Kiev has appealed for Western help to stop Moscow annexing Crimea, where a referendum on joining Russia will be held on Sunday. Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatseniuk will take that message to Washington and the United Nations.
The West says the referendum is illegal. U.S. lawmakers are preparing sanctions against Russia and European Union leaders could impose penalties, such as bans on visas for key Russian officials, as early as Monday if Vladimir Putin does not come to the negotiating table. There is no sign that he will and there is no question of western force being deployed.
Germany’s Angela Merkel is in Warsaw for talks with Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Poland has been pressing for more aggressive action while Germany – with its deep economic and energy ties to Russia – is more reluctant. But it appears the EU is moving closer to imposing sanctions.
Ed Miliband, leader of Britain’s opposition Labour party, has stated in today’s FT that he would only hold an EU referendum if there was a new transfer of power from London to Brussels.
That ain’t going to happen – if there is any treaty change it will be focused on binding the euro zone closer together and Britain sits outside that. So if Labour wins next year’s election, or rules in coalition with the pro-EU Liberal Democrats thereafter, there will not be an in/out vote on the UK’s membership of the EU before 2020.
Now I call this important. The Conservative party is wedded to a 2017 vote having tried to repatriate powers from Brussels first. UKIP, the resurgent anti-EU party, had pushing Labour into a referendum commitment as its main goal.