Recalculating: Central bank roadmaps leave markets lost

August 8, 2013

Central banks in Europe have followed in the Federal Reserve’s footsteps by adopting “forward guidance” in a break with traditionBut, as in the Fed’s case, the increased transparency seems to have only made investors more confused.

Britain’s Help to Buy unites analysts about its dangers

May 29, 2013

Even if they can’t agree how much Britain’s Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme will boost the housing market, analysts in the latest Reuters poll are united by an understanding of its dangers.

Scotland catches up with the UK economy – and maybe more?

May 3, 2013


Updated to show Scotland’s composite PMI has bettered the UK equivalent for seven straight months now, after Monday’s data.

Still not thinking the very thinkable on Britain’s future

February 20, 2013

Mark these words. Not only is Britain going to avoid a triple-dip recession, but the economy won’t shrink again as far as the eye can see.

The wider point about Britain’s “triple-dip” recession threat

January 25, 2013

Britain’s economy shrank an estimated 0.3 percent at the end of 2012 and every major media outlet says it points to a big risk of a triple-dip recession.

BoEasing

June 22, 2012

The Bank of England is finally catching a break. With Britain’s economy officially in recession, the BoE had been constrained from further monetary easing by a stubbornly high inflation rate. But as the global economy stumbles and Europe’s crisis rages unabated, UK price pressures may be giving way.

An even more British excuse

July 26, 2011

Britons have a reputation for endless talk about the weather, and the UK’s Office for National Statistics is no different.

A very British excuse

July 26, 2011

This time it was the royal wedding. When the economy shrank unexpectedly late last year, it was the bad weather. If Britain’s economy again struggles to generate growth in the current quarter, perhaps it will be blamed on the new series of ‘The Apprentice’.

Another shocker on the way for UK growth?

July 25, 2011

Could British economic growth figures for the second quarter mark another shocker for bank economists?

Darkening outlook for UK housing

September 23, 2010

The outlook for the UK housing market has darkened again. The usually optimistic bunch of property market watchers polled by Reuters, who have tended to predict ever-rising property prices no matter what the season or financial climate, now say the market will move sideways for the next two years.