Beware the bias in euro zone forecasts (again)

October 29, 2013

Next time you ask an economist a question about the euro zone, be sure to enquire where their head office is based.

A tale of two budgets

By Mike Peacock
October 15, 2013

 

It’s deadline day for euro zone member states to submit their 2014 budget plans to the European Commission for inspection and we’re waiting on Italy and Ireland.

Greek turning point?

By Mike Peacock
October 7, 2013

Greece will unveil its draft 2014 budget plan which is expected to forecast an end to six years of recession.

Oh Silvio

By Mike Peacock
September 30, 2013

Even before the vote on his political future, Silvio Berlusconi ordered his five ministers to quit Italy’s teetering coalition government over the weekend in an attempt to force fresh elections.

Euro chat resumes

By Mike Peacock
September 13, 2013

After the summer lull, euro zone and EU finance ministers meet in Lithuania. The “informal Ecofin” can often be quite a big deal but with German elections only nine days away, it’s hard to see that being the case this time.

Back from the beach

By Mike Peacock
August 26, 2013

Back from a two-week break, so what have I missed?

All the big and ghastly news has come from the Middle East but there have been interesting developments in the European economic sphere.
It seems safe to say that Britain’s economic recovery is on track, and maybe more broadly rooted than in just consumer spending and a housing market recovery (bubble?).

Silvio’s trials

By Mike Peacock
August 2, 2013

Italy’s Supreme Court last night upheld Silvio Berlusconi’s conviction for tax fraud and a four-year jail term, to the fury of the man who has dominated Italian politics for 20 years and throwing a fragile coalition government into peril.

A Marshall Plan for Greece

July 30, 2013

The spectacular failure of “expansionary austerity” policies has set Greece on a path worse than the Great Depression, according to a study from the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College.

Spain on the way back … to stagnation

By Mike Peacock
July 30, 2013

Spain heads the rest of the euro zone pack with second quarter GDP figures at a time when we’re seeing glimmers of hope, with surveys suggesting the currency area could resume growth in the third quarter.

An Italian in Greece

By Mike Peacock
July 29, 2013

Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta will be in Athens for talks with Greek premier Antonis Samaras today with (whisper it) the prospect of the euro zone enjoying its first summer lull for years, in fact all the way up to German elections on Sept. 22.