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Aug 12, 2014

INSIGHT: Yellen resolved to avoid raising rates too soon, fearing downturn

WASHINGTON/NEW YORK (Reuters) – Approaching a historic turn in U.S. monetary policy, Janet Yellen has staked her tenure as chair of the Federal Reserve on a simple principle: she’d rather fight inflation than another economic downturn.

    Interviews with current and former Fed officials indicate that Yellen and core decision-makers at the U.S. central bank are determined not to raise interest rates too early and risk hurting the fragile U.S. economy.

Aug 12, 2014

Yellen resolved to avoid raising rates too soon, fearing downturn

WASHINGTON/NEW YORK, Aug 12 (Reuters) – Approaching a
historic turn in U.S. monetary policy, Janet Yellen has staked
her tenure as chair of the Federal Reserve on a simple
principle: she’d rather fight inflation than another economic
downturn.

Interviews with current and former Fed officials indicate
that Yellen and core decision-makers at the U.S. central bank
are determined not to raise interest rates too early and risk
hurting the fragile U.S. economy.

Jul 24, 2014

As U.S. strengthens, sluggish wages explain Fed’s caution

NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy statement, unchanged for the last four months, will probably stay that way until at least September for one main reason: slow wage growth.

Everything from job growth and inflation to manufacturing and retail sales are stronger now that U.S. economic growth has rebounded from a brutal winter. Some employers are even complaining about a lack of skilled workers, and surveys are showing businesses boosting compensation or planning to do so.

Jul 17, 2014

Are markets poised for Taper Tantrum 2.0?

SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK (Reuters) – Investors may be ignoring subtle warnings from the Federal Reserve that a rate rise may come sooner than they think, setting the stage for another painful market contraction much like last year’s “taper tantrum.”

Catching investors off guard is the last thing U.S. central bankers want to do, which helps explain their repeated recent warnings over complacency in financial markets, and Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s pointed comments this week about banks and others building up dangerous “interest rate risk.”

Jul 7, 2014

Central banks ending era of clear promises, return to ‘artful’ policy

NEW YORK/TOKYO (Reuters) – The world’s major central banks are returning to a more opaque and artful approach to policymaking, ending a crisis-era experiment with explicit promises that they found risked their credibility and did not substitute for action.

From Washington to London to Tokyo, the global shift from transparency to flexibility underscores the challenges central bankers face as they test the limits of what monetary policy can achieve.

Jul 7, 2014

Insight – Central banks ending era of clear promises, return to ‘artful’ policy

NEW YORK/TOKYO (Reuters) – The world’s major central banks are returning to a more opaque and artful approach to policymaking, ending a crisis-era experiment with explicit promises that they found risked their credibility and did not substitute for action.

From Washington to London to Tokyo, the global shift from transparency to flexibility underscores the challenges central bankers face as they test the limits of what monetary policy can achieve.

Jun 17, 2014

Preview – Yellen, future tightening in spotlight as U.S. Fed meets

By Jonathan Spicer

(Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to chop another $10 billion from its monthly bond purchases at a meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday but make few, if any, other concrete policy moves.

Given the lack of drama, all eyes will be focused on whether officials tip their hand on longer-term plans for interest rates.

Jun 17, 2014

Yellen, future tightening in spotlight as Fed meets

By Jonathan Spicer

(Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to chop another $10 billion from its monthly bond purchases at a meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday but make few, if any, other concrete policy moves.

Given the lack of drama, all eyes will be focused on whether officials tip their hand on longer-term plans for interest rates.

Jun 16, 2014

Factbox: Yellen, future tightening in spotlight as U.S. Fed meets

By Jonathan Spicer

(Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to chop another $10 billion from its monthly bond purchases at a meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday but make few, if any, other concrete policy moves.

Given the lack of drama, all eyes will be focused on whether officials tip their hand on longer-term plans for interest rates.

Jun 12, 2014
via MacroScope

The Fed’s taper and the question of the “tag-along” $5 billion

By Ann Saphir

Federal Reserve policymakers are expected next week to trim their monthly purchases of bonds by another $10 billion, putting them on track to end the massive program by October or December. So – which will it be, October or December? Some Fed officials are pushing for an answer, and soon.

“I am bothered by the fact that I don’t really know what we are going to do on that,” Narayana Kocherlakota, the dovish chief of the Minneapolis Fed, told reporters last month. “It’s another signal that we are not being as clear about our policy choices as we should be.”