China housing bubble will pop in second half of 2013: Forensic Asia
The Great China crash that many had predicted last year never came. But massive overinvestment in the property sector has led to a bubble that will eventually come tumbling down, Gillem Tulloch, founder and managing director of Forensic Asia, tells Reuters Insider.
I’ve never come across a government that’s managed to deflate a bubble gradually. What will likely happen is that confidence will suddenly go, and that, yes, the bubble will pop.
We do think the bubble will pop in the second half of the year once they stop injecting ridiculous amounts of credit into the economy.