While few people have had serious hopes for a prolonged Japanese economic boom for a long time, the range of forecasts provided for Japan’s recent economic performance gives you an idea of just how wildly unexpected the news was today that it is back in recession.
After European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi managed to bring his colleagues into line to sign up to his 1 trillion euros or so target to push into the ailing euro zone economy, today sees a raft of third quarter GDP reports which are likely to show just why more help may be needed.
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has given probably the clearest signal that rates aren’t going to rise for another year, and yet many analysts who are paid to predict and track the Bank’s every move seem to be in more of a muddle than ever before.
The Bank of England will produce its quarterly inflation report today. With wage growth still notable by its absence and inflation dropping to just 1.2 percent in September, noises from within the BoE suggest the timing of a first interest rate rise is heading further over the horizon.
Ukraine’s currency shed nearly 5 percent on Monday after a weekend that saw the heaviest shelling in a month of the main rebel stronghold in the east and signs that Moscow had dispatched troops and tanks to reinforce separatists. The prospect that a two-month-old ceasefire could collapse has helped drive the currency 12 percent lower since the central bank abandoned an unofficial peg a week ago.
After European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi managed to mend fences and get his colleagues to sign up to his 1 trillion euros or so target to push into the ailing euro zone economy, Paris hosts its version of the Jackson Hole central bankers meeting.
It’s ECB day. While the Federal Reserve has called time on its bond-buying and the Bank of Japan decided to create money at a more furious rate, the euro zone central bank will plot the middle course – waiting to gauge the impact of its recent efforts to pump more money into the currency bloc’s economy before entertaining further action.