Greeks talk up deal prospects, but what has changed?

By Mike Peacock
May 19, 2015

Greece's Finance Minister Varoufakis and Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem talk during an euro zone finance ministers meeting in Brussels

In an epic late-night talk show appearance, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said his government was nearing a cash-for-reforms deal with its euro zone partners and the International Monetary Fund that would help it meet debt repayments next month.

ECB sees inflation back by year-end

By Mike Peacock
May 18, 2015

Mersch, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank presents an oversized newly unveiled 10 euro note at the headquarters of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt

An interesting weekend intervention by ECB policymaker Yves Mersch who said there was no question of winding up QE early and that inflation, still skulking around zero, would stay there until autumn then rise sharply late in the year towards 1.5 percent.

Cameron begins his Scottish dance

By Mike Peacock
May 15, 2015

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron pass each other as they pay tribute at the Cenotaph to mark the 70th anniversary of VE Day in London

British Prime Minister David Cameron will hold talks in Scotland with the other big winner in last week’s elections, Scottish nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon, who has already warned him it cannot be “business as usual” with Scotland.

Watching Draghi at the IMF

By Mike Peacock
May 14, 2015

European Central Bank President Draghi and Vice President Constancio leave after addressing an ECB news conferenc in Frankfurt

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is in Washington for talks at the International Monetary Fund and will deliver a speech there. Presumably Greece will be item 1, 2, 3 and 4 on the agenda.

French growth leapfrogs Germany’s in Q1

By Mike Peacock
May 13, 2015

The French Pole Emploi stand is seen during the 20th Forum de l'Alternance in Paris

It’s euro zone GDP day. German and French data are already out with Europe’s largest economy growing by 0.3 percent, below both the 0.5 percent forecast and the 0.7 percent achieved in the last three months of 2014.

IMF paid but how much money does Greece have left?

By Mike Peacock
May 12, 2015

Greece's Finance Minister Varoufakis and Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem talk during an euro zone finance ministers meeting in Brussels

Greece made a 750 million euros repayment to the International Monetary Fund a day ahead of schedule on Monday but it is not clear precisely how much money Athens has left in its coffers.

High Brazil services inflation is hinting at even higher interest rates

May 11, 2015

Brazil's Finance Minister Joaquim Levy delivers a speech during a meeting with businessmen of the France-Brazil Chamber of Commerce in Sao Paulo

Brazil’s monthly inflation rate eased below 1 percent for the first time this year in April and inflation expectations for 2016 have dropped for the first time in two and a half months.

Another missed Greek opportunity?

By Mike Peacock
May 11, 2015

Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis leaves the European Commission headquarters in Brussels

What had been billed as another defining moment in the Greek saga now looks like it will be another missed opportunity.

From 1992 … Why the UK pollsters got it wrong

May 8, 2015

Pollsters failed dismally to predict the strength of support for Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservatives in this week’s national election — just as happened in 1992 when John Major scored an unexpectedly decisive victory. Here’s Reuters’ take on why the polling industry got it so wrong, 23 years ago.