Grass getting flattened by fighting FX elephants

August 27, 2015

Young male elephants lock tusks in battle on the plains at the foot of Mount Kilimanjaro in Amboseli national park, southern KenyaThe ongoing race to the bottom for currencies this year is hurtling towards a zero-sum result.

Fed on horns of not-so-bullish dilemma: markets or economy?

August 25, 2015

The Federal Reserve increasingly looks stuck on the horns of a not-so-bullish dilemma: should it pay attention to global developments in financial markets, which argue for pause, or should it focus squarely on U.S. economic data, which suggest the time is nigh to hike?

More signs of ‘Britain the Unbalanced’

August 5, 2015

PMI chart

While still signaling a solid rate of economic expansion in Britain, the latest batch of business surveys from Markit/CIPS will do little to quell unease about the lopsidedness of the recovery.

India’s central bank nearing policy crossroads

June 11, 2015

Traffic moves at busy intersection in New DelhiThe Reserve Bank of India is facing a fork in the road for the first time since Governor Raghuram Rajan took office amid much fanfare and started targeting inflation as the central bank’s primary mandate.

A bit of Greek clarity from an act of defiance

By Mike Peacock
June 5, 2015

People make their way past a stencil by street artist Flip in Athens

Greece’s decision to delay a 300-million-euro payment to the IMF today and instead try to meet all June’s payments at the end of the month was probably an act of bravado for domestic consumption but it also clarifies things.

Will Tsipras spring something in Riga?

By Mike Peacock
May 21, 2015

Greece's PM Tsipras, Malta's PM Muscat, EU Commission President Juncker and France's President Hollande attend an EU leaders summit in BrusselsGreek premier Alexis Tsipras is pinning his hopes on using an EU leaders summit in Riga with eastern European partners from Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and others to strike the broad outline of a cash-for-reforms deal to stave off default.

After the election shock, big questions

By Mike Peacock
May 8, 2015

Britain's PM Cameron arrives with his wife Samantha at Number 10 Downing Street in London

A surprisingly decisive election win for Britain’s Conservative party has cheered financial markets and will probably allow Prime Minister David Cameron to govern unencumbered by coalition partners.

Greece points finger of blame at its creditors

By Mike Peacock
May 6, 2015

Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis leaves the European Commission headquarters in Brussels

After another day of to-and-fro on Greece’s bailout, Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said he expected euro zone finance ministers to acknowledge next Monday progress towards a cash-for-reform deal, opening the way to easing Athens’ liquidity crisis.

IMF playing hardball on Greece

By Mike Peacock
May 5, 2015

A man holding a Greek national flag and a placard walks in Constitution Square in Athens

We’ve heard various dates for when Greece will run out of money and some have already passed without incident but it is clear Athens’ cash position is getting increasingly desperate and it hasn’t yet managed to win over its creditors with economic reform plans.

Last TV debate over, election run-in begins

By Mike Peacock
May 1, 2015

Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron gestures as he delivers an election speech at an engineering factory in Birmingham

With most of Europe taking May Day off, the focus is firmly on pre-election Britain.