Does the Bank of England really follow the Fed?

July 21, 2015

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????“Daft” is how outgoing Bank of England policymaker David Miles described the idea that Britain’s central bank would have to wait for the U.S. Federal Reserve before hiking interest rates.

Interest rates hikes are not done and dusted

July 20, 2015

U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chair Yellen talks with Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, during the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Istanbul

The U.S. and British central banks are scrambling to be the first of the majors to raise interest rates after a long period of unprecedented monetary generosity. It won’t happen immediately but both Janet Yellen, who chairs the U.S. Federal Reserve, and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney say there will be a hike this year (Yellen) or around the end of the year (Carney). Might this be a bit of a rush? Not everything in the world economy is as sanguine as the U.S. and British economies purport to be.

Fed: behind the curve, or too trigger happy? Neither

July 15, 2015

?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????As the U.S. Federal Reserve edges closer to its first interest hike in nearly a decade, its critics are lining up into one of two camps: either the Fed is hopelessly behind the curve, and will have to grapple with runaway inflation very soon; or the Fed seems overzealous in wanting to get interest rates back to what it would call a normal level and instead should wait until late this year or next before hiking.

Brazil’s relentless rate hikes shielding economy from inflation bout

June 16, 2015

Employee arranges pricetags at vegetables work bench during the opening day of upmarket Italian food hall chain Eataly's flagship store in downtown Milan

Brazil’s relentless series of interest rates hikes is successfully lowering inflation expectations – despite recent signs to the contrary, from lottery to tomato prices.

The end game approaches

By Mike Peacock
June 4, 2015

Greek Prime Minister Tsipras walks with European Commission President Juncker ahead of a meeting at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels

One way or another, the end game for Greece approaches.

Last night, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras left talks with senior EU officials in Brussels saying a deal with creditors was “within sight” and that Athens would make a payment due to the IMF on Friday.

As window closes, Greek activity picks up

By Mike Peacock
June 3, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in BerlinIt’s still not clear if a Greek deal will be done but the pace of activity has certainly picked up.

The “take it or leave” it moment?

By Mike Peacock
June 2, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel, French President Hollande and European Commission President Juncker arrive to make statements to the media before a meeting with top company executives in Berlin

Five people who hold Greece’s fate in their hands – Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, Mario Draghi, Jean-Claude Juncker and Christine Lagarde – met for talks in Berlin last night.

Can’t pay, won’t pay

By Mike Peacock
May 26, 2015


Latvian President Berzins welcomes Greek Prime Minister Tsipras at the Eastern Partnership Summit in RigaAfter many mixed messages in recent months, the Greek government seems to have alighted on one simple line: can’t pay, won’t pay.

Will Tsipras spring something in Riga?

By Mike Peacock
May 21, 2015

Greece's PM Tsipras, Malta's PM Muscat, EU Commission President Juncker and France's President Hollande attend an EU leaders summit in BrusselsGreek premier Alexis Tsipras is pinning his hopes on using an EU leaders summit in Riga with eastern European partners from Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and others to strike the broad outline of a cash-for-reforms deal to stave off default.

More Greek talks, Riga summit unlikely to be decisive

By Mike Peacock
May 20, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Greece’s European lenders have played down hopes of a swift end to aid negotiations and said talks must speed up before the country runs out of cash. That contrasted sharply with optimism in Athens where a series of top officials asserted that a deal was just days away.