Comments on: Cameron’s backward-looking speech Tue, 30 Sep 2014 12:44:03 +0000 hourly 1 By: Westmoreland51 Thu, 24 Jan 2013 09:32:15 +0000 Mark Leonard has a point. It would be foolish for the UK to move away from the cockpit of global affairs. However with its deathbed demography one wonders what global reach Germany, Italy, Spain and Poland (even combined) are going to have in the coming years. Yeah ok, it isn’t a short-term problem. But, like America’s debt, at some point there will be a day of reckoning.

There is also this assumption that the U.S. will still be a superpower in the next century, and that China and India will definitely rise to match it. The U.S. is the most indebted society in history, and (speaking as someone with an American family) is a radically changing country so no one can be sure where the U.S. will go. As for India, well their rise will depend heavily on controlling corruption and sectarianism, considering the changing demography there. Permanance is the illusion of every age, and guestimates about where the world will go invariably ignore potential population movements and sizes, as well as sectarianism.