Housing markets in U.S., UK, Canada set to cool even if rates stay low for longer

November 25, 2014

AEven as the expected date for an eventual interest rate rise in the U.S., Britain and Canada keeps getting pushed further into the future, the outlook for residential housing markets in these countries is also starting to cool.

The Mark and George show

By Mike Peacock
June 12, 2014

The Mansion House dinner in the City of London is one of Britain’s big set-pieces of the year featuring speeches by Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and finance minister George Osborne.

Smoke signals from the Bank of England

By Mike Peacock
May 14, 2014

Given the silence that attends Bank of England policy meetings which result in no change of course, today’s quarterly inflation report is the main chance to hear the latest thinking. Governor Mark Carney will talk to the media for an hour or so after its release.

U.S. new home sales: the good, the bad and the ugly

April 23, 2014

What’s happening with the U.S. housing market?

Ask three different economists and you’ll get three different answers.

While that’s not anything new, the different ways some analysts have spun the surprise — one of the biggest on U.S. data in many months — is exceptionally far from anything resembling a consensus.

The Bank of Canada is probably not ready to seriously consider cutting rates — yet

January 22, 2014

With all signs showing the Canadian economic miracle is fading, the Bank of Canada is understandably starting to sound more dovish. The Canadian dollar has got a whiff of that, down about 10 percent from where it was this time last year.

Spain ascendant?

By Mike Peacock
January 16, 2014

Spain appears to be on the road to recovery, if you can call it that with around a quarter of the workforce without a job.

Housing boom and bust lesson still not sinking in

November 28, 2013

Housing markets are booming again in parts of the U.S. and Britain and they haven’t stopped doing so in Canada for the better part of a generation.

The big questions on the UK housing market: what the analysts say

November 28, 2013

Although UK house prices will head steadily higher in the next two years, analysts polled by Reuters are divided over whether the Bank of England can restrain the market if it overheats. Here’s what they said in the latest Reuters poll, taken this week:

French travails

By Mike Peacock
November 12, 2013

The Bank of France’s monthly report forecasts growth of 0.4 percent in the last three months of the year, up from an anaemic 0.1 percent in the third quarter. That still makes for a fairly doleful 2013 as a whole.

A question of liquidity

By Mike Peacock
October 31, 2013

The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep printing dollars at an unchanged rate, mirrored by the Bank of Japan sticking with its massive stimulus programme, should have surprised nobody.