Not all Fed policymakers sing from the same songbook

February 18, 2016

San Francisco Fed President John Williams on Thursday said he still thinks gradual interest-rate hikes are the “best course” (http://reut.rs/1RaUTa9), a view that fails to harmonize with that of fellow Fed policymaker James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed who said late Wednesday further rate hikes would be “unwise” (http://reut.rs/1XAnEjh)

Tepid UK wage growth may end calls for early BoE hike

February 17, 2016

A herder is seen between a caravan of camels, roped to each other tail-to-mouth, which haul blocks of salt from desert mines up the winding tracks for sale in Ethiopia's Afar highlands, March 7, 2007. The mysterious kidnapping of five Europeans and eight locals has put the international spotlight on a remote, barren and searingly hot corner of Ethiopia left behind by the modern world. The Afar region's 1.4 million inhabitants -- mainly nomads -- occupy one of the earth's harshest terrains. REUTERS/Radu Sigheti (ETHIOPIA) - RTR1N70J

Wednesday’s British pay data showing wages rose only 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter could well be the straw that broke the camel’s back for anyone still expecting the Bank of England to raise interest rates anytime soon.

Indian central bank to hold its horses while others bolt

February 15, 2016

A member of the Sikh Nihang warrior sect, mounts two racing horses during the annual "Rural Olympics" on February 22 in the village of Kilaraipur in India's northern state of Punjab. The three-day festival, in its 55th year, began on February 21. - RTXHNV1

Financial markets and borrowers rooting for the Reserve Bank of India to ease policy this year could be in for a disappointment – in stark contrast to 2015 when it lopped 125 basis points off the repo rate.

Can South Africa draw lessons from Brazil’s mistakes?

February 11, 2016

South Africa's Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan gestures during a media briefing to announce a new deputy governor of the central bank in Pretoria March 25, 2011. South African National Treasury Director General Lesetja Kganyago is to leave his position to become a deputy governor of the central bank from May 16, South African President Jacob Zuma said on Friday. REUTERS/Siphiwe Sibeko (SOUTH AFRICA - Tags: POLITICS BUSINESS) - RTR2KE94

Growth expectations for South Africa have tumbled in recent weeks as the government struggles with growing budget and trade gaps. Brazil walked a similar path a couple of years ago – but can South Africa draw any lessons from that spectacular fall?

German, Japanese industry on increasingly parallel lines

February 10, 2016

Workers assemble BMW i3 electric cars at the production line of the BMW factory in Leipzig September 18, 2013.  REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch (GERMANY - Tags: TRANSPORT) - RTX13PQV

A global slowdown in manufacturing that began late last year is getting more entrenched, particularly in Germany and Japan, economies that increasingly seem to share a lot in common apart from being the world’s two best-known exporters of high-tech cars and electronics.

January jobs, wage data may give little clarity on Fed moves

February 5, 2016

Eric Lipps, 52, waits in line to enter the NYCHires Job Fair in New York December 9, 2009. While the jobless rate has edged down, high unemployment rate remains a political headache for President Barack Obama and fellow Democrats, who are worried they will lose seats in Congress in next November's elections if faster recovery is not faster. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton (UNITED STATES BUSINESS EMPLOYMENT POLITICS IMAGES OF THE DAY) - RTXRNTC

Those expecting January’s U.S. payrolls and wages data to add clarity to the future of U.S. monetary policy may end up more confused instead, forecasts from the most accurate economists in Reuters polls suggest.

Floor getting lower for Chinese yuan

February 2, 2016

RTX23HPP.jpgWhen predicting the Chinese yuan, some forecasters seem to be coming around to the idea that calling an immediate floor on the currency may be a difficult call to make.

Brazil’s Congress reconvenes, mired in pessimism

February 2, 2016
A coffin that represents Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff burns during a protest calling for the impeachment of Rousseff in front of the National Congress in Brasilia, Brazil, December 13, 2015.  REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino - RTX1YHDB

A coffin that represents Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff burns during a protest calling for the impeachment of Rousseff in front of the National Congress in Brasilia, Brazil, December 13, 2015. REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino

Is growth in euro zone bank lending to companies fizzling out?

January 29, 2016

The European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi addresses a news conference at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, January 21, 2016. The ECB held interest rates at record lows on Thursday, but the market crash, tumbling bank stocks and ebbing inflation may set the stage for action later in the year.   REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach - RTX23E79

A meaningful economic revival in the euro zone that has any hope of generating inflation pressures of its own rests mainly on a pickup in demand.

Kicking the can down the road on British rates – again

January 28, 2016

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney speaks during the bank's quarterly inflation report news conference at the Bank of England in London August 13, 2014. The Bank of England forecast on Wednesday that wages would grow far more slowly than previously expected and linked their rate of increase closely to borrowing costs, suggesting it was in no hurry to raise Britain's record low interest rates.  REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett   (BRITAIN - Tags: BUSINESS POLITICS) - RTR4299J

Forecasts for when the Bank of England will raise rates have been put off into the future for the seventh time since Mark Carney became Bank of England Governor nearly three years ago.