Murky data fuel doubt over where emerging markets really stand

October 2, 2015

European Economic and Financial Affairs Commissioner Moscovici and IMF Managing Director Lagarde speak as they wait for a group photo of the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in AnkaraIf emerging markets are to lead global economic performance one again as they did in recent years, an important foundation will be to convince as many people as possible that reported growth data are as accurate as they can possibly be.

Political uncertainty threatens to tap the brakes on Spain’s fledgling recovery

September 28, 2015

Once one of the hardest-hit economies in Europe from the global financial crisis, Spain’s recent economic success sets a good precedent for the euro zone’s potential for recovery. But political machinations on the horizon could put the progress it has made at risk.

Many say it’s time for the ECB to ramp up QE. But how to make it work?

September 14, 2015

RTX1QWU5.jpgThat the European Central Bank will have to soon add to its massive stimulus programme is fast becoming the consensus view among economists, although how it will do that effectively is far from clear.

Weak growth may force India’s central bank to reconsider inflation focus

September 1, 2015

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan speaks to The Economic Club of New York, in midtown ManhattanFor all its single-minded focus on lowering inflation, India’s central bank may be forced to acknowledge slowing growth in Asia’s third largest economy by cutting interest rates — probably faster than it expected.

South Africa’s Q2 GDP growth punches way below expectations in worrying sign for emerging markets

August 25, 2015

South Africa’s second quarter growth undershot economists’ expectations in spectacular fashion on Tuesday, a clear signal emerging markets face torrid times.

India’s central bank nearing policy crossroads

June 11, 2015

Traffic moves at busy intersection in New DelhiThe Reserve Bank of India is facing a fork in the road for the first time since Governor Raghuram Rajan took office amid much fanfare and started targeting inflation as the central bank’s primary mandate.

More Greek talks, Riga summit unlikely to be decisive

By Mike Peacock
May 20, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Greece’s European lenders have played down hopes of a swift end to aid negotiations and said talks must speed up before the country runs out of cash. That contrasted sharply with optimism in Athens where a series of top officials asserted that a deal was just days away.

Cameron begins his Scottish dance

By Mike Peacock
May 15, 2015

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron pass each other as they pay tribute at the Cenotaph to mark the 70th anniversary of VE Day in London

British Prime Minister David Cameron will hold talks in Scotland with the other big winner in last week’s elections, Scottish nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon, who has already warned him it cannot be “business as usual” with Scotland.

French growth leapfrogs Germany’s in Q1

By Mike Peacock
May 13, 2015

The French Pole Emploi stand is seen during the 20th Forum de l'Alternance in Paris

It’s euro zone GDP day. German and French data are already out with Europe’s largest economy growing by 0.3 percent, below both the 0.5 percent forecast and the 0.7 percent achieved in the last three months of 2014.

U.S. growth outlook snowed under yet again

April 29, 2015

SFor many years in a row, since a form of feeble recovery began from the worst financial crisis in more than 80 years, a similar pattern of déjà vu has set in for the U.S. economy.