Can’t pay, won’t pay

May 26, 2015

 

Latvian President Berzins welcomes Greek Prime Minister Tsipras at the Eastern Partnership Summit in RigaAfter many mixed messages in recent months, the Greek government seems to have alighted on one simple line: can’t pay, won’t pay.

Greek money seems close to running out

May 25, 2015

Greece's PM Tsipras, Malta's PM Muscat, EU Commission President Juncker and France's President Hollande attend an EU leaders summit in Brussels

The smart money has always been on a last-minute deal being done to keep Greece afloat with Athens making most of the concessions and the euro zone and IMF bending only a little. But the chances of a car crash are growing as each day passes.

Tsipras gets no leeway in Riga

May 22, 2015

Latvian President Berzins welcomes Greek Prime Minister Tsipras at the Eastern Partnership Summit in Riga

The Greek government states that a cash-for-reforms deal with the EU and IMF can be finalized in the next 10 days but the other side is much less optimistic and there was no sign of a breakthrough at the EU summit in Riga which Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras had been pinning some hope on.

Will Tsipras spring something in Riga?

May 21, 2015

Greece's PM Tsipras, Malta's PM Muscat, EU Commission President Juncker and France's President Hollande attend an EU leaders summit in BrusselsGreek premier Alexis Tsipras is pinning his hopes on using an EU leaders summit in Riga with eastern European partners from Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and others to strike the broad outline of a cash-for-reforms deal to stave off default.

Core Blimey! Why Britons should look beneath headline inflation

May 20, 2015

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????We all now know by now that British inflation has dipped to slightly less than zero, its weakest since 1960. Much of the recent weakness is down to the same reason inflation is so low in the euro zone, Britain’s main trading partner: the collapse in the price of oil.

More Greek talks, Riga summit unlikely to be decisive

May 20, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Greece’s European lenders have played down hopes of a swift end to aid negotiations and said talks must speed up before the country runs out of cash. That contrasted sharply with optimism in Athens where a series of top officials asserted that a deal was just days away.

A short tale of two central banks and (roughly) one inflation rate

May 19, 2015

Euro zone inflation rose to zero in April from -0.1 percent and in Britain it fell to -0.1 percent from zero, the first negative reading since the 1960s.

Greeks talk up deal prospects, but what has changed?

May 19, 2015

Greece's Finance Minister Varoufakis and Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem talk during an euro zone finance ministers meeting in Brussels

In an epic late-night talk show appearance, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said his government was nearing a cash-for-reforms deal with its euro zone partners and the International Monetary Fund that would help it meet debt repayments next month.

ECB sees inflation back by year-end

May 18, 2015

Mersch, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank presents an oversized newly unveiled 10 euro note at the headquarters of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt

An interesting weekend intervention by ECB policymaker Yves Mersch who said there was no question of winding up QE early and that inflation, still skulking around zero, would stay there until autumn then rise sharply late in the year towards 1.5 percent.

Cameron begins his Scottish dance

May 15, 2015

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron pass each other as they pay tribute at the Cenotaph to mark the 70th anniversary of VE Day in London

British Prime Minister David Cameron will hold talks in Scotland with the other big winner in last week’s elections, Scottish nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon, who has already warned him it cannot be “business as usual” with Scotland.