Political uncertainty threatens to tap the brakes on Spain’s fledgling recovery

September 28, 2015

Once one of the hardest-hit economies in Europe from the global financial crisis, Spain’s recent economic success sets a good precedent for the euro zone’s potential for recovery. But political machinations on the horizon could put the progress it has made at risk.

Many say it’s time for the ECB to ramp up QE. But how to make it work?

September 14, 2015

RTX1QWU5.jpgThat the European Central Bank will have to soon add to its massive stimulus programme is fast becoming the consensus view among economists, although how it will do that effectively is far from clear.

Weak growth may force India’s central bank to reconsider inflation focus

September 1, 2015

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan speaks to The Economic Club of New York, in midtown ManhattanFor all its single-minded focus on lowering inflation, India’s central bank may be forced to acknowledge slowing growth in Asia’s third largest economy by cutting interest rates — probably faster than it expected.

The end game approaches

By Mike Peacock
June 4, 2015

Greek Prime Minister Tsipras walks with European Commission President Juncker ahead of a meeting at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels

One way or another, the end game for Greece approaches.

Last night, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras left talks with senior EU officials in Brussels saying a deal with creditors was “within sight” and that Athens would make a payment due to the IMF on Friday.

French growth leapfrogs Germany’s in Q1

By Mike Peacock
May 13, 2015

The French Pole Emploi stand is seen during the 20th Forum de l'Alternance in Paris

It’s euro zone GDP day. German and French data are already out with Europe’s largest economy growing by 0.3 percent, below both the 0.5 percent forecast and the 0.7 percent achieved in the last three months of 2014.

IMF playing hardball on Greece

By Mike Peacock
May 5, 2015

A man holding a Greek national flag and a placard walks in Constitution Square in Athens

We’ve heard various dates for when Greece will run out of money and some have already passed without incident but it is clear Athens’ cash position is getting increasingly desperate and it hasn’t yet managed to win over its creditors with economic reform plans.

Russian rates to fall as rouble rallies

By Mike Peacock
April 30, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Russia’s central bank is expected to cut interest rates today, following a sharp rally in the rouble in tandem with oil’s recovery.

Déjà vu? Fed may struggle to hike if U.S. optimism fades for H2

April 28, 2015

RTR4VVNE.jpgThe U.S. Federal Reserve may find it even more tough to raise interest rates as the year wears on if dwindling expectations for growth are any guide.

Looking for Greek hints from ECB

By Mike Peacock
April 15, 2015

European Central Bank President Draghi and Vice President Constancio leave after addressing an ECB news conferenc in FrankfurtIt’s European Central Bank day and with quantitative easing now well underway any morsels it hands out on its approach to Greece are likely to capture the headlines.

Completing the Q1 euro zone picture

By Mike Peacock
April 7, 2015

Shoppers look for goods in a Karstadt hot deal department store in  in Frankfurt/Oder

Service sector PMI surveys for euro zone members, Britain and others in March will complete a first quarter picture which has generally shown the currency bloc outperforming the United States and China.