Fed and BoE to markets: pay attention to pay

July 15, 2014

A bookie holds a wad of cash on the third day of the Cheltenham Festival horse racing meetingIt is more than a bit ironic that those paid the most to pay attention to incoming data aren’t paying enough attention to pay.

New EU takes shape

By Mike Peacock
July 15, 2014

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The new EU aristocracy will be put in place this week with the European Parliament to confirm Jean-Claude Juncker as the next European Commission President today and then EU leaders gathering for a summit on Wednesday at which they will work out who gets the other top jobs in Brussels.

Draghi vs Weidmann

By Mike Peacock
July 14, 2014

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European Central Bank President Mario Draghi makes a lengthy appearance in the European Parliament in Strasbourg. He will doubtless reassert that the ECB would start printing money if necessary but, as we reported last week, policymakers are fervently hoping they won’t have to and that a raft of measures announced in June will do enough to lift the economy and inflation.

Portugal: Reasons to think contagion will be contained

By Mike Peacock
July 11, 2014

Thursday saw the first meaningful bout of market contagion in Europe (and on into Wall Street) for this year at least and probably some way further back than that. The $64 million question is whether it will spiral or fizzle out.

Bank of England, the first mover?

By Mike Peacock
July 10, 2014

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After the European Central Bank kept alive the prospect of printing money and the U.S. economy enjoyed a bumper month of jobs hiring prompting some to bring forward their expectations for a first U.S. interest rate rise, the Bank of England holds a monthly policy meeting.

Draghi in London

By Mike Peacock
July 9, 2014

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European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will deliver an evening keynote speech in London – the scene for his game-changing “whatever it takes” declaration in 2012.

Key to UK interest rate hike, pay data, still a muddle

July 8, 2014

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Bank of England rate setters meeting this week should be in cordial agreement that Britain’s economy is growing at a decent pace, and that price pressures look mostly in check at the moment.

Juncker begins to fill in the gaps

By Mike Peacock
July 8, 2014

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European Commission president-elect Jean-Claude Juncker will hold talks with the various political groupings in the European Parliament as he seeks to develop policy positions. Most interesting would be indications about which way he is bending in the growth versus austerity debate.

U.S. hiring may be rebounding, but wage growth is not

July 7, 2014

AThe U.S. job market has finally turned a corner. What is remarkable is that it has taken so long.

Balance tilted in Ukraine?

By Mike Peacock
July 7, 2014

slaviansk.jpgUkrainian forces pushed pro-Russian rebels out of their stronghold of Slaviansk on Saturday. Its re-capture represents Kiev’s most notable military victory in three months of fighting in which more than 200 Ukrainian troops have been killed as well as hundreds of civilians and rebels.