Deconstructing UK job numbers

April 16, 2014

On the face of it, the good news for the British government keeps on coming. Britain’s economy grew surprisingly fast last year and inflation fell below the Bank of England’s target for the first time in over four years in January. The government this month even got a nod from the International Monetary Fund which only last year criticized its austerity programme.

Euro will rally further, say the most accurate FX forecasters

April 11, 2014

The euro will rise even more, according to some of the top foreign exchange strategists who accurately predicted resilience in the common currency over the past year.

Greeks bearing bonds

By Mike Peacock
April 10, 2014

Greece will sell its first bond in four years.

We know it will aim to raise up to 2.5 billion euros of five-year paper via syndication and wants to pay less than 5.3 percent – remarkable since only two years ago it was tipped to crash out of the euro zone and yields on 10-year debt peaked above 40 percent on the secondary market. They dropped below six percent for the first time since 2010 on Wednesday.

A question of gas

By Mike Peacock
April 9, 2014

Vladimir Putin will meet senior Russian government officials to discuss Russia’s economic ties with Ukraine, including on energy after state-controlled natural gas producer Gazprom said Kiev missed a deadline to pay a $2.2 billion bill.

Ukraine inching back to the brink

By Mike Peacock
April 8, 2014

Pro-Moscow protesters in eastern Ukraine took up arms in one city and declared a separatist republic in another yesterday and the new build-up of tensions continues this morning.

To QE or not to QE?

By Mike Peacock
April 7, 2014

ECB Vice-President Vitor Constancio testifies to the European Parliament prior to attending the IMF Spring meeting in Washington at the back end of the week along with Mario Draghi and other colleagues. Jens Weidmann, Yves Mersch and Ewald Nowotny also speak today.

Good news for Greece?

By Mike Peacock
April 4, 2014

Unemployment is sky high, national debt is not far short of double the size of an economy which is still shrinking and its ruling coalition has a wafer-thin majority, yet there are glimmers of hope in Greece.

Reasons to do nothing

By Mike Peacock
April 3, 2014

It’s ECB day and the general belief is that it won’t do anything despite inflation dropping to 0.5 percent in March, chalking up its sixth successive month in the European Central Bank’s “danger zone” below 1 percent.

Weidmann back in the spotlight

By Mike Peacock
April 2, 2014

Euro zone finance ministers in Athens are joined by their EU counterparts outside the single currency area with work to be done on signing off on the final details of banking union and preparing a common line for the upcoming G20/IMF meeting in Washington. The elephant in the room will be the threat of deflation.

Hollande’s search for an elusive winning formula

By Mike Peacock
April 1, 2014

After a local election drubbing, French President Francois Hollande duly sacked his prime minister last night and tempered his economic reform drive, vowing to focus more on growth and “social justice”. A fuller cabinet reshuffle is expected today.