How much longer can consumers underpin Canada’s economy?

September 23, 2015

RTR4MCGY.jpgThe Bank of Canada is hoping the average Canadian continues to do the heavy lifting for the economy and gets it out of its rut from the first half of the year, even with dangerously high household debt levels. That may be a big ask.

Fear could lead Fed into a much more fearsome trap

September 18, 2015

Delaying its first rate hike in nearly a decade after taking a pass in June and July means the U.S. central bank may have stepped further away from an escape from zero rates and $3.7 trillion of asset purchases bloating its balance sheet.

Rate hikes are coming… in Latin America

September 17, 2015

Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen prepares to testify before a House Financial Services committee hearing on Capitol Hill at in Washington

Latin American central banks are watching today’s Federal Reserve meeting very closely. Some are ready to raise their own interest rates, even if Yellen does not pull the trigger now.

Sweet spot for UK pay could be just the nectar the economy needs

September 16, 2015

RTR309S7.jpgBritish workers have hit a sweet spot with wages rising much faster than near-zero inflation, suggesting the economy could gain further momentum as consumers spend their spare cash.

Inflation may still be far off target, but rates will soon be rising

September 15, 2015

USA/Inflation may be far off target but economists are convinced the United States Federal Reserve and the Bank of England will soon begin raising rates from near zero – with the Fed poised to act as soon as Thursday.

This time, BOJ could wait and watch before coming to yen’s rescue

September 15, 2015

U.S. one-hundred dollar bill and Japanese 10,000 yen notes are spread in TokyoThe Japanese yen has strengthened unexpectedly by about 4 percent over the last month and it could rise further if the U.S. Federal Reserve delays a rate hike and the dollar weakens.

Many say it’s time for the ECB to ramp up QE. But how to make it work?

September 14, 2015

RTX1QWU5.jpgThat the European Central Bank will have to soon add to its massive stimulus programme is fast becoming the consensus view among economists, although how it will do that effectively is far from clear.

Stronger dollar still set to fuel inflation in Latin America, despite weak growth

September 10, 2015

A customer selects bananas as others buy goods at a fruit and vegetable store in CaracasFor months, Latin America’s inflation has been surprisingly steady given the steep drop of their currencies. Weak growth helped curb prices – but that may be about to change.

Will a weak Canadian dollar really lead to stronger exports?

September 9, 2015

A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto

Canada’s near two-year-long attempt to boost exports through a weaker currency so far has proved futile.

Japan inflation expectations wilting once again

September 9, 2015

Not againThe biggest attention grabber out of Japan is today’s 7.7% moonshot on the stock market, based on hopes of further central bank stimulus in Asia as well as an expected corporation tax cut over the next few years. Never mind that this comes just one day after the Nikkei joined many other major global stock indexes in wiping out its gains for the year.