Brazil’s currency tests central bank’s patience

October 5, 2015

Brazil's Central Bank President Tombini gestures during a public hearing of the Budget Joint Commission in the Chamber of Deputies in Brasilia

The Brazilian real’s dramatic drop has left the central bank with two options: jack up rates aggressively in one startling move, or tolerate higher inflation for longer.

Japan inflation expectations wilting once again

September 9, 2015

Not againThe biggest attention grabber out of Japan is today’s 7.7% moonshot on the stock market, based on hopes of further central bank stimulus in Asia as well as an expected corporation tax cut over the next few years. Never mind that this comes just one day after the Nikkei joined many other major global stock indexes in wiping out its gains for the year.

UK pay may be taking off but rates will stay grounded for a while yet

July 2, 2015

The Bank of England is seen through columns in LondonBritish wage growth will outstrip the Bank of England’s forecast this year but that doesn’t mean the first rate hike will come sooner.

Brazil’s relentless rate hikes shielding economy from inflation bout

June 16, 2015

Employee arranges pricetags at vegetables work bench during the opening day of upmarket Italian food hall chain Eataly's flagship store in downtown Milan

Brazil’s relentless series of interest rates hikes is successfully lowering inflation expectations – despite recent signs to the contrary, from lottery to tomato prices.

High Brazil services inflation is hinting at even higher interest rates

May 11, 2015

Brazil's Finance Minister Joaquim Levy delivers a speech during a meeting with businessmen of the France-Brazil Chamber of Commerce in Sao Paulo

Brazil’s monthly inflation rate eased below 1 percent for the first time this year in April and inflation expectations for 2016 have dropped for the first time in two and a half months.

India inflation consistently tough to pin down

September 4, 2012

High inflation is a drag on economic growth in the world’s second most populous country and matters immensely to over 400 million people, or over a third of India’s total population, who struggle to earn enough to feed their families three meals a day.

Inflation no obstacle to more Fed easing

May 25, 2012

Another reason the Federal Reserve may have additional room for monetary easing: Inflation expectations fell sharply in May, according to the latest Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment. Inflation expectations five years out dropped to 2.7 percent in May, the lowest since January. Fed officials often say expectations are a key leading indicator of actual price increases.

QE3 more plausible if inflation expectations keep falling

October 14, 2011

When it comes to the price stability half of their mandate, Federal Reserve officials have made one thing clear: they will not allow inflation expectations to veer very far from their preferred path. That’s because they believe inflation expectations are a good proxy for the pace of future price increases.

Rip-off Britain in effect

July 13, 2010

While most of the developed world frets about deflation, in Britain, inflation just won’t quit. 

Watch price of booze for inflation tips, says Cleveland Fed

May 19, 2010

What do the price of infants’ clothing and alcohol have in common? They are “sticky prices” that rarely change.