Euro zone litmus tests

By Mike Peacock
November 27, 2014

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Two vital gauges of euro zone progress, or lack of it, today.

German inflation for November is forecast to slip to 0.6 percent and will cue up the euro zone figure on Friday, which is predicted to come in at just 0.3 percent. Spanish inflation, due earlier, is forecast to come in at -0.3 percent.

UK politics thrown up in the air

By Mike Peacock
November 21, 2014

Nigel Farage, leader of UKIP, cheers as it is announced that UKIP candidate Mark Reckless won the by-election at Medway Park in Gillingham

As predicted, Britain’s surging anti-EU party UKIP snatched a second parliamentary seat from the ruling Conservatives overnight.

UKIP looking for next advance

By Mike Peacock
November 20, 2014

United Kingdom Independence Party leader Nigel Farage reacts duing a photocall outside the party campaign office in Rochester southeast England

Never heard of Rochester and Strood? You might have by tomorrow. The southern England constituency votes today following the defection of its Conservative parliamentarian to anti-EU UKIP.

Germany just dodges recession

By Mike Peacock
November 14, 2014

Traders are pictured at their desks in front of the DAX board at the Frankfurt stock exchange

After European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi managed to bring his colleagues into line to sign up to his 1 trillion euros or so target to push into the ailing euro zone economy, today sees a raft of third quarter GDP reports which are likely to show just why more help may be needed.

A Bank of England dovecote?

By Mike Peacock
November 12, 2014

Bank of England Governor and Financial Stability Board (FSB) Chairman Mark Carney arrives for a news conference at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in Basel

The Bank of England will produce its quarterly inflation report today. With wage growth still notable by its absence and inflation dropping to just 1.2 percent in September, noises from within the BoE suggest the timing of a first interest rate rise is heading further over the horizon.

Anaemic growth at best

By Mike Peacock
November 5, 2014

Lithuanian 1 euro coins are pictured in the Lithuanian Mint in Vilnius

Service sector PMI surveys for euro zone member states offer the last piece in the economic data jigsaw for the European Central Bank to ponder before its policy decision on Thursday.

Fed heads one way, BoJ the other. What now for ECB?

By Mike Peacock
November 3, 2014

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After the Federal Reserve wound up its bond-buying programme, as expected, and the Bank of Japan sprung a surprise by sharply increasing the pace of its money-printing, this week the European Central Bank takes its monthly bow and will probably come up with nothing new.

Market selloff – blip or new crisis?

By Mike Peacock
October 16, 2014

A trader watches the screen in his terminal on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York

A two-day summit of EU and Asian leaders, which was going to be most notable for a meeting between the heads of Russia and Ukraine, risks being overtaken by financial market tremors which have spread worldwide.

Shocking German figures

By Mike Peacock
October 7, 2014

A new Mercedes AMG GT super sports car rim is seen during a factory tour for journalists at the Mercedes AMG headquarters in Affalterbach

After a stunning fall in German industrial orders for August – the 5.7 percent monthly drop was the largest since the global financial crisis raged in 2009 – industrial output for the same month has just plunged by 4.0 percent, also the biggest fall in five years.

Turkey poised to intervene?

By Mike Peacock
October 3, 2014

Iraqi Shi'ite militia fighters stand atop destroyed vehicles belonging to Islamic State militants outside Bo Hassan village near Tikrit

Turkey’s parliament has voted to give the government a green light to order military action against Islamic State as the insurgents tightened their grip on a Syrian border town, sending thousands more Kurdish refugees into Turkey.