the lure of recent market gains, there&#8217;s often no<br />
pattern to investment results. To avoid seeing patterns where<br />
there may be none &#8211; and acting irrationally &#8211; we often need to<br />
short-circuit our instincts and think counter-intuitively.</p>
<p>A go-slow approach that avoids trading on market timing can<br />
often avert losses. Here are some behavioral biases and ways to<br />
prevent bad decisions:</p>
<p>1. Don&#8217;t time jumps in and out of the market.</p>
<p>Trading decisions typically are expensive and eat into your<br />
total return.</p>
<p>A study released late last year by the Gerstein Fisher<br />
research center found that the S&#038;P 500 posted a 6.66 percent<br />
annualized return from Jan. 1, 1996, through Dec. 31, 2010.<br />
After trading, inflation, fund expenses and taxes, however,<br />
individuals reaped a miserable 1 percent return. Investors paid<br />
a steep penalty for market timing.</p>
<p>2. Buy and hold works.</p>
<p>We tend to be overconfident in our ability to predict the<br />
future.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s say you held a basket of small-company stocks from<br />
1993 through last year. You would have reaped an 11 percent<br />
compound annual return, according to Ibbotson Associates. If you<br />
were in large stocks, your gain would have been about 8 percent<br />
on average annually if you held your position for 20 years<br />
through 2011, according to Dalbar, a Boston-based financial<br />
research firm.</p>
<p>Most investors didn&#8217;t stay still. They lagged the S&#038;P 500<br />
index by more than four percentage points. Keep in mind that<br />
this period included more than two recessions and two major<br />
market sell-offs.</p>
<p>Trading can be expensive, too, even when you think you&#8217;re<br />
being cautious. Let&#8217;s look at 2011, a particularly volatile<br />
year. Stock-market investors studied by Dalbar lost 5.73 percent<br />
when they cashed out at the sign of trouble. Simply holding the<br />
S&#038;P 500 would have netted them a slight gain.</p>
<p>3. Immediate past results don&#8217;t predict future returns.</p>
<p>When a market reaches new heights, investors fall prey to<br />
what behavioral economists call &#8220;hindsight bias.&#8221;</p>
<p>We tend to overestimate the possibility that immediate past<br />
performance will continue. As a result, the herd flowing into<br />
the market often gets in at the peak, just before a decline.</p>
<p>Burned investors tend to head in the wrong direction. Look<br />
at two years of the current bull market &#8211; 2010 and 2011 &#8211; when<br />
it would have been a good time to get in on the early stages of<br />
the record-setting ascent following the financial crash.</p>
<p>Some $370 billion poured into bond mutual funds during those<br />
years, according to the Investment Company Institute, compared<br />
to an outflow of nearly $140 billion from stock funds.</p>
<p>Of course, there&#8217;s no way to predict how long a rally or<br />
downturn will last. That&#8217;s why it&#8217;s best to look to your own<br />
goals, not major market turns, to anchor your decisions.</p>
<p>4. My stocks will bounce back.</p>
<p>The hardest thing to do emotionally is to take a loss and<br />
move on. A notable research paper by Terrance Odean of the<br />
University of California, Berkeley, demonstrated that the<br />
aversion to dumping losers is common and costly. He found that<br />
investors could have earned a 4.4 percent better return if they<br />
had sold them while holding onto winners.</p>
<p>Often we buy stocks or funds because we&#8217;re sentimentally<br />
connected to them or simply a lot of other people are buying<br />
them. If millions of others like something, it has to be good,<br />
right? Wrong &#8211; and it doesn&#8217;t mean they&#8217;ll be good investments<br />
in the future, either.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why it&#8217;s important to pay attention to the purchase<br />
price and where the stock is headed. Compare price/earnings<br />
ratios against similar stocks. Are they overpriced? What&#8217;s the<br />
direction of the company and competition?</p>
<p>Most of all, get over what Daniel Kahneman, Nobel Prize<br />
winner in economics and author of the best-selling book<br />
&#8220;Thinking Fast and Slow,&#8221; calls the &#8220;delusion of control&#8221; that<br />
many investors possess when viewing the market. The only things<br />
within your power are how much you pay for your investments, how<br />
often you put money to work and how much you save.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Column: Going to alternatives for yield</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/10/us-column-wasik-alternatives-idUSBRE9490HC20130510?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/10/column-going-to-alternatives-for-yield/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 12:25:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; If you&#8217;re willing to take on more risk, it&#8217;s a good time to move beyond corporate and government bonds in the incredibly challenging search for yield. While attention has been on the record-setting stock market &#8211; the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the symbolic 15,000 on Tuesday and kept climbing &#8211; [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; If you&#8217;re willing to take on more risk, it&#8217;s a good time to move beyond corporate and government bonds in the incredibly challenging search for yield.</p>
<p>While attention has been on the record-setting stock market &#8211; the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the symbolic 15,000 on Tuesday and kept climbing &#8211; bond yields have been heading south. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury is yielding around 1.8 percent after hitting 2 percent in early March.</p>
<p>An &#8220;in-between&#8221; portfolio that focuses on yield from non-traditional sources while owning dividend-rich stocks is one approach to find income. This strategy is based on the reality that bond yields probably won&#8217;t rise much in the next year or so. You&#8217;ll have to venture into alternative investments if you want to boost your income stream.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve searched for some of the best exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer income and appreciation. The following ETFs focus on four key themes: Global stock dividends, master limited partnerships (MLPs), high-yield bonds and real-estate investment trusts (REITs).</p>
<p>Dividend-paying stocks, for example, can outpace inflation. In January 2009, the S&#038;P 500 Index dividend yield was 3.24 percent while the Consumer Price Index was a negative 0.34 percent, according to dividend.com.</p>
<p>That doesn&#8217;t always happen. Even so, cash-rich companies are in a better position to raise dividends &#8211; something bond payers can&#8217;t do.</p>
<p>This mix is not risk-free. It may get hit as hard in a stock market sell-off, which is why these funds should comprise no more than 15 percent of your total holdings.</p>
<p>HIGH-DIVIDEND GLOBAL STOCKS</p>
<p>The PowerShares International Dividend Achievers ETF gives you a selection of dividend payers from around the world. If something happens to the torrid U.S. market, you have a little insulation.</p>
<p>The fund, which yields just above two percent, holds brand-name non-U.S. stocks like Vodaphone and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s posted an annualized return of nearly 14-percent during the three years through May 8, and is up 20 percent for the past year through that date. The trade-off, however, is that the fund is more volatile than the S&#038;P 500.</p>
<p>MORTGAGE REITS</p>
<p>REITs that invest in mortgages have done well since 2008, thanks to low financing rates, although they are not well known. The iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage PlusCapped Index invests in major REITs like Annaly Capital Management, which buys mortgage pass-through certificates and obligations.</p>
<p>This specialized REIT borrows money to buy mortgage-backed securities. Like all REITs, it must pass through 90 percent of its income to shareholders.</p>
<p>Currently, the iShares fund is yielding 11 percent. The downside is that it trades like a stock, and its risk is roughly the same as the S&#038;P 500. It&#8217;s up 24 percent through May 8, and has averaged an annualized gain of 15 percent during the past three years.</p>
<p>MASTER LIMITED PARTNERSHIPS</p>
<p>Until recently, you could only buy these vehicles through brokers, often paying steep commissions. Now that they&#8217;re being packaged in ETFs, they are worth considering for their high yields, which range from 7 percent to 16 percent.</p>
<p>The Alerian MLP ETF, up 15 percent in the past year through May 8, holds an index of energy partnerships that mostly invested in pipeline companies. With an almost 6-percent yield, the fund probably won&#8217;t move in lockstep with common stocks, but it&#8217;s prone to declines if oil prices slide. The ETF is less than two years old, so it&#8217;s too young to have risk measures.</p>
<p>HIGH-YIELD BONDS</p>
<p>Unlike their government counterparts, &#8220;junk&#8221; bonds give you the trade-off of lower credit ratings in exchange for higher yields. Rated &#8220;B&#8221; and lower, these are companies that still need to sell debt, but pose a higher risk of default.</p>
<p>Packaged within an ETF such as the Peritus High-Yield ETF, you can find some diversification from credit risk. Although it is actively managed and has a much higher expense ratio than its peers &#8211; 1.35 percent annually versus 0.4 percent for a similar indexed fund &#8211; the Peritus fund sports an 8 percent yield.</p>
<p>It is up 13 percent for the year, besting its benchmark by 2 percentage points, which is a significant advantage in the bond world.</p>
<p>As a backstop, keep a close eye on interest rates with all of your bond holdings.</p>
<p>&#8220;Be tactical so that you can be ready for the eventual rising interest-rate environment,&#8221; advises John Zhong, chief executive officer and founder of MyPlanIQ.com, a portfolio service.</p>
<p>(The author is a Reuters columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.)</p>
<p>(Editing by Lauren Young and Bernadette Baum)</p>
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		<title>Going to alternatives for yield</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/10/column-wasik-alternatives-idUSL2N0DQ2Y820130510?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/10/going-to-alternatives-for-yield/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 12:24:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=593</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 10 (Reuters) &#8211; If you&#8217;re willing to take on more risk, it&#8217;s a good time to move beyond corporate and government bonds in the incredibly challenging search for yield. While attention has been on the record-setting stock market - the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the symbolic 15,000 on Tuesday and kept [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 10 (Reuters) &#8211; If you&#8217;re willing to take on<br />
more risk, it&#8217;s a good time to move beyond corporate and<br />
government bonds in the incredibly challenging search for yield.</p>
<p>While attention has been on the record-setting stock market<br />
- the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the symbolic<br />
15,000 on Tuesday and kept climbing &#8211; bond yields have been<br />
heading south. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury is yielding<br />
around 1.8 percent after hitting 2 percent in early March.</p>
<p>An &#8220;in-between&#8221; portfolio that focuses on yield from<br />
non-traditional sources while owning dividend-rich stocks is one<br />
approach to find income. This strategy is based on the reality<br />
that bond yields probably won&#8217;t rise much in the next year or<br />
so. You&#8217;ll have to venture into alternative investments if you<br />
want to boost your income stream.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve searched for some of the best exchange-traded funds<br />
(ETFs) that offer income and appreciation. The following ETFs<br />
focus on four key themes: Global stock dividends, master limited<br />
partnerships (MLPs), high-yield bonds and real-estate investment<br />
trusts (REITs).</p>
<p>Dividend-paying stocks, for example, can outpace inflation.<br />
In January 2009, the S&#038;P 500 Index dividend yield was 3.24<br />
percent while the Consumer Price Index was a negative 0.34<br />
percent, according to dividend.com.</p>
<p>That doesn&#8217;t always happen. Even so, cash-rich companies are<br />
in a better position to raise dividends &#8211; something bond payers<br />
can&#8217;t do.</p>
<p>This mix is not risk-free. It may get hit as hard in a stock<br />
market sell-off, which is why these funds should comprise no<br />
more than 15 percent of your total holdings.</p>
<p>HIGH-DIVIDEND GLOBAL STOCKS</p>
<p>The PowerShares International Dividend Achievers ETF<br />
gives you a selection of dividend payers from around the world.<br />
If something happens to the torrid U.S. market, you have a<br />
little insulation.</p>
<p>The fund, which yields just above two percent, holds<br />
brand-name non-U.S. stocks like Vodaphone and Nippon<br />
Telegraph and Telephone.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s posted an annualized return of nearly 14-percent during<br />
the three years through May 8, and is up 20 percent for the past<br />
year through that date. The trade-off, however, is that the fund<br />
is more volatile than the S&#038;P 500.</p>
<p>MORTGAGE REITS</p>
<p>REITs that invest in mortgages have done well since 2008,<br />
thanks to low financing rates, although they are not well known.<br />
The iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage PlusCapped Index<br />
invests in major REITs like Annaly Capital Management,<br />
which buys mortgage pass-through certificates and obligations.</p>
<p>This specialized REIT borrows money to buy mortgage-backed<br />
securities. Like all REITs, it must pass through 90 percent of<br />
its income to shareholders.</p>
<p>Currently, the iShares fund is yielding 11 percent. The<br />
downside is that it trades like a stock, and its risk is roughly<br />
the same as the S&#038;P 500. It&#8217;s up 24 percent through May 8, and<br />
has averaged an annualized gain of 15 percent during the past<br />
three years.</p>
<p>MASTER LIMITED PARTNERSHIPS</p>
<p>Until recently, you could only buy these vehicles through<br />
brokers, often paying steep commissions. Now that they&#8217;re being<br />
packaged in ETFs, they are worth considering for their high<br />
yields, which range from 7 percent to 16 percent.</p>
<p>The Alerian MLP ETF, up 15 percent in the past year<br />
through May 8, holds an index of energy partnerships that mostly<br />
invested in pipeline companies. With an almost 6-percent yield,<br />
the fund probably won&#8217;t move in lockstep with common stocks, but<br />
it&#8217;s prone to declines if oil prices slide. The ETF is less than<br />
two years old, so it&#8217;s too young to have risk measures.</p>
<p>HIGH-YIELD BONDS</p>
<p>Unlike their government counterparts, &#8220;junk&#8221; bonds give you<br />
the trade-off of lower credit ratings in exchange for higher<br />
yields. Rated &#8220;B&#8221; and lower, these are companies that still need<br />
to sell debt, but pose a higher risk of default.</p>
<p>Packaged within an ETF such as the Peritus High-Yield ETF<br />
, you can find some diversification from credit risk.<br />
Although it is actively managed and has a much higher expense<br />
ratio than its peers &#8211; 1.35 percent annually versus 0.4 percent<br />
for a similar indexed fund &#8211; the Peritus fund sports an 8<br />
percent yield.</p>
<p>It is up 13 percent for the year, besting its benchmark by 2<br />
percentage points, which is a significant advantage in the bond<br />
world.</p>
<p>As a backstop, keep a close eye on interest rates with all<br />
of your bond holdings.</p>
<p>&#8220;Be tactical so that you can be ready for the eventual<br />
rising interest-rate environment,&#8221; advises John Zhong, chief<br />
executive officer and founder of MyPlanIQ.com, a portfolio<br />
service.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Column: Despite risks, retirement savers plow into target-date funds</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/08/us-column-wasik-idUSBRE9470GX20130508?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/08/column-despite-risks-retirement-savers-plow-into-target-date-funds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 12:12:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=589</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; A torrent of money flowing into target-date funds suggests many retirement investors may be ignoring the risks of this key category. These funds now represent the second-most-popular allocation after U.S. large-stock funds within defined-contribution plans like 401(k) accounts, according to pension consultant Callan Associates. Target-date assets have climbed above $500 billion, attracting [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; A torrent of money flowing into target-date funds suggests many retirement investors may be ignoring the risks of this key category.</p>
<p>These funds now represent the second-most-popular allocation after U.S. large-stock funds within defined-contribution plans like 401(k) accounts, according to pension consultant Callan Associates. Target-date assets have climbed above $500 billion, attracting $16 billion in the first two months of 2013 alone, according to Strategic Insight.</p>
<p>Target-date funds combine several mutual funds within one package and are managed so that they move to less risky postures as their shareholders move closer to retirement. That movement &#8211; usually from stocks to bonds &#8211; is called the fund&#8217;s &#8220;glide path.&#8221; The funds take aim at specific future dates, and investors are expected to buy the fund that matches their own retirement date.</p>
<p>Investors may find themselves automatically invested in these funds: Target-date funds are approved by the U.S. Department of Labor as a default choice in 401(k)s, so some plan managers use them whenever they automatically enroll employees.</p>
<p>All that might suggest the funds are fairly risk-free. But while diversification strategies can reduce risk, they don&#8217;t eliminate it. Some target-date funds are much more volatile than others, depending upon their allocation. Their internal risks are poorly understood, fund expenses are high and they yield varying results. Here&#8217;s what investors may be missing:</p>
<p>BOND RISKS</p>
<p>The premise behind most of the glide paths is that bonds are safer than stocks. But when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, so bond funds within target-date funds are likely to lose money. And sooner or later, either a recovering economy or improving job situation will compel the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. A legion of market observers are warning of a decline in the bond market, which is said to be nearing the end of a 30-year bull run.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s inflation. If consumer prices begin to rise more rapidly, that could hit your target-date bond holdings too. Does yours have a stake in Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS), which pay a premium if the cost-of-living increases? Many funds lack sufficient protection against this enemy of bond holders.</p>
<p>STOCK RISKS</p>
<p>While many investors may think target-date funds reduce risk over time, they still have large exposures to the stock market. That helps retirement investors keep their portfolios growing over the long term but also leaves them vulnerable to a market sell-off. For example, the T. Rowe Price 2020 fund performed poorly in 2008, with a 33 percent loss.</p>
<p>That fund keeps 69 percent of its portfolio in stocks and more than 26 percent stake in bonds, with the remainder in cash, and it is almost as volatile as a broad-market S&#038;P 500 Index fund. During bull markets, though, that aggressive stance has paid off for fund holders: It&#8217;s up 8 percent year to date through May 6.</p>
<p>Other target market funds are less aggressive. The Schwab 2020 fund, with the lowest volatility in this group at just over 13, has a lower stake in stocks, at 58 percent with the remainder in bonds and cash. It lost 26 percent in 2008. It&#8217;s up 7.5 percent year to date through May 6.</p>
<p>HIGH COSTS</p>
<p>Target-date fund holders pay dearly for convenience, shelling out as much for a group of mostly passive funds as they would for an actively managed fund.</p>
<p>Expenses for funds with target dates ranging from 2016-2020 averaged 0.71 percent, just slightly lower than the 0.78 percent average for more than 300 U.S. active stock funds tracked by Morningstar. Furthermore, higher-priced target-date funds do not deliver better performance than the lower-priced ones, according to a study by Marc Fandetti, principal of the Meketa Investment Group in Westwood, Massachusetts.</p>
<p>As is often the case, the Vanguard Retirement 2020 (VTWNX) fund is a low-cost option. It charges 0.16 percent annually. Through last year the fund held 63 percent in stocks, 33 percent in bonds and the remainder in cash. It lost 27 percent in 2008 and is up 7.76 percent year to date through May 6.</p>
<p>OTHER APPROACHES</p>
<p>Instead of the prepackaged solution, consider owning separate stock and bond index funds, so you can adjust your own allocation between them to reflect your risk tolerance.</p>
<p>Are you close to retirement and concerned about inflation? Look at funds that invest in real estate investment trusts (REITs), dividend-paying stocks, commodities or precious metals.</p>
<p>&#8220;Hedge your urgent needs,&#8221; says Zvi Bodie, a finance professor at Boston University and staunch critic of premixed funds of funds. &#8220;Only risk wealth that you can afford to lose. The providers of target are not offering guarantees.&#8221;</p>
<p>(The author is a Reuters columnist and the opinions expressed are his own.)</p>
<p>(Follow us @ReutersMoney or <a href="http://www.reuters.com/finance/personal-finance">here</a> Editing by Linda Stern and Prudence Crowther)</p>
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		<title>Despite risks, retirement savers plow into target-date funds</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/08/column-wasik-idUSL2N0DO1FV20130508?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/2013/05/08/despite-risks-retirement-savers-plow-into-target-date-funds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 11:59:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Wasik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/john-wasik/?p=587</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 8 (Reuters) &#8211; A torrent of money flowing into target-date funds suggests many retirement investors may be ignoring the risks of this key category. These funds now represent the second-most-popular allocation after U.S. large-stock funds within defined-contribution plans like 401(k) accounts, according to pension consultant Callan Associates. Target-date assets have climbed above $500 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 8 (Reuters) &#8211; A torrent of money flowing into<br />
target-date funds suggests many retirement investors may be<br />
ignoring the risks of this key category.</p>
<p>These funds now represent the second-most-popular allocation<br />
after U.S. large-stock funds within defined-contribution plans<br />
like 401(k) accounts, according to pension consultant Callan<br />
Associates. Target-date assets have climbed above $500 billion,<br />
attracting $16 billion in the first two months of 2013 alone,<br />
according to Strategic Insight.</p>
<p>Target-date funds combine several mutual funds within one<br />
package and are managed so that they move to less risky postures<br />
as their shareholders move closer to retirement. That movement -<br />
usually from stocks to bonds &#8211; is called the fund&#8217;s &#8220;glide<br />
path.&#8221; The funds take aim at specific future dates, and<br />
investors are expected to buy the fund that matches their own<br />
retirement date.</p>
<p>Investors may find themselves automatically invested in<br />
these funds: Target-date funds are approved by the U.S.<br />
Department of Labor as a default choice in 401(k)s, so some plan<br />
managers use them whenever they automatically enroll employees.</p>
<p>All that might suggest the funds are fairly risk-free. But<br />
while diversification strategies can reduce risk, they don&#8217;t<br />
eliminate it. Some target-date funds are much more volatile than<br />
others, depending upon their allocation. Their internal risks<br />
are poorly understood, fund expenses are high and they yield<br />
varying results. Here&#8217;s what investors may be missing:</p>
<p>BOND RISKS</p>
<p>The premise behind most of the glide paths is that bonds are<br />
safer than stocks. But when interest rates rise, bond prices<br />
fall, so bond funds within target-date funds are likely to lose<br />
money. And sooner or later, either a recovering economy or<br />
improving job situation will compel the Federal Reserve to raise<br />
interest rates. A legion of market observers are warning of a<br />
decline in the bond market, which is said to be nearing the end<br />
of a 30-year bull run.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s inflation. If consumer prices begin to rise<br />
more rapidly, that could hit your target-date bond holdings too.<br />
Does yours have a stake in Treasury inflation-protected<br />
securities (TIPS), which pay a premium if the cost-of-living<br />
increases? Many funds lack sufficient protection against this<br />
enemy of bond holders.</p>
<p>STOCK RISKS</p>
<p>While many investors may think target-date funds reduce risk<br />
over time, they still have large exposures to the stock market.<br />
That helps retirement investors keep their portfolios growing<br />
over the long term but also leaves them vulnerable to a market<br />
sell-off. For example, the T. Rowe Price 2020 fund<br />
performed poorly in 2008, with a 33 percent loss.</p>
<p>That fund keeps 69 percent of its portfolio in stocks and<br />
more than 26 percent stake in bonds, with the remainder in cash,<br />
and it is almost as volatile as a broad-market S&#038;P 500 Index<br />
fund. During bull markets, though, that aggressive stance has<br />
paid off for fund holders: It&#8217;s up 8 percent year to date<br />
through May 6.</p>
<p>Other target market funds are less aggressive. The Schwab<br />
2020 fund, with the lowest volatility in this group at<br />
just over 13, has a lower stake in stocks, at 58 percent with<br />
the remainder in bonds and cash. It lost 26 percent in 2008.<br />
It&#8217;s up 7.5 percent year to date through May 6.</p>
<p>HIGH COSTS</p>
<p>Target-date fund holders pay dearly for convenience,<br />
shelling out as much for a group of mostly passive funds as they<br />
would for an actively managed fund.</p>
<p>Expenses for funds with target dates ranging from 2016-2020<br />
averaged 0.71 percent, just slightly lower than the 0.78 percent<br />
average for more than 300 U.S. active stock funds tracked by<br />
Morningstar. Furthermore, higher-priced target-date funds do not<br />
deliver better performance than the lower-priced ones, according<br />
to a study by Marc Fandetti, principal of the Meketa Investment<br />
Group in Westwood, Massachusetts.</p>
<p>As is often the case, the Vanguard Retirement 2020 (VTWNX)<br />
fund is a low-cost option. It charges 0.16 percent annually.<br />
Through last year the fund held 63 percent in stocks, 33 percent<br />
in bonds and the remainder in cash. It lost 27 percent in 2008<br />
and is up 7.76 percent year to date through May 6.</p>
</p>
<p>OTHER APPROACHES</p>
<p>Instead of the prepackaged solution, consider owning<br />
separate stock and bond index funds, so you can adjust your own<br />
allocation between them to reflect your risk tolerance.</p>
<p>Are you close to retirement and concerned about inflation?<br />
Look at funds that invest in real estate investment trusts<br />
(REITs), dividend-paying stocks, commodities or precious metals.</p>
<p>&#8220;Hedge your urgent needs,&#8221; says Zvi Bodie, a finance<br />
professor at Boston University and staunch critic of premixed<br />
funds of funds. &#8220;Only risk wealth that you can afford to lose.<br />
The providers of target are not offering guarantees.&#8221;</p></p>
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