Grexit polled probability strikes danger zone for the first time

June 30, 2015

Man walks by a bank in Athens, GreeceWhile Greece has been trapped in the clutches of an economic and sovereign debt crisis for half a decade, it has only been over the last month that the risk of leaving the euro has risen so dangerously high.

Grexit and Brexit

June 9, 2015

There is one day to go before Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is supposed to meet EU bigwigs in a push for a political agreement on cash-for-reforms. Oneᅠglitch, though: the EU has only just received Tsipras’s new proposal, one that was supposed to have been  handed over on Friday. Germanyメs Angela Merkel, Franceメs Francois Hollande and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker are not being given much time to prepare for their chat with the Greek leader.

When America gets snippy about Europe

June 8, 2015

One of the sideshows of the Greek crisis has been the noise on the subject from the United States, which in short just wants Europe to get on with it and make a deal. There was more of this over the weekend at the Group of Seven meeting in Germany, although not quite so blunt as some recent forays. Barack Obama was keen to join Germany in hoping for a speedy solution. But the White House did again remind those who may not be aware that global financial markets may get unhappy if there is no agreement.

A bit of Greek clarity from an act of defiance

By Mike Peacock
June 5, 2015

People make their way past a stencil by street artist Flip in Athens

Greece’s decision to delay a 300-million-euro payment to the IMF today and instead try to meet all June’s payments at the end of the month was probably an act of bravado for domestic consumption but it also clarifies things.

The end game approaches

By Mike Peacock
June 4, 2015

Greek Prime Minister Tsipras walks with European Commission President Juncker ahead of a meeting at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels

One way or another, the end game for Greece approaches.

Last night, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras left talks with senior EU officials in Brussels saying a deal with creditors was “within sight” and that Athens would make a payment due to the IMF on Friday.

As window closes, Greek activity picks up

By Mike Peacock
June 3, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in BerlinIt’s still not clear if a Greek deal will be done but the pace of activity has certainly picked up.

The “take it or leave” it moment?

By Mike Peacock
June 2, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel, French President Hollande and European Commission President Juncker arrive to make statements to the media before a meeting with top company executives in Berlin

Five people who hold Greece’s fate in their hands – Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, Mario Draghi, Jean-Claude Juncker and Christine Lagarde – met for talks in Berlin last night.

Beneath the babble, little sign of Greek progress

By Mike Peacock
June 1, 2015

Greece's Finance Minister Varoufakis and Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem talk during an euro zone finance ministers meeting in Brussels

We went into the weekend pondering the Greek government’s expectation that a cash-for-reforms deal would be agreed on Sunday, and we come out the other side with no breakthrough … again.

Greek claim and counter-claim

By Mike Peacock
May 28, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Another day of claim and counter-claim.

The Greek government said a deal with its lenders had reached the drafting stage and would not require wages and pensions cuts or reforms to the VAT regime. It didn’t take long for euro zone officials to retort that this simply was not the case and that the two sides remained far apart.

G7 ministers face full in-tray

By Mike Peacock
May 27, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel talks to Finance Minister Schaeuble during a debate of the Bundestag in Berlin

G7 finance ministers and central bankers gather in Dresden later today for a two-day meeting at an interesting juncture for the world economy.