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	<title>Mark Weinraub</title>
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		<title>U.S. corn planting pace ties slowest on record</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/29/usa-crops-progress-idUSL2N0DG1SP20130429?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/04/29/u-s-corn-planting-pace-ties-slowest-on-record/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Apr 2013 21:22:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=58</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, April 29 (Reuters) &#8211; Rain around the U.S. Midwest kept farmers out of fields last week matching the slowest corn planting pace ever, government data released on Monday showed. The weather also took a toll on the developing winter wheat crop, which deteriorated to its worst condition for this time of year in 17 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, April 29 (Reuters) &#8211; Rain around the U.S. Midwest<br />
kept farmers out of fields last week matching the slowest corn<br />
planting pace ever, government data released on Monday showed.</p>
<p>The weather also took a toll on the developing winter wheat<br />
crop, which deteriorated to its worst condition for this time of<br />
year in 17 years.</p>
<p>The U.S. Agriculture Department said corn planting, as of<br />
April 28, was 5 percent complete, just 1 percentage point ahead<br />
of where farmers were a week ago. The pace was the slowest since<br />
1984, when farmers also had completed just 5 percent of their<br />
corn planting.</p>
<p>Analysts had predicted corn planting to be 9 percent<br />
finished, according to the average of 13 estimates in a Reuters<br />
poll that ranged from 7 to 11 percent.</p>
<p>Prior to USDA&#8217;s planting report, corn traders on Monday had<br />
expected a slow planting place and bid Chicago corn futures 6<br />
percent higher for their biggest gain since July.</p>
<p>In Iowa, the top U.S. corn producing state, planting was<br />
just 2 percent complete. Farmers in Illinois and Indiana, two<br />
other major producers, had finished just 1 percent of their corn<br />
seeding.</p>
<p>&#8220;Wet fields are the topic for most farmers across the<br />
state,&#8221; the Illinois field office of USDA&#8217;s National<br />
Agricultural Statistics Service said in a report. &#8220;The heavy<br />
rains from the week before combined with the cooler-than-normal<br />
temperatures, have many fields still too wet. There has been no<br />
significant planting done yet.&#8221;</p>
<p>The five-year U.S. average for the end of April is 31<br />
percent, while a year ago, farmers had finished 49 percent of<br />
their corn planting. Corn planting in 2012 was completed in<br />
record time but the final crop came in well below expectations<br />
due to the drought that hit the Midwest during the summer.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our main concern is not that we didn&#8217;t get most of our crop<br />
planted by the end of April, it&#8217;s just we&#8217;re not quite sure when<br />
we&#8217;re going to start,&#8221; said Emerson Nafziger, agronomist at the<br />
University of Illinois.</p>
<p>In 1984, the last time planting was as slow as it is now,<br />
the sluggish ace had little impact on harvest, with final corn<br />
yields averaging 32 percent better than the previous year.</p>
<p>Farmers typically aim to have the bulk of their crop seeded<br />
by the middle of May to ensure that the corn has enough time to<br />
mature so it can withstand the heat of the Midwest summer.</p>
<p>USDA rated the winter wheat crop 33 percent good to<br />
excellent, the lowest for this time of year since 1996, when the<br />
crop also was rated 33 percent good to excellent. A week ago,<br />
U.S. winter wheat was 35 percent good to excellent and was rated<br />
64 percent good to excellent a year ago.</p>
<p>In Kansas, the largest producer of hard red winter wheat,<br />
good-to-excellent ratings fell 3 percentage points to 27<br />
percent.</p>
<p>The Wheat Quality Council&#8217;s annual tour of the state starts<br />
on Tuesday and scouts will get a close look at the damage caused<br />
by drought and a cold snap in April.</p>
<p>In the Midwest, farmers will likely push planting forward<br />
during the first half of the week before more rain drives them<br />
from the fields again. Forecasts call for rain amounts of 0.5<br />
to 1.0 inch across the region.</p>
<p>Wet fields and cold weather also delayed farmers in the<br />
northern U.S. Plains trying to seed spring wheat. USDA said<br />
spring wheat planting was just 12 percent complete compared to<br />
the five-year average of 37 percent.</p>
<p>USDA will provide its first update on soybean planting in<br />
its May 6 crop progress report.     </p>
<p> (Additional reporting by Christine Stebbins; Editing by Bob<br />
Burgdorfer)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Revamped CBOT trading day splits morning burst in two</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/29/markets-cbot-hours-idUSL2N0D629O20130429?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/04/29/revamped-cbot-trading-day-splits-morning-burst-in-two/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Apr 2013 17:16:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=56</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, April 29 (Reuters) &#8211; Traders at the Chicago Board of Trade have been reluctant to adopt the exchange&#8217;s new starting time, reducing the depth of the market early in the session and roiling plans to boost liquidity as the opening burst has been split in two. The exchange&#8217;s modified trading schedule, launched three weeks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, April 29 (Reuters) &#8211; Traders at the Chicago Board<br />
of Trade have been reluctant to adopt the exchange&#8217;s new<br />
starting time, reducing the depth of the market early in the<br />
session and roiling plans to boost liquidity as the opening<br />
burst has been split in two.</p>
<p>The exchange&#8217;s modified trading schedule, launched three<br />
weeks ago, is failing to attract big volumes at the open as some<br />
traders prefer to wait until the traditional starting time,<br />
which is an hour after the opening bell, before booking new<br />
deals.</p>
<p>The division of the opening burst, which has typically been<br />
one of the most active parts of the trading day, leaves traders<br />
wondering about the best time to wade into the market. Traders<br />
generally prefer to deal when the market is most active as a<br />
deep pool of liquidity ensures that bids or offers will not be<br />
left unfilled for long.</p>
<p>During the first three weeks of the newly modified trading<br />
session, trading volume in the front-month corn futures contract<br />
 has been heavier at 9:30 a.m. CDT (1430 GMT) than during<br />
the market open at 8:30 a.m. CDT (1330 GMT) on eight of 15 days.</p>
<p>&#8220;What is the real open?&#8221; said Tony Rohrs, a farmer in<br />
northwest Ohio who trades futures to hedge his crop as well as<br />
to make additional money. &#8220;It is just a little confusing.&#8221;</p>
<p>Rohrs said that sometimes he will wait to book trades even<br />
if he sees prices moving sharply early in the session in case<br />
there is a reversal at the 9:30 a.m. burst.</p>
<p>Wheat volumes were bigger during the second burst seven out<br />
of 15 times. Trading in soybeans has been more consistent, with<br />
volume during the first 10 minutes of trading eclipsing the<br />
burst that hits at 9:30 73 percent of the time.</p>
<p>&#8220;I do not know how to put my fingers on that,&#8221; said Tom<br />
Grisafi, president and chief executive of trading firm Indiana<br />
Grain Co. &#8220;It screwed me up a few times.&#8221;</p>
<p>The new grains open coincides with the start of trading in<br />
U.S. equities, and many speculators who trade both markets are<br />
more focused on the stock market. Gold and silver also are open<br />
for trading during that time and may be attracting attention<br />
away from grains.</p>
<p>&#8220;Speculators like myself are consumed with trading more<br />
volatile markets,&#8221; Grisafi said. &#8220;I am not going to be bothered<br />
with a small position in corn when I can have a massive swing in<br />
gold.&#8221;</p>
<p>A spokesman for CME Group, which owns the Chicago<br />
Board of Trade, declined to comment on trading activity under<br />
the new schedule.</p>
<p>Under the new CBOT schedule, open outcry trading in the<br />
exchange&#8217;s vaunted pits runs from 8:30 a.m., one hour earlier<br />
than before, until 1:15 p.m. Pit trading in the 21-hour<br />
schedule, which CBOT ran for about a year, began at 9:30 a.m.<br />
and closed at 2 p.m.</p>
<p>Most volume in the extended session took place when the pits<br />
were open, even though more than 90 percent of all trading is<br />
done over computer screens without any input from traders on the<br />
floor. The 21-hour day was scrapped after traders complained<br />
that the extended session hurt liquidity, making it harder for<br />
buyers and sellers to find each other in the market.</p>
<p>CME quickly responded to trader complaints about the<br />
extended schedule. More than 600 traders, analysts and grain<br />
handlers last year signed an online petition calling on the<br />
exchange to shorten the trading day.</p>
<p>The exchange launched its 21-hour trading day May 2012 in a<br />
bid to ensure that rival InterContinentalExchange, which<br />
operates grain trading for 22 hours, did not poach CBOT volume<br />
with its look alike grain contracts. ICE volume has remained<br />
thin even with the longer session and reduced trading fees.</p>
<p>Under the new CBOT schedule, electronic trading runs from<br />
7:00 p.m. CDT (2400 GMT) to 7:45 a.m. CDT (1245 GMT) Sunday to<br />
Friday. Trading then stops until 8:30 a.m. CDT (1330 GMT) &#8212; a<br />
pause that market participants are calling the biscuit break &#8211;<br />
before resuming electronically and in Chicago&#8217;s open-outcry pits<br />
until 1:15 p.m CDT (1815 GMT).</p>
<p>The earlier start does not give traders enough time to<br />
digest the overnight news, which may be why many investors are<br />
waiting an hour after the market opens, a veteran floor trader<br />
said. Additionally, many commercial clients such as grain<br />
elevators are not ready to give instructions to traders that<br />
early in the morning.</p>
<p>The CBOT floor starts to fill up ahead of the 8:30 open, but<br />
most traders just stand around when the opening bell rings,<br />
ready to react in case the market swings violently early but not<br />
willing to initiate their strategy for the day.</p>
<p>On one recent morning, a trader giving a tour of the CBOT<br />
floor warned his guests that they would not be impressed by the<br />
opening bell, which used to be accompanied by a surge of<br />
activity and screaming brokers who waved their arms wildly to<br />
execute trades.</p>
<p>&#8220;You are not going to see that much,&#8221;  he said. &#8220;It is going<br />
to be noisy for about 15 seconds.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Interim payment approved for Peregrine bankruptcy trustee</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/17/peregrine-trustee-payment-idUSL2N0D41HT20130417?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/04/17/interim-payment-approved-for-peregrine-bankruptcy-trustee/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Apr 2013 17:04:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=54</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, April 17 (Reuters) &#8211; The trustee in charge of returning funds to customers of scandal-ridden Peregrine Financial Group will receive an initial payment of $1.23 million for his role in unwinding the failed brokerage, a U.S. Bankruptcy Court judge ruled Wednesday. U.S. bankruptcy code allows for the court-appointed trustee, Chicago lawyer Ira Bodenstein, to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, April 17 (Reuters) &#8211; The trustee in charge of<br />
returning funds to customers of scandal-ridden Peregrine<br />
Financial Group will receive an initial payment of $1.23 million<br />
for his role in unwinding the failed brokerage, a U.S.<br />
Bankruptcy Court judge ruled Wednesday.</p>
<p>U.S. bankruptcy code allows for the court-appointed trustee,<br />
Chicago lawyer Ira Bodenstein, to receive a commission of up to<br />
3 percent of the $123.3 million that has been returned to former<br />
brokerage customers. The returned monies represents less than<br />
one-third of the funds customers had deposited with the futures<br />
broker when the firm collapsed and the accounts were frozen last<br />
July.</p>
<p>The initial payment is only part of the $3.7 million in<br />
compensation Bodenstein is seeking for his role in the<br />
bankruptcy proceedings, which represents the maximum 3 percent<br />
commission allowed under federal law.</p>
<p>While that sum may seem large, the Bankruptcy Court judge,<br />
Carol Doyle, said Wednesday that only one person had written a<br />
letter to the court to complain about the trustee&#8217;s pay day<br />
request.</p>
<p>In a letter that Doyle read in part in court, the person -<br />
who claimed to have lost $100,000 &#8211; questioned why Bodenstein<br />
should make more money in &#8220;one fell swoop&#8221; than the defrauded<br />
Peregrine customer would make in a lifetime.</p>
<p>Peregrine Financial, known as PFGBest, collapsed last summer<br />
after its founder, Russell Wasendorf Sr, tried to kill himself<br />
just before regulators uncovered a customer fraud scheme going<br />
back decades. Wasendorf began serving a 50-year prison term in<br />
February for stealing close to $215 million from his customers.</p>
<p>Some 24,000 former customers are still missing most of the<br />
money they had invested with the firm. The money to pay<br />
Bodenstein will come from Peregrine&#8217;s estates and would<br />
otherwise be used to pay back customers and creditors.</p>
<p>Bodenstein told Reuters after Wednesday&#8217;s 20-minute hearing<br />
at federal Bankruptcy Court in Chicago that he expected the next<br />
distribution to Peregrine customers would be sometime in the<br />
summer, adding that he did not know how big the payments would<br />
be.</p>
<p>Bodenstein has described his compensation request as<br />
&#8220;appropriate in light of the results and benefits achieved<br />
through his efforts on behalf of the estate and its creditors,&#8221;<br />
according to court papers. Among other things, Bodenstein&#8217;s bill<br />
covers months worth of work, including travel, meetings and<br />
interviews with reporters, according to an itemized statement<br />
filed with the court.</p>
<p>Bodenstein refrained from asking for the full payment right<br />
away because he did not want to be seen as putting himself ahead<br />
of Peregrine&#8217;s former customers, his lawyer, Robert Fishman,<br />
previously told Reuters.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting by Tom Polansek and Ann Saphir; Editing<br />
by Leslie Adler)</p>
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		<title>Higher volume expected, in time, after CME cuts grain futures hours</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/22/markets-cme-hours-volume-idUSL1N0CE73920130322?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/03/22/higher-volume-expected-in-time-after-cme-cuts-grain-futures-hours/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Mar 2013 18:59:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=52</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, March 22 (Reuters) &#8211; CME Group&#8217;s plan to scale back its trading day for grain contracts will likely provide a boost to volume and liquidity, but traders said it will take time for investors to return to the market. &#8220;I think if they compress the hours again &#8230; it serves the needs of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, March 22 (Reuters) &#8211; CME Group&#8217;s plan to<br />
scale back its trading day for grain contracts will likely<br />
provide a boost to volume and liquidity, but traders said it<br />
will take time for investors to return to the market.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think if they compress the hours again &#8230; it serves the<br />
needs of the customers that actually use this market,&#8221; said<br />
Chris Robinson, senior trader at Top Third Ag Marketing. &#8220;I<br />
think it is going to be good for the markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>CME announced this month that it plans to reduce the trading<br />
cycle for the grain markets on its Chicago Board of Trade, which<br />
are used to set food prices around the world, to 17.5 hours a<br />
day from 21 hours a day starting on April 8.</p>
<p>The exchange operator lengthened its trading day to 21 hours<br />
in May 2012 to compete with arch-rival IntercontinentalExchange<br />
, which last year launched look-alike grain contracts and<br />
nearly round-the-clock trading.</p>
<p>The new schedule irked many long-time customers who<br />
complained that liquidity quickly dried up as trades were spread<br />
out across the long day. Overall volume also dropped off as<br />
investors cut back their exposure to the volatile market.</p>
<p>&#8220;It was kind of out of control,&#8221; said Jason Britt, president<br />
of Central States Commodities. &#8220;I had some long-time customers<br />
&#8230; who really scaled their volumes back because you did not<br />
know if you were going to wake up in the middle of the night and<br />
see that beans were down 30 or 40 cents.&#8221;</p>
<p>CME, which surveyed its customers about the effects of the<br />
expanded trading session, said earlier this week it had<br />
&#8220;quantitative evidence&#8221; that supported the customer complaints.</p>
<p>So far this year, CBOT corn, soy and wheat futures volume<br />
has totaled 3.16 million contracts, down 4.6 percent from the<br />
same period in 2012.</p>
<p>Volume for CBOT corn futures, the heaviest traded<br />
agricultural contract, have fallen the most, dropping 14 percent<br />
in the first three months of 2013 compared to a year earlier.</p>
<p>&#8220;You make a knee-jerk reaction to things that may or may<br />
not be an issue, you open Pandora&#8217;s box,&#8221; said Garrett Toay,<br />
risk management consultant at Toay Commodities Futures Group in<br />
Des Moines, Iowa.</p>
<p>Traders said that many investors will be carefully<br />
monitoring the liquidity pools, particularly at the opening and<br />
closing when activity is the heaviest, before deciding if they<br />
want to bring business back to the grains market.</p>
<p>Investors also will test the waters on days when there is<br />
big fundamental news, such as a crop conditions report, and<br />
heavy trading is expected.</p>
<p>CME&#8217;s willingness to change will boost the confidence that<br />
investors have in the grains market, which could also make some<br />
investors more willing to come back, Central States&#8217; Britt said.</p>
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		<title>U.S. farmers stick with corn planting plans despite price drop</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/08/corn-acreage-idUSL1N0BYBG520130308?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/03/08/u-s-farmers-stick-with-corn-planting-plans-despite-price-drop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Mar 2013 20:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=50</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[* New crop price corn declined 7.1 percent in Jan/Feb * Price drop second biggest of last 10 years * Farmers locked in acres last fall with fertilizer application By Mark Weinraub CHICAGO, March 8(Reuters) &#8211; Recent declines in U.S. corn futures prices have failed to dent growers&#8217; enthusiasm for planting the feed grain this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>* New crop price corn declined 7.1 percent in Jan/Feb</p>
<p>* Price drop second biggest of last 10 years</p>
<p>* Farmers locked in acres last fall with fertilizer<br />
application</p>
<p>By Mark Weinraub</p>
<p>CHICAGO, March 8(Reuters) &#8211; Recent declines in U.S. corn<br />
futures prices have failed to dent growers&#8217; enthusiasm for<br />
planting the feed grain this spring, even though soybean prices<br />
have outperformed corn, farmers and analysts said.</p>
<p>Crop insurance guarantees, money spent on fertilizer and<br />
recent rainy weather in key growing areas have cemented the<br />
acreage decisions that farmers made in the fall.</p>
<p>The Chicago Board of Trade December corn futures contract<br />
, which tracks the crop that will be harvested this fall,<br />
shed 7.1 percent of its value over the first two months of 2013.<br />
That was the second worst winter performance for the new crop<br />
contract over the past 10 years.</p>
<p>The only bigger decline was in 2009, when new-crop prices<br />
dropped 13.4 percent in the January/February time frame. By the<br />
end of harvest that year, when farmers were delivering their<br />
crop to elevators and processors, futures prices were just 1<br />
cent above their end-of-February level.</p>
<p>Farmers have already prepared most of their corn acreage by<br />
applying fertilizer, which is not necessary when planting<br />
soybeans. Those tractor trips across the fields last fall to<br />
apply fertilizer locked in the acreage for many farmers<br />
regardless of what the futures market has done this winter.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are not going to change because we already have the<br />
stuff down on our ground,&#8221; said Garry Niemeyer, an Illinois<br />
farmer. &#8220;I think most farmers made their plans last fall and<br />
they are sticking to them. When you put anhydrous ammonia on or<br />
some form of nitrogen and you spend that kind of money, you are<br />
not going to plant soybeans.&#8221;</p>
<p>Soybean prices also dropped during the first two months of<br />
2013, but the declines were smaller than in corn as new-crop soy<br />
futures lost just 3.3 percent.</p>
<p>Still, most farmers think that corn offers a better return,<br />
even with the added expense of fertilizers and the higher seed<br />
cost.</p>
<p>&#8220;In terms of input costs, they aren&#8217;t dramatically that<br />
different from last year,&#8221; said Nicole Thomas, analyst with<br />
McKeany-Flavell. &#8220;They can still make a pretty good margin at<br />
the current levels.&#8221;</p>
<p>Corn planted on high productivity farmland in central<br />
Illinois is projected to return a profit of between $603 and<br />
$678 per acre, depending on a farmer&#8217;s crop rotation practices,<br />
according to University of Illinois research. Soybean returns<br />
were seen between $405 and $430 per acre.</p>
<p>Growers who have not had a chance to apply fertilizer to<br />
fields earmarked for corn will be closely watching the futures<br />
market during the next few weeks to see if it provides a further<br />
incentive to switch. But a quick harvest and dry weather across<br />
the Midwest last fall gave most growers the chance to prepare<br />
their fields for this spring, so there is not too much acreage<br />
in flux, Niemeyer said.</p>
<p>The U.S. Agriculture Department has projected 2013 corn<br />
acreage at 96.5 million and soybean acreage at 77.5 million. It<br />
will update its acreage outlook based on farmer surveys at the<br />
end of the month.</p>
<p>USDA&#8217;s Risk Management Agency last week set floor prices for<br />
crop insurance policies at $5.65 per bushel for corn and $12.87<br />
a bushel for soybeans across most of the U.S. crop belt.</p>
<p>Andrew Goleman, a farmer in Illinois who plans on splitting<br />
his corn and soybean acreage evenly, said that last year&#8217;s<br />
drought, while devastating to the crop, made farmers more<br />
comfortable with crop insurance and confident about their<br />
acreage decisions for 2013. Many growers cashed in policies for<br />
the first time ever in 2012 because of the drought.</p>
<p>Recent rains across key growing areas of the U.S. Midwest<br />
have boosted much-depleted soil moisture levels and made farmers<br />
more optimistic about this year&#8217;s crop as planting season<br />
approaches, also furthering their commitment to corn.</p>
<p>Soybeans fared better than corn did in last year&#8217;s drought.<br />
Corn yields plunged to their lowest level since 1995 as the crop<br />
withered in the dry soils and scorching temperatures.</p>
<p> (Reporting by Mark Weinraub; editing by Jim Marshall)</p>
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		<title>U.S. livestock trading slows ahead of federal spending cuts</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/26/livestock-sequester-idUSL1N0BQ5SG20130226?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/02/26/u-s-livestock-trading-slows-ahead-of-federal-spending-cuts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Feb 2013 20:33:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=48</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Feb 26 (Reuters) &#8211; Trading in Chicago livestock futures has declined this week as traders worry that furloughs at the U.S. Agriculture Department, due to federal automatic spending cuts, will disrupt cattle and hog marketings and price reporting At question is whether the furloughs will impact the agency&#8217;s Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS), which among [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Feb 26 (Reuters) &#8211; Trading in Chicago livestock<br />
futures has declined this week as traders worry that furloughs<br />
at the U.S. Agriculture Department, due to federal automatic<br />
spending cuts, will disrupt cattle and hog marketings and price<br />
reporting</p>
<p>At question is whether the furloughs will impact the<br />
agency&#8217;s Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS), which among other<br />
things generates prices used as benchmarks for some livestock<br />
contracts on the CME Group&#8217;s exchange.</p>
<p>The U.S. Department of Agriculture has said 8,400 meat<br />
inspectors could be idled by the automatic budget cuts, set to<br />
come into effect on March 1, but has not said how the AMS will<br />
be impacted.</p>
<p>Cattle traders are playing it cautious. Commercial traders<br />
and speculators have been taking money out of the market during<br />
the past week because they do not know if they will be able to<br />
unwind those positions once the spending cuts are enacted,<br />
traders said.</p>
<p>This action has limited gains in livestock futures despite a<br />
winter storm in the U.S. Plains that could disrupt cattle<br />
marketings.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most of the time we would have guys buying just on this<br />
storm alone and being a little bit more aggressive but with this<br />
uncertainty it has got guys sitting on their hands a little<br />
bit,&#8221; said Jason Britt, president of Central States Commodities<br />
in Kansas City, Missouri.</p>
<p>A CME spokesman said on Tuesday it was closely monitoring<br />
the possible impact of the budget cuts but did not say if<br />
trading in affected contracts would be halted. The exchange<br />
operator also said it would keep its customers informed of<br />
potential changes to its delivery or settlement procedures due<br />
to the cuts, which will be enacted on Friday.</p>
<p>CME said last week that exchange rules allow it to modify<br />
the delivery and settlement rules pertaining to its live cattle<br />
contracts if USDA staff is not available for grading and<br />
inspections. The exchange did not say if other contracts<br />
affected by the cuts could also be modified.</p>
<p>Market players said the uncertainty could be seen in recent<br />
price activity. CME live cattle prices have risen just<br />
0.5 percent during the past week, despite the severe winter<br />
storms that have dumped more than a foot of snow in parts of<br />
Kansas and Texas and that will likely slash weight from feedlot<br />
cattle.</p>
<p>Daily trading volume in CME&#8217;s live cattle futures has<br />
averaged just 43,787 contracts since the exchange operator<br />
announced it could be affected by the sequester on Thursday,<br />
down from 58,255 contracts during the previous week.</p>
<p>Concerns that a glut of livestock could develop if USDA<br />
inspectors are unavailable have kept cattle prices in check,<br />
traders said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Feeder lots are real nervous that they are not going to be<br />
able to move this product,&#8221; said Tom Grisafi, president and<br />
chief executive of trading firm Indiana Grain Co.</p>
<p>Cash settled livestock and dairy products require data that<br />
may be unavailable because of the sequester, CME said last week.<br />
Additionally, the daily calculation of the CME Feeder Cattle<br />
Index and CME Lean Hog index, the monthly calculation used to<br />
determine settlement prices for CME Dairy futures products, and<br />
spot call dairy markets could be disrupted.</p>
<p>U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack has said that it<br />
could be months before a threatened shutdown of U.S. meat plants<br />
would occur because of a furlough of meat inspectors. USDA<br />
employees get from 30 to as many as 120 days notice of impending<br />
layoffs. By law, plants cannot ship meat without the Agriculture<br />
Department&#8217;s inspection seal.</p>
<p>The $85 billion in automatic across-the-board spending cuts,<br />
are set to take effect on March 1 unless Congress can come up<br />
with a deal to avoid them. Food inspections, air traffic<br />
control, law enforcement and education programs also would be<br />
among those hit.</p>
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		<title>CBOT wheat volumes rise in extended session, bucking trend</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/13/markets-wheat-volume-idUSL1N0BC59P20130213?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/02/13/cbot-wheat-volumes-rise-in-extended-session-bucking-trend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Feb 2013 21:09:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=46</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Feb 13 (Reuters) &#8211; Volume in Chicago Board of Trade wheat futures has received an unexpected boost since CME Group extended the trading day, bucking an overall trend that has seen volume in commodity trading dry up in the longer session. Wheat volume rose to 17.6 million contracts traded from June 2012 through January [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Feb 13 (Reuters) &#8211; Volume in Chicago Board of Trade<br />
wheat futures has received an unexpected boost since CME Group<br />
 extended the trading day, bucking an overall trend that<br />
has seen volume in commodity trading dry up in the longer<br />
session.</p>
<p>Wheat volume rose to 17.6 million contracts traded from June<br />
2012 through January 2013, up 14.8 percent from a year earlier.<br />
Volumes were higher in seven of those eight months.</p>
<p>CME started its much-maligned extended trading session,<br />
which allows for 21-hour trade, in late May. Critics have said<br />
the move reduced liquidity in key agricultural contracts, and<br />
the exchange operator recently announced it would cut back the<br />
session although no details have been provided.</p>
<p>Corn volumes have fallen 10.4 percent during the same time,<br />
and monthly trading was lighter in seven of the eight full<br />
months since the switch to extended hours was made.</p>
<p>Total CBOT volumes fell 8.4 percent following the switch to<br />
longer hours. CME extended the trading day as part of a bid to<br />
fend off competition from the rival IntercontinentalExchange<br />
, which launched grain and soy contracts that trade 22<br />
hours a day in 2012.</p>
<p>The global reach of wheat, which is grown all over the<br />
world, lends itself to near-24-hour trading better than a<br />
commodity like corn.</p>
<p>Big wheat producers such as Russia and Australia often make<br />
forecasts about crops outside of traditional trading hours.<br />
Additionally, large purchases from importers such as Egypt are<br />
often finalized before the start of the trading day in Chicago.</p>
<p>News about wheat hits throughout the day and commercial<br />
buyers across the globe are eager to take advantage of hedging<br />
opportunities no matter what time it is in the United States.</p>
<p>For example, Australian traders looking to hedge recent cash<br />
market deals can make their moves as soon as they need to,<br />
instead of waiting for the Chicago pits to open.</p>
<p>&#8220;Everybody sleeps at a different time,&#8221; said J. Mark Kinoff,<br />
president of Ceres Hedge.</p>
<p>By contrast, the majority of the world&#8217;s corn is grown in<br />
North and South America so most major announcements regarding<br />
those crops, and subsequent prices moves, come during the<br />
traditional trading hours for the Chicago grain contracts.</p>
<p>Wheat volumes also benefited from a surge in corn prices to<br />
record highs during the summer. The high price of corn, as well<br />
as limited supplies, forced livestock producers to use more<br />
wheat in their rations than usual.</p>
<p>The increased wheat feeding also caused an increase in<br />
futures market hedging, adding to the bump in trading volumes.</p>
<p>Huge price swings in wheat also helped to raise volumes,<br />
traders said. Wheat prices shot up 27 percent between the<br />
middle of April and early July, forcing speculators to scramble<br />
to cover short positions they had built up due to light export<br />
demand and expectations for a big crop in the U.S. Plains.</p>
<p>Commodity Futures Trading Commission data shows that<br />
noncommercial traders, a category that includes hedge funds,<br />
completely erased their net short position in wheat, which they<br />
had built to the highest level ever, during that 11-week period.</p>
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		<title>USDA&#8217;s inaugural midday crop report seen boosting CBOT volume</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/10/grains-trading-idUSL1E9C95KH20130110?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2013/01/10/usdas-inaugural-midday-crop-report-seen-boosting-cbot-volume/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jan 2013 19:07:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=44</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Jan 10 (Reuters) &#8211; The U.S. Agriculture Department&#8217;s inaugural midday release of monthly crop data on Friday could result in heavier-than-usual midday trading in Chicago grain markets as more investors will be at the ready when the data goes public, traders said. The USDA, which has been issuing its monthly reports at 7:30 a.m. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Jan 10 (Reuters) &#8211; The U.S. Agriculture<br />
Department&#8217;s inaugural midday release of monthly crop data on<br />
Friday could result in heavier-than-usual midday trading in<br />
Chicago grain markets as more investors will be at the ready<br />
when the data goes public, traders said.</p>
<p>The USDA, which has been issuing its monthly reports at 7:30<br />
a.m. CST (1330 GMT) for nearly two decades, decided last year to<br />
push back the release to 11 a.m. CST (1700 GMT) when trading at<br />
the Chicago Board of Trade grain markets is usually in full<br />
swing.</p>
<p>&#8220;I actually think it will be a lot better,&#8221; said Justin<br />
Lewis, vice president of KIS Futures in Oklahoma. &#8220;It will allow<br />
the entire country to participate a lot more actively.&#8221;</p>
<p>Following the last two monthly crop reports, 14 percent of<br />
the entire day&#8217;s trading in the most active CBOT corn, soybean<br />
and wheat contracts had been condensed into the 30 minutes after<br />
the release of the data, according to Reuters data.</p>
<p>The pop in volume could be even bigger on Friday after the<br />
report hits at 11 a.m. CST, as more traders from coast to coast<br />
will be ready to make moves. However, volumes are expected to be<br />
almost nonexistent in the hours heading up to the report.</p>
<p>Traders have had some practice dealing with reports released<br />
when the market is open as the Chicago Board of Trade had<br />
switched to 21-hour trading sessions in May. Since then, there<br />
has been a surge in volume immediately following reports, market<br />
activity would then cool before heating up again at 9:30 a.m.<br />
central, the traditional opening time for trading in the CBOT&#8217;s<br />
iconic pits.</p>
<p>Before CBOT&#8217;s extended hours, traders had two hours to<br />
process the USDA data and formulate strategies before the market<br />
opened.</p>
<p>The report on Friday will provide USDA&#8217;s final estimate of<br />
the 2012/13 U.S. corn and soybean crops as well as 2013/14 wheat<br />
plantings and estimates of how big domestic grain supplies were<br />
when harvest ended last fall.</p>
<p>The U.S. government&#8217;s January report is one of the most<br />
anticipated of the year and the market often swings violently<br />
following its release. Corn prices have moved their daily<br />
trading limit in the session after the report hits the market<br />
five out of the last six times.</p>
<p>Volumes have been light so far this week as many traders<br />
already have placed their bets on what direction they think the<br />
market will move after the release.</p>
<p>&#8220;Watching the grains markets feels a bit like waiting for<br />
the closing bell back in high school the past few days as the<br />
January USDA report approaches everyone just stares at the clock<br />
waiting,&#8221; Robert Chesler, vice president and head of the food<br />
service division at INTL-FCStone said in a note.</p>
<p>CBOT corn averaged just 218,885 contracts a day during the<br />
first three days of this week, 24 percent lower than its daily<br />
average during 2012. Soybean volume averaged 149,919 contracts a<br />
day this week, down 27 percent from 2012, and wheat averaged<br />
90,933 trades a day so far this week, 16 percent lower than a<br />
typical day in 2012.</p>
<p>Investors were reluctant to stake out new positions ahead of<br />
the much anticipated report, which should provide fresh<br />
direction to the grain markets and provide plenty of information<br />
for traders to chew through.</p>
<p>&#8220;By the time we get to Friday morning, most of the actual<br />
position squaring should be behind us,&#8221; said Bill Gentry, a<br />
broker with Risk Management Commodities in Lafayette, Indiana.<br />
&#8220;This market has been looking for headlines for months.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Soybeans drop after U.S. export deals canceled</title>
		<link>http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/12/18/markets-grains-idINL4N09S3GP20121218?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11709</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2012/12/18/soybeans-drop-after-u-s-export-deals-canceled/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Dec 2012 14:54:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=42</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Dec 18 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. soybean futures extended their losses on Tuesday morning, hitting session lows after the U.S. Agriculture Department announced that China canceled a purchase of 300,000 tonnes of U.S. supplies of the oilseed, traders said. Corn prices also fell, dragged lower by the weakness in soybeans and low demand from end [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Dec 18 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. soybean futures extended<br />
their losses on Tuesday morning, hitting session lows after the<br />
U.S. Agriculture Department announced that China canceled a<br />
purchase of 300,000 tonnes of U.S. supplies of the oilseed,<br />
traders said.<br />
    Corn prices also fell, dragged lower by the weakness in<br />
soybeans and low demand from end users on the domestic and<br />
export front.<br />
    Wheat dropped amid calls for much-needed moisture in the<br />
U.S. Plains.<br />
    USDA said the soybean cancellations also included 120,000<br />
tonnes of supplies sold to unknown destinations in addition to<br />
the 300,000 tonne deal that China, the world&#8217;s top buyer of<br />
soybeans, scuttled.<br />
    At 8:30 a.m. CST (1430 GMT), CBOT January soybean futures<br />
 were down 25 cents at $14.71-3/4 a bushel. Prices for the<br />
benchmark contract dropped below the 200-day moving average, a<br />
key level of technical support, at $14.72-3/4.<br />
    CBOT March corn was 7-3/4 cents lower at $7.16-1/4 and<br />
CBOT March wheat fell 4 cents to $8.04 a bushel.<br />
    Two major winter storms systems are set to sweep through<br />
much of the U.S. Plains and Midwest over the next two weeks<br />
leaving welcome soil moisture, said Don Keeney, agricultural<br />
meteorologist for MDA EarthSat Weather.<br />
     Snowfall ranging from 2 to 4 inches could be expected<br />
accompanied by some rain in this week&#8217;s storm and an even bigger<br />
storm is expected next week.<br />
    &#8220;The six- to 10-day outlook is even more intense with 12.00<br />
to 18.00 inches of snow in eastern Nebraska, Kansas and the<br />
northern Midwest,&#8221; Keeney said.<br />
    January milling wheat in Paris was off 2.50 euros or<br />
1 percent at 255.25 euros, with a firmer euro against the dollar<br />
adding to downward pressure.<br />
    One European trader said there was a growing belief that<br />
prices in Paris were not reflecting the good export outlook with<br />
Russia and Ukraine out of the market and &#8220;now there is a growing<br />
belief that poor harvest weather will also compel Argentina to<br />
cut back on exports, too.&#8221;</p>
<p>    SOY SETBACK<br />
    Soybeans fell despite concerns over production shortfalls in<br />
South America, with further unfavorable weather forecast.<br />
    Widespread rainfall moved across Argentina over the weekend<br />
causing another slowdown in crop seedings and the rain is<br />
expected to continue through Wednesday, Global Weather<br />
Monitoring said.<br />
    Analysts remain concerned the window in which soybeans must<br />
be planted to avoid yield losses is closing, further tightening<br />
global stocks.<br />
    Estimates for the country&#8217;s 2012/13 soy harvest, which<br />
should start in March, vary wildly. Government officials have<br />
said they expect a crop of 55 million tonnes or more while<br />
worst-case private estimates reach down to 45 million tonnes.</p>
<p> Prices at 8:41 a.m. CST (1440 GMT)                                   </p>
<p>                              LAST      NET    PCT     YTD<br />
                                        CHG    CHG     CHG<br />
 CBOT corn                  715.75    -8.25  -1.1%   10.7%<br />
 CBOT soy                  1472.50   -23.75  -1.6%   22.9%<br />
 CBOT meal                  446.80    -8.60  -1.9%   44.4%<br />
 CBOT soyoil                 49.28    -0.51  -1.0%   -5.4%<br />
 CBOT wheat                 803.75    -4.25  -0.5%   23.1%<br />
 CBOT rice                 1522.00     1.50   0.1%    4.2%<br />
 EU wheat                   255.25    -2.50  -1.0%   26.0%</p>
<p> US crude                    87.64     0.44   0.5%  -11.3%<br />
 Dow Jones                  13,258       23   0.2%    8.5%<br />
 Gold                      1696.96     -.69   0.0%    8.5%<br />
 Euro/dollar                1.3179   0.0016   0.1%    1.8%<br />
 Dollar Index              79.4970  -0.0710  -0.1%   -0.8%<br />
 Baltic Freight                743      -23  -3.0%  -57.2%</p>
<p>In U.S. cents, benchmark contracts, except EU wheat (euros) and<br />
soymeal (dollars). CBOT wheat, corn and soybeans per bushel,<br />
rice per hundredweight, soymeal per ton and soyoil per lb.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting by Sam Nelson in Chicago, Nigel Hunt in<br />
London, Colin Packham in Sydney and Michael Hogan in Hamburg;<br />
Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)</pre>
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		<title>Possible Middle East truce pressures oil, gold</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/20/markets-commodities-idUSL1E8MKD0E20121120?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/2012/11/20/possible-middle-east-truce-pressures-oil-gold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2012 20:51:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weinraub</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/mark-weinraub/?p=40</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Nov 20 (Reuters) &#8211; Oil fell more than 2 percent on Tuesday, retreating from a one-month peak as investors took risk premium out of the market after a Hamas official announced that militants from the Gaza Strip and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire brokered by Egypt. Gold also fell, erasing early gains after [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Nov 20 (Reuters) &#8211; Oil fell more than 2 percent on<br />
Tuesday, retreating from a one-month peak as investors took risk<br />
premium out of the market after a Hamas official announced that<br />
militants from the Gaza Strip and Israel had agreed to a<br />
ceasefire brokered by Egypt.</p>
<p>Gold also fell, erasing early gains after<br />
better-than-expected U.S. housing data, while grains firmed amid<br />
concerns about tight supplies. Corn prices rose for the third<br />
day in a row, hitting their highest level in more than a week.</p>
<p>The Thomson Reuters-Jefferies CRB index, a global<br />
commodities benchmark, dropped 0.6 percent a day after climbing<br />
to its highest level in 3-1/2 weeks.</p>
<p>&#8220;Yesterday&#8217;s big rally was all about fears of a wider<br />
conflict stemming from Israel and Gaza, so when the truce was<br />
announced it&#8217;s not surprising we&#8217;ve seen prices come right off,&#8221;<br />
said Andy Lebow, vice president at Jefferies Bache in New York.</p>
<p>Front-month Brent crude for January delivery dropped<br />
$1.73, or 1.6 percent, to $109.97 a barrel. U.S. January crude<br />
 dropped $2.25, or 2.5 percent, to $87.03.</p>
<p>The market was still awaiting confirmation of a truce but<br />
the reduced worry about supply disruptions pressured oil prices,<br />
while the possibility of easing tensions weighed on gold, a<br />
traditional safe-haven investment.</p>
<p>&#8220;Geopolitical tensions have always had an impact on gold,&#8221;<br />
said Ross Norman, chief executive of precious metals trader<br />
Sharps Pixley, said.</p>
<p>Spot gold fell to $1,726.94 an ounce by 2:23 p.m. CST<br />
(202 3 GMT). U.S. gold fell 0.6 percent to $1,723.20 an<br />
ounce.</p>
<p>Worries about Europe&#8217;s economy also pressured prices of oil<br />
and other commodities after ratings agency Moody&#8217;s stripped<br />
France of its prized triple-A badge, citing uncertainty about<br />
the country&#8217;s fiscal and economic outlook.</p>
<p>Tight cash markets and technical buying boosted U.S. grain<br />
futures, but gains were limited by a strong U.S. dollar, which<br />
makes U.S. crops more expensive on world markets and lowers<br />
demand from investors seeking a hedge against inflation.</p>
<p>January soybeans at the Chicago Board of Trade gained<br />
1.3 percent to $14.12-3/4 a bushel, December corn added<br />
0.6 percent to $7.43-1/4 and December wheat rose 0.3<br />
percent to $8.45.</p>
<p>Wheat prices received support after the U.S. Agriculture<br />
Department said late on Monday that the condition of the winter<br />
wheat crop fell to 34 percent good to excellent, the lowest<br />
level ever for November.</p>
<p>Little relief was in sight as most of the U.S. Plains were<br />
expected to remain dry for the next two weeks.</p>
<p>&#8220;(It is) not very promising,&#8221; said Don Keeney, meteorologist<br />
with MDA EarthSat Weather. &#8220;It does not look like you are going<br />
to get a whole lot of rain for the next 15 days. It is very,<br />
very dry there.&#8221;</p>
<p>In soft commodities, Arabica coffee notched the biggest<br />
daily decline in four months due to the improving crop outlook<br />
in Brazil. Sugar fell after a sharp rally on Monday.</p>
<p>March sugar dipped on ICE, settling 8 cents lower at<br />
19.86 cents per pound. March white sugar on Liffe<br />
dropped 0.5 percent to $523.60 per tonne.</p>
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