British wage growth will outstrip the Bank of England’s forecast this year but that doesn’t mean the first rate hike will come sooner.
While Greece has been trapped in the clutches of an economic and sovereign debt crisis for half a decade, it has only been over the last month that the risk of leaving the euro has risen so dangerously high.
About a year ago, the European Central Bank singled out a recovery in bank loans to private businesses as crucial to a lasting economic recovery – and even more crucially for the ECB, a rise in inflation which it targets at 2 percent.
from Rahul Karunakar:
Almost a year after the European Central Bank announced new cash loans tied to actual lending to small and medium enterprises, data on Friday is expected to show euro zone private loans are picking up pace.
We’ve been told for years that a meaningful pickup in wages – usually the primary driver of domestic inflation – was required to set the stage for interest rate hikes both in the UK and the U.S.
Brazil’s relentless series of interest rates hikes is successfully lowering inflation expectations – despite recent signs to the contrary, from lottery to tomato prices.
There is one day to go before Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is supposed to meet EU bigwigs in a push for a political agreement on cash-for-reforms. Oneﾠglitch, though: the EU has only just received Tsipras’s new proposal, one that was supposed to have been handed over on Friday. Germanyﾒs Angela Merkel, Franceﾒs Francois Hollande and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker are not being given much time to prepare for their chat with the Greek leader.
One of the sideshows of the Greek crisis has been the noise on the subject from the United States, which in short just wants Europe to get on with it and make a deal. There was more of this over the weekend at the Group of Seven meeting in Germany, although not quite so blunt as some recent forays. Barack Obama was keen to join Germany in hoping for a speedy solution. But the White House did again remind those who may not be aware that global financial markets may get unhappy if there is no agreement.