MacroScope

Watch out for the G20 spin

March 30, 2009

Be careful this week about buying wholeheartedy into any G20-related spin about supposedly savvy, free-spending Britain and America doing more to combat the world economic crisis than supposedly stubborn, overly cautious Germany and France. The actual figures show it is much more complex than that.

A Reuters calculation on discretionary fiscal stumuli and the International Monetary Fund’s assessment show that, if anything, Britain is the significant laggard and that German spending almost matches the United States over the next two years. Here are the IMF’s numbers (% of GDP):

                                                          2009                     2010

 Germany                                             1.5                       2.0
 France                                                 0.7                      0.7
 UK                                                      1.4                     - 0.1
 US                                                      2.0                       1.8

Just to add to the complexity, discretionary spending estimates do not include bank bailouts (which would boost UK and U.S. anti-crisis spending numbers)  But nor do they include automatic economic stabilisers such as existing social welfare schemes and safety nets (which would boost Germany and France versus the U.S.  where such things are rare to non-existant).

There is bound to be some squabble over who is doing what when the G20 starts on Wednesday. Just remember the numbers.

(Reuters photo: Juan Medina)

Comments
2 comments so far | RSS Comments RSS

Not to worry – Obama will tell the G-20 thatthe U.S. taxpayer will “foot the bill” …. Hey – he gave away the farm; but, the U.S. taxpayer can afford it. After all, Obama got it straight from the “horse’s a.s.s” – Nancy Pelosi guaranteed him that Reid, Dood and Frank have all agreed taht the U.S. taxpayer needs to suffer some more – so, they are “kicking the taxpayer in the b.a.l.l.s” and watching to see John Q. Taxpayer double over in financial pain while they line their pockets with our $$$$.

Posted by J.Dawg | Report as abusive
 

It’s nice to have a President of the
US that seems respected by the rest of the
world as intelligent!

Posted by Don H | Report as abusive
 

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