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	<title>Michael Hirtzer</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer</link>
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		<title>Slowest plantings ever should trim U.S. corn yields -agronomists</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/14/usa-corn-yield-idUSL2N0DV2Y820130514?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/05/14/slowest-plantings-ever-should-trim-u-s-corn-yields-agronomists/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 21:22:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=68</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, May 14 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. corn yields are unlikely to reach their full potential this year as the slowest planting pace on record shortens the growing season, increasing risks that plants will pollinate under peak summer heat, agronomists said on Tuesday. &#8220;We have taken some off of our yield potential,&#8221; said Emerson Nafziger, extension [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, May 14 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. corn yields are unlikely to<br />
reach their full potential this year as the slowest planting<br />
pace on record shortens the growing season, increasing risks<br />
that plants will pollinate under peak summer heat, agronomists<br />
said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>&#8220;We have taken some off of our yield potential,&#8221; said<br />
Emerson Nafziger, extension agronomist at the University of<br />
Illinois. &#8220;Our preference is to have it in the ground by May 1.&#8221;</p>
<p>Nafziger said that based on the last six years of the<br />
university&#8217;s lab results for Illinois, the No. 2 U.S. corn<br />
state, corn planted after May 10 in the state could see a yield<br />
loss of 6 percent, after May 20 a 12 percent loss, and after May<br />
31 a 20 percent loss.</p>
<p>Corn grown in the U.S. Midwest grain belt typically starts<br />
pollinating in July. Plant growth and yield potential can be<br />
reduced if plants are forced to devote energy to staying cool<br />
during the hottest days of summer.</p>
<p>Farmers had planted only 28 percent of their intended acres<br />
as of Sunday in the United States, the world&#8217;s largest producer<br />
and exporter. The planting progress was the lowest in records<br />
that go back to 1980, according to the U.S. Agriculture<br />
Department.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most farmers would plant corn in the first few days of June<br />
if they had a good chance to get it in in good shape. The yield<br />
potential is high enough that you can give up 15 to 20 percent<br />
and have a good yield on corn, and good income,&#8221; Nafziger said.</p>
<p>Last week USDA forecast this season&#8217;s U.S. corn yield at<br />
158.0 bushels per acre, below a projection for 163.6 bpa in<br />
February, but sharply higher than the last year&#8217;s<br />
drought-reduced yield of 123.4 bpa.</p>
<p>Grain processors, livestock feeders, ethanol makers and<br />
exporters are all crossing their fingers that U.S. farmers will<br />
produce a bumper crop after last year&#8217;s devastating drought<br />
slashed yields, with supplies forecast as the smallest in 16<br />
years by the end of the summer.</p>
<p>Portions of the U.S. Corn Belt, mostly east of the<br />
Mississippi River, saw record rainfall in April that recharged<br />
soils depleted of moisture following last summer&#8217;s worst drought<br />
since 1934. But cooler-than-normal temperatures left fields too<br />
wet for planting and also slowed crop emergence in planted<br />
fields.</p>
<p>&#8220;The new stuff going in now, it will be up in a week or 10<br />
days,&#8221; said Roger Elmore, extension agronomist at Iowa State<br />
University in the country&#8217;s top corn producing state. &#8220;It will<br />
be very competitive and probably be higher yielding than the<br />
stuff that was put in earlier.&#8221;</p>
<p>However, farmers risk yield loss if they plant in fields<br />
that are not fully dry. Soils can become compacted, slowing root<br />
growth.</p>
<p>&#8220;People are going to be pushing soil conditions more than<br />
they should just to get things done quickly,&#8221; Elmore said.<br />
&#8220;If a lot of guys are mudding it in, that&#8217;ll reduce yield.&#8221;</p>
<p>Farmers in southern Indiana are eager to begin seeding corn<br />
to put last summer&#8217;s devastating drought behind them, but many<br />
have been sidelined for weeks as on-and-off rains have kept<br />
their fields too soggy for heavy planting machinery, industry<br />
sources said.</p>
<p>Producers there are not yet switching their corn acres to<br />
soybeans, which can be planted later in the spring, as this<br />
week&#8217;s window of warm, clear weather was expected to remain open<br />
until Thursday. But another rain system was expected to arrive<br />
late this week.</p>
<p>&#8220;They&#8217;re calling for another half inch or inch of rain later<br />
this week so, if they don&#8217;t get corn in by Thursday, I&#8217;m sure<br />
some guys will be seriously thinking about switching,&#8221; a dealer<br />
at a southern Indiana elevator said.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting by Tom Polansek in Chicago; Editing by<br />
Peter Galloway)</p>
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		<title>U.S. cash soy markets sizzle on long tail to export season</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/26/markets-soybeans-idUSL2N0DC3A120130426?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/04/26/u-s-cash-soy-markets-sizzle-on-long-tail-to-export-season/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Apr 2013 20:17:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=66</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, April 26 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. soybean crushers are running at reduced capacities and bidding record premiums for beans from tight-fisted farmers as demand for protein-rich animal feed has shown few signs of slowing down amid port congestion during bumper harvests in South America, processors and traders said on Friday. Big processors such as Archer [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, April 26 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. soybean crushers are<br />
running at reduced capacities and bidding record premiums for<br />
beans from tight-fisted farmers as demand for protein-rich<br />
animal feed has shown few signs of slowing down amid port<br />
congestion during bumper harvests in South America, processors<br />
and traders said on Friday.</p>
<p>Big processors such as Archer Daniels Midland Co,<br />
Bunge Ltd and Cargill Inc that crush soybeans<br />
and then sell meal and oil have struggled to buy beans from<br />
farmers who refuse to sell any leftovers from last year as a<br />
price hedge against the possible return to drought conditions.</p>
<p>Farmers sold their beans for as much as $17 per bushel at<br />
harvest last autumn after the worst drought since the Dust Bowl<br />
sapped yields. Prices are now hovering between $14 and $15 and<br />
growers are holding out for more money.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s extremely tight. We don&#8217;t have any beans bought,&#8221; said<br />
Ronnie Edge, the marketing manager at Owensboro Grain Co, a<br />
soybean processing plant along the Ohio River in Kentucky.</p>
<p>Owensboro Grain is running only one of its two soybean<br />
extractors at the facility, Edge said, while a plant owned by<br />
Bunge in Morristown, Indiana, is also said to be running at half<br />
capacity. Bunge, the agribusiness company based in White Plains,<br />
New York, earlier this month shut down a plant in Emporia,<br />
Kansas, until the autumn harvest.</p>
<p>Soren Schroder, who will take over as Bunge chief executive<br />
on June 1, warned in a conference call this week that port<br />
congestion in Brazil could lead to lingering tightness in<br />
soybean and corn supplies in the United States.</p>
</p>
<p>RECORD BASIS</p>
<p>Basis bids, or the amount above or below CBOT futures that<br />
dealers are willing to pay for beans, are at their highest ever<br />
for this time of year at most U.S. soy processors and are<br />
approaching the all-time highs seen during the summer of 2009,<br />
another year of historically tight supplies.</p>
<p>Bids typically hit their seasonal highs when supplies<br />
dwindle in the weeks before harvest. The sharp gains so early<br />
this year portend the likelihood of record basis levels this<br />
summer, experts said.</p>
<p>Soy futures declined to a 10-month low this month at<br />
the Chicago Board of Trade on expectations of big global<br />
production. The downturn in futures forced dealers to boost<br />
basis bids to make up the difference in the flat cash price.</p>
<p>&#8220;Cash is as hot as I have ever seen it this time of year,&#8221;<br />
said Charlie Sernatinger, an analyst at ABN Amro in Chicago and<br />
market veteran of 37 years.</p>
<p>The soy basis in Decatur, Illinois, where ADM has its<br />
headquarters, rose to $1.10 per bushel above futures this week,<br />
compared with just 12 cents a year ago. Bids there hit a record<br />
of $2.15 above futures in mid-September 2009, Reuters data<br />
shows.</p>
<p>Brazil is expected have a record-large crop and overtake the<br />
United States as the world&#8217;s top soy producer. Argentine, the<br />
top exporter of soy products meal and oil, is also gathering<br />
their largest crop in four years.</p>
<p>But port delays in Brazil are as long as two months, while<br />
Argentine farmers are holding their supplies, with domestic<br />
financial uncertainty prompting them to save in soybeans rather<br />
than pesos.</p>
</p>
<p>U.S. SOYMEAL EXPORTS NOT LETTING UP</p>
<p>So even as cash prices for soy plunges in South America,<br />
foreign importers are turning to the United States, where mature<br />
port infrastructure can allow shippers to more speedily<br />
transport cargoes around the world.</p>
<p>With six months remaining in the soymeal marketing season<br />
that ends on Sept. 30, U.S. exporters have already committed to<br />
deliver 8.58 million tonnes of meal, while the U.S. Agriculture<br />
Department is forecasting 8.48 million tonnes for the entire<br />
season.</p>
<p>Exporters expect some buyers to cancel deals with U.S.<br />
shippers as more supplies become available from South America,<br />
but that has yet to happen.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, traders in the United States are reluctant to<br />
offer soymeal because bean supplies are so tight after last<br />
summer&#8217;s drought reduced yields, bringing the current stockpile<br />
to the smallest in at least nine years.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is certainly unsustainable because of the bean supply,<br />
but the trade continues to be surprised each Thursday with the<br />
export announcement,&#8221; a soymeal export trader said.</p>
<p>Edge, in Kentucky, said he was hopeful of taking delivery of<br />
soybeans from the Chicago futures market. But with cash bids so<br />
high, little to no deliveries against futures were expected by<br />
traders on first notice day for May contracts next week.</p>
<p>Still, farmers could sell some of what remains from last<br />
year&#8217;s harvest once they sow this year&#8217;s crop. Soy plantings are<br />
expected to begin next month in the U.S. Midwest.</p>
<p>&#8220;We will stay hot into the beginning of June,&#8221; the analyst<br />
Sernatinger said. &#8220;The farmers will get comfy with their new<br />
crop and unload.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>USDA decision on weekly DDGs export data could come within months</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/18/usa-ethanol-ddgs-idUSL2N0D51YY20130418?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/04/18/usda-decision-on-weekly-ddgs-export-data-could-come-within-months/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Apr 2013 20:34:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=64</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[April 18 (Reuters) &#8211; The U.S. Agriculture Department&#8217;s comment period ends on Thursday on whether to release weekly export data for dried distillers&#8217; grains, a &#8220;co-product&#8221; of ethanol production that has become increasingly popular as animal feed. The government currently releases monthly export data for so-called DDGs and the decision on weekly numbers could come [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>April 18 (Reuters) &#8211; The U.S. Agriculture Department&#8217;s<br />
comment period ends on Thursday on whether to release weekly<br />
export data for dried distillers&#8217; grains, a &#8220;co-product&#8221; of<br />
ethanol production that has become increasingly popular as<br />
animal feed.</p>
<p>The government currently releases monthly export data for<br />
so-called DDGs and the decision on weekly numbers could come<br />
within months, said USDA spokeswoman Sally Klusaritz.</p>
<p>Ethanol producers and traders are divided on a weekly<br />
release for DDGs &#8211; a more frequent dataset would provide more<br />
visibility in the billion-dollar market, but a report showing<br />
large volume of weekly sales could lead to a spike in prices.</p>
<p>Bill Day, a spokesman at leading ethanol maker Valero Energy<br />
Corp, said the company is in favor of weekly data.</p>
<p>&#8220;It makes sense to Valero, as a producer of DDGs, that they<br />
would be subject to the same kind of weekly data reporting that<br />
other commodities are,&#8221; Day said.</p>
<p>The sale of DDGs, to foreign and domestic buyers, makes up<br />
about 20 percent of the profit margin for ethanol makers such as<br />
Valero, Archer Daniels Midland Co and POET Biorefining,<br />
industry experts said.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s make or break. Forty percent of the corn crop goes to<br />
ethanol and a third comes out as DDGs, so that&#8217;s 13 percent of<br />
the corn crop ending up as DDGs,&#8221; said Wally Tyner, an energy<br />
economist at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana.</p>
<p>&#8220;The problem with weekly numbers is that they are weekly -<br />
you might have a lot of transactions this week, but not much<br />
next week.&#8221;</p>
<p>The ethanol industry&#8217;s lobbying arm, the Renewable Fuels<br />
Association, is opposed to a weekly dataset, according to RFA<br />
vice president of research Geoff Cooper.</p>
<p>&#8220;We think it&#8217;s unnecessary,&#8221; Cooper said. &#8220;It&#8217;s one more<br />
administrative burden and there&#8217;s no clear benefit.&#8221;</p>
<p>The USDA proposed weekly export data for DDGs last June,<br />
ending a comment period in August before extending the comment<br />
period in March until 11:59 p.m. EST (0459 GMT) on Thursday.</p>
<p>The agency already releases weekly exports on agriculture<br />
products ranging from corn to soybeans to beef.</p>
<p>The USDA also proposed weekly pork export data at the same<br />
time it initially proposed DDGs. The agency started releasing<br />
pork data three weeks ago, six months after ending the comment<br />
period.</p>
<p>DDGs exports in February, the most recently available<br />
monthly data, totaled 617,894 tonnes, up 5.6 percent from<br />
January and the largest sales since October. China is the top<br />
export destination, followed by Mexico and Canada.</p>
<p>The USDA projects 32.5 million tonnes of DDGs will be<br />
produced this year &#8211; triple the output eight years ago &#8211; all of<br />
which will be consumed domestically or abroad. Exports are<br />
estimated at 6.9 million tonnes, down from 7.5 million tonnes<br />
last year and the smallest since the 2008/09 marketing season<br />
that runs Sept. 1 to Aug. 31.</p>
<p>Production of the animal feed declined after ethanol plants<br />
reduced operations when last summer&#8217;s worst drought since 1934<br />
sent corn prices to a record high and squeezed profits.</p>
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		<title>Cold start to spring slows demand for high-quality U.S. beef</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/20/usa-markets-beef-idUSL1N0CCBK720130320?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/03/20/cold-start-to-spring-slows-demand-for-high-quality-u-s-beef/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Mar 2013 20:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=62</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, March 20 (Reuters) &#8211; Persistently cold weather and snowfall on the first day of spring have crimped demand for high-quality cuts of beef in the United States at a time of year that typically sees increased purchases for so-called grilling season, analysts and traders said on Wednesday. In a rare move, wholesale prices for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, March 20 (Reuters) &#8211; Persistently cold weather and<br />
snowfall on the first day of spring have crimped demand for<br />
high-quality cuts of beef in the United States at a time of year<br />
that typically sees increased purchases for so-called grilling<br />
season, analysts and traders said on Wednesday.</p>
<p>In a rare move, wholesale prices for choice-grade beef<br />
dipped below those of leaner but lesser-quality select cuts,<br />
according to the U.S. Agriculture Department.</p>
<p>The wholesale choice beef cutout declined to $192.94 per<br />
cwt, the lowest level since the first day of the month, while<br />
select beef was priced at $193.21.</p>
<p>&#8220;We need some nice grilling weather, some spring weather<br />
that facilitates the scraping off of backyard barbecues.<br />
Grilling season is an important turning point (in beef demand)<br />
and it&#8217;s certainly delayed this year,&#8221; said Jim Robb, economist<br />
at the Livestock Marketing Information Center.</p>
<p>Late-winter snowfall on the East Coast and below-freezing<br />
temperatures on the Spring Equinox in the Midwest contributed to<br />
a slow start to the grilling season while an early Easter<br />
holiday also limited buying during Lent, when many Christians<br />
eat less meat.</p>
<p>Beef prices remain near record highs after ranchers culled<br />
the U.S. cattle herd to the smallest in 60 years when last<br />
summer&#8217;s devastating drought sent animal feed prices soaring.</p>
<p>And the high cost of beef &#8211; retail prices hit a record of<br />
$5.24 per lb in January &#8211; may lead to more consumers grilling<br />
chicken or pork this summer while grocery stores give more<br />
advertising space to cuts with a better chance of selling.</p>
<p>Rising gasoline prices and the expiration of a payroll tax<br />
break are also keeping a lid on U.S. discretionary spending.</p>
<p>Top U.S. meat company Tyson Foods Inc late last<br />
month said margins were &#8220;compressed&#8221; this year in its beef<br />
business.</p>
<p>&#8220;With cheaper pork and broiler meat around, the retailers<br />
are likely to go away from beef. Beef is priced out,&#8221; said John<br />
Ginzel, an analyst at brokerage The Linn Group in Chicago.</p>
<p>Choice beef was priced 27 cents per cwt below select and<br />
discounted for the first time since April and only the 14th time<br />
in history, USDA data shows.</p>
<p>The inversion of the choice-select spread is rare and<br />
self-correcting because retailers snatch up the higher quality<br />
and yet less expensive choice product.</p>
<p>Choice beef has more &#8220;marble,&#8221; or fat, that many cooks sear<br />
on hot grills to lock in juicy flavor while select is leaner and<br />
less tender.</p>
<p>Winter storms early this month in the southern U.S. Plains<br />
cattle country also slowed the marketing of slaughter-ready<br />
animals, resulting in further weight gain at feedlots. That may<br />
have also resulted in more beef being graded as choice, the<br />
analysts said.</p>
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		<title>US ethanol giant POET makes rare bid for wheat in Indiana</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/06/ethanol-wheat-poet-idUSL1N0BYEC220130306?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2013 20:00:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=60</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[March 6 (Reuters) &#8211; Leading U.S. ethanol maker POET Biorefining, in a rare move, is bidding for soft red winter wheat (SRW) at an Indiana facility as supplies of corn, the main feedstock in ethanol production, shrink to the smallest in 17 years. Privately held POET, the country&#8217;s No. 2 ethanol maker behind Archer Daniels [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>March 6 (Reuters) &#8211; Leading U.S. ethanol maker POET<br />
Biorefining, in a rare move, is bidding for soft red winter<br />
wheat (SRW) at an Indiana facility as supplies of corn, the main<br />
feedstock in ethanol production, shrink to the smallest in 17<br />
years.</p>
<p>Privately held POET, the country&#8217;s No. 2 ethanol maker<br />
behind Archer Daniels Midland Co, was bidding to buy SRW<br />
wheat, a variety grown primarily in the eastern U.S. Midwest and<br />
typically used to make crackers and biscuits.</p>
<p>U.S. ethanol producers rarely use wheat to make biofuels but<br />
the worst drought in five decades reduced last year&#8217;s corn<br />
harvest and pushed corn prices to record highs. The U.S. ethanol<br />
grind subsequently fell to the lowest level since the government<br />
began releasing weekly statistics in June 2010.</p>
<p>The highest gasoline prices since last summer and<br />
better profit margins at ethanol plants have led some facilities<br />
to ramp up production in recent weeks.</p>
<p>However, U.S. farmers are holding tight to what remains of<br />
last year&#8217;s corn harvest while wheat supplies are more<br />
plentiful.</p>
<p>At POET&#8217;s facility in Portland, in central Indiana near the<br />
border of Ohio, its grain buyers were bidding $7.44 per bushel<br />
for corn and $6.85 for wheat, according to POET&#8217;s website.</p>
<p>The plant typically consumes 24 million bushels of corn to<br />
produce 68 million gallons of ethanol per year, according to the<br />
company.</p>
<p>POET spokesman Matt Merritt had no additional comment.</p>
<p>Analysts said using wheat is only a temporary solution for<br />
ethanol plants designed for corn. Most facilities produce a<br />
byproduct called distiller&#8217;s grains that is sold as animal feed.<br />
Many plants also have technology to extract corn oil.</p>
<p>Ethanol plants can supplement corn supplies with other<br />
feedstocks, such as wheat, before drastically altering<br />
operations.</p>
<p>&#8220;They can do up to 20 percent with wheat before having to<br />
completely shift their plant over. I have heard it is being done<br />
in some areas depending on price and availability,&#8221; said Chris<br />
Manns, president of Traders Group Inc.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting by Mark Weinraub, Sam Nelson and Karl<br />
Plume in Chicago; Editing by Gerald E. McCormick and Bob<br />
Burgdorfer)</p>
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		<title>Farm trade frets over sequestration, meat sector worries most</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/05/us-sequestration-agriculture-idUSBRE9240V220130305?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/03/05/farm-trade-frets-over-sequestration-meat-sector-worries-most/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Mar 2013 17:28:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=58</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; Farmers and agribusiness companies are worried that across-the-board federal budget cuts will snarl the supply channels for everything from milk and broiler chickens to grain shipments, but many are hopeful that the Obama administration and Republican opponents will find a compromise before major disruptions hit the food system. Most immediate concerns center [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO (Reuters) &#8211; Farmers and agribusiness companies are worried that across-the-board federal budget cuts will snarl the supply channels for everything from milk and broiler chickens to grain shipments, but many are hopeful that the Obama administration and Republican opponents will find a compromise before major disruptions hit the food system.</p>
<p>Most immediate concerns center on federal meat inspectors at U.S. meat plants, who must be present by law for animal slaughter and meat processing to take place. U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack said the U.S. Department of Agriculture&#8217;s meat safety agency would have to furlough its 8,400 inspectors for 11 to 12 days to compile the savings required under the automatic federal budget cuts.</p>
<p>There are also concerns about grain inspection at ports and key jobs in transportation, such as the Army Corps of Engineers, which operates hundreds of river locks and dams for grain barge traffic.</p>
<p>Given the importance of the U.S. food system &#8211; food exports regularly post a huge trade surplus and food inflation is a key bellwether for government policymakers &#8211; agribusiness executives and officials said they expected the government to think carefully to minimize disruptions to food supplies.</p>
<p>&#8220;Even in the scenarios being discussed in the press, inspector services would not be affected for a few months,&#8221; Thomas Super, vice president of communications at the National Chicken Council said, referring to USDA meat inspectors at broiler packing plants.</p>
<p>&#8220;Because sequestration cuts must be spread over the next seven months, opportunity remains to resolve the budget crisis before inspectors are furloughed,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Super said NCC and about 40 other meat, poultry, food and grocery manufacturing and restaurant associations sent a letter to Vilsack underscoring their concerns about furloughing of USDA food safety inspectors due to the &#8220;sequester&#8221; automatic cuts that went into process on Friday.</p>
<p>USDA says no furlough notices have been issued to meat inspectors or any USDA department, but Vilsack told the U.S. House Agriculture Committee on Tuesday the agency will send furlough notices to meat inspectors this week although it will be &#8220;several months&#8221; before they occur.</p>
<p>Dave Warner, a spokesman for the National Pork Producers Association, said: &#8220;Meat inspection should be maintained to protect the public health by ensuring the safety of the U.S. meat supply. Should inspectors be furloughed, that action would have a huge negative impact on hog farmers, meat packers and processors, food retailers and restaurants and consumers.&#8221;</p>
<p>POSSIBLE PROCESSING PLANT SHUTDOWNS</p>
<p>By law, slaughterhouse activities cannot proceed without USDA-employed inspectors on hand. A mass layoff of inspectors would shut down nearly 6,300 meat packing and processing facilities because companies cannot ship meat that lacks the USDA inspection seal. The White House estimates the industry would lose $10 billion in production with just a two-week shutdown. Retail and wholesale meat prices would be expected to rise.</p>
<p>&#8220;Because meat inspection has historically been considered ‘essential&#8217; by the federal government, we&#8217;re optimistic there will be no interruption in this public health and safety function. We do not expect any immediate impact on our business,&#8221; said spokesman Gary Mickelson of Tyson Foods, the largest U.S. meatpacker.</p>
<p>USDA&#8217;s Agricultural Marketing Service, which generates prices used as benchmarks for livestock futures at the CME Group Inc, and essential agribusiness needs like the federal grain inspection service are also at risk of slowdowns or shutdowns.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t believe it&#8217;s going to be an issue because there are a lot of ways within USDA to cut the budget without having to furlough meat inspectors,&#8221; said Dan Norcini, a livestock futures trader at CME. &#8220;All of these fears are overblown and quite frankly I don&#8217;t put any stock in any of that talk.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. grain export associations, lacking details on government&#8217;s furlough plans, have been mostly silent so far on how grain inspections and export trade would be affected.</p>
<p>But federal government workers are everywhere in the food chain, from operations of locks and dams on U.S. rivers to oversight of rail shipments to quality control of food imports for contamination from pesticides and other chemicals.</p>
<p>Randy Gordon, president for the National Grain and Feed Association, said his group, which includes hundreds of grain handlers, was confident that grain inspections at U.S. gateway ports including New Orleans or Portland, Oregon, would have business as usual.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our understanding is that sequestration&#8217;s impact on daily official grain inspection and weighing services performed by USDA&#8217;s Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration will be minimal, as these services are financed almost exclusively through industry-paid user fees,&#8221; Gordon said, adding that NGFA is most concerned about the potential impacts to livestock operators given the group&#8217;s delivery of massive feed rations to beef, swine, poultry and fish farms.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re also monitoring the impact on the Department of Homeland Security&#8217;s Customs and Border Protection agency, given the importance of these inspectors in clearing imports of feed ingredients some grain commodities, particularly containerized vessel imports,&#8221; Gordon said.</p>
<p>(Additional reporting by Karl Plume. Writing by Christine Stebbins; Editing by Maureen Bavdek)</p>
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		<title>US cash cattle prices surge after blizzard reduces supply</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/01/usa-markets-cattle-idUSL1N0BTF6J20130301?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/03/01/us-cash-cattle-prices-surge-after-blizzard-reduces-supply/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Mar 2013 21:51:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=56</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, March 1 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. cash cattle prices jumped this week, posting their biggest increases in a year after blizzard conditions in the southern U.S. Plains reduced the amount of market-ready animals and slowed deliveries to packing plants, traders and analysts said on Friday. Live steer and heifer prices increased $5 per cwt in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, March 1 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. cash cattle prices jumped<br />
this week, posting their biggest increases in a year after<br />
blizzard conditions in the southern U.S. Plains reduced the<br />
amount of market-ready animals and slowed deliveries to packing<br />
plants, traders and analysts said on Friday.</p>
<p>Live steer and heifer prices increased $5 per cwt in the top<br />
cattle producing state of Texas, the largest increase since<br />
February 2012. That is expected to push wholesale beef prices<br />
higher and could further reduce already lackluster consumer<br />
demand for red meat.</p>
<p>Beef packers, caught short amid the snowfall, aggressively<br />
hiked their bids to buy cattle. Prices in the Texas Panhandle<br />
surged to $128 per cwt and Kansas cattle gained $3 to $127, with<br />
cash prices overall the highest in about two months.</p>
<p>Retail beef prices are the highest ever, rising to $5.24 per<br />
lb for benchmark choice cuts in January, according to the U.S.<br />
Agriculture Department.</p>
<p>The highest gasoline prices since the end of last summer and<br />
the steepest drop in consumer income in 20 years have also<br />
pressured demand at butchers and grocery stores even as<br />
uncertainty surrounding budget and job cuts due to the so-called<br />
sequester keeps a lid on beef buying.</p>
<p>&#8220;The overall economy is looking uneasy and that&#8217;s not good<br />
for meat demand,&#8221; said Ron Plain, an extension agriculture<br />
economist at the University of Missouri.</p>
<p>Still, beef prices are underpinned by the smallest U.S.<br />
cattle supply in 61 years after the worst drought in five<br />
decades led to record-high animal feed prices, leading some<br />
cattle producers to liquidate their herds.</p>
<p>The blizzard that dumped 20 inches of wet snow this week in<br />
the Plains cattle country mitigated drought conditions but<br />
stressed animals in pastures and feedlot fattening operations,<br />
slowing weight gain. Feedlot operators also struggled to load<br />
animals in trucks and transport them to slaughter houses.</p>
<p>&#8220;It was hard for the feedlots to get the animals to the<br />
packing houses. You&#8217;re dealing with 2 feet of snow out there in<br />
the country. That&#8217;s hard conditions to get semi&#8217;s out on country<br />
roads,&#8221; an Iowa cattle broker said.</p>
<p>Meat companies, such as Tyson Foods Inc and Cargill<br />
Inc, are likely to pass the higher cattle prices onto<br />
consumers. Beef packers, on average, are losing $23.40 per head<br />
of cattle they slaughter, according to the advisory service<br />
HedgersEdge.</p>
<p>Plain, the economist, expects another record retail price<br />
for beef. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think the record (in January) is going to<br />
last for the year,&#8221; he said.</p></p>
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		<title>US lumber futures fall to 2-wk low as housing starts disappoint</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/20/markets-lumber-idUSL1N0BK8HF20130220?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/02/20/us-lumber-futures-fall-to-2-wk-low-as-housing-starts-disappoint/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Feb 2013 18:57:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=54</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO, Feb 20 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. lumber futures fell 1.7 percent, touching the lowest level in two weeks, on Wednesday after housing starts declined and fell below analyst expectations, traders said. Lumber futures were headed for their biggest two-day slide in a month after hitting a nearly eight-year peak on Monday. CME lumber for March [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO, Feb 20 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. lumber futures fell 1.7<br />
percent, touching the lowest level in two weeks, on Wednesday<br />
after housing starts declined and fell below analyst<br />
expectations, traders said.</p>
<p>Lumber futures were headed for their biggest two-day slide<br />
in a month after hitting a nearly eight-year peak on Monday.</p>
<p>CME lumber for March delivery climbed above $400 per<br />
thousand board feet for the first time since April 2005 on<br />
Monday before declining by as much as the $10 per tbf daily<br />
trading limit.</p>
<p>Lumber futures nearly fell the trading limit again on<br />
Tuesday before trimming losses, trading $6.90 lower at $382.90<br />
per tbf as of 12:25 p.m. CST (1825 GMT).</p>
<p>&#8220;We went up way too soon,&#8221; Robin Cross, chief operating<br />
officer at brokerage Paul Court Company, said from the trading<br />
floor at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.</p>
<p>&#8220;The market is definitely better but housing is just<br />
grinding better. There&#8217;s some underlying confidence but we don&#8217;t<br />
want to get ahead of ourselves,&#8221; Cross said.</p>
<p>Groundbreaking on new U.S. homes declined 8.5 percent in<br />
January to an annualized rate of 890,000, below expectations of<br />
925,000, data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed.</p>
<p>Quarterly results from Toll Brothers, the largest<br />
luxury homebuilder in the country, also missed expectations,<br />
further pressuring wood prices.</p>
<p>Still, single-family unit housing starts were the highest<br />
since July 2008 while permits for building permits for new<br />
construction also jumped to a 4-1/2 year high.</p>
<p>Futures had also been trading at a premium to cash, with<br />
benchmark western spruce pine fir priced late last week at $390<br />
per tbf, according to Random Lengths, which tracks prices and<br />
trends in the lumber market.</p>
<p>&#8220;Premiums at such historically high prices are difficult to<br />
maintain so the second we broke, we had a very bearish move that<br />
led to some technical selling today,&#8221; Cross said.</p>
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		<title>Value of U.S. pork, beef exports hit records in 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/11/usa-meat-exports-idUSL1N0BBBLZ20130211?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2013/02/11/value-of-u-s-pork-beef-exports-hit-records-in-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Feb 2013 22:46:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/?p=52</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Feb 11 (Reuters) &#8211; The United States exported a record-large volume of pork in 2012 while the value of both pork and beef exports was the most ever despite a decrease in shipments as the year came to a close, government and trade group data released on Monday showed. Pork exports totaled 2.26 million tonnes, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Feb 11 (Reuters) &#8211; The United States exported a record-large<br />
volume of pork in 2012 while the value of both pork and beef<br />
exports was the most ever despite a decrease in shipments as the<br />
year came to a close, government and trade group data released<br />
on Monday showed.</p>
<p>Pork exports totaled 2.26 million tonnes, up narrowly from<br />
2011, with the value of those sales up 4 percent at $6.3<br />
billion, both records, according to the U.S. Meat Export<br />
Federation, which compiles USDA data that was issued on Monday.</p>
<p>Beef export volume declined 12 percent to 1.13 million<br />
tonnes. But the value of the sales jumped 2 percent to a record<br />
$5.51 billion in a year that saw all-time highs in Chicago<br />
Mercantile Exchange live cattle futures.</p>
<p>Growing global demand for meat propelled export volumes,<br />
while record animal feed prices amid the worst U.S. drought in<br />
five decades forced up meat values, analysts said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Certainly the changing consumer buying patterns throughout<br />
the world has influenced demand,&#8221; said Rich Nelson, analyst at<br />
Allendale Inc.</p>
<p>Export sales slowed in December with the beef volume down 16<br />
percent from a year ago while the pork volume declined 14<br />
percent.</p>
<p>Sale volumes should continue to the decline in 2013 due to a<br />
smaller U.S. cattle herd and to Russia banning U.S. meat imports<br />
containing the animal feed additive ractopamine. The additive is<br />
used to make meat more lean.</p>
<p>Russia&#8217;s imports of U.S. beef rose 10 percent to a record of<br />
80,408 tonnes in 2012, while pork imports were up 33 percent.<br />
That was before the country&#8217;s ban that went into effect this<br />
month. U.S. officials have urged the country to lift the ban.</p>
<p>However, the potential for increased sales to Japan, the No.<br />
2 U.S. market after Canada, could limit the fallout of fewer<br />
sales to Russia.</p>
<p>Japan last month announced that it will accept U.S. beef<br />
from cattle up to 30 months old, a change from its previous<br />
20-month age limit. The 20-month limit had been in place for a<br />
decade as a safe guard against mad cow disease. Meat from the<br />
older cattle was shipped to Japan last week, said Philip Seng,<br />
president of the Meat Export Federation.</p>
<p>&#8220;The trade does have this mentality that exports will be<br />
down this year&#8230; certainly with the Russia news taking<br />
precedent. But if we see Japanese buying, we could change some<br />
expectations,&#8221; Nelson said.</p>
<p> (Reporting by Michael Hirtzer in Chicago; Editing by Bob<br />
Burgdorfer)</p>
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		<title>US livestock groups seek drought relief with ethanol waiver</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/31/usa-ethanol-waiver-idUSL2E8IU60H20120731?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2012/07/31/us-livestock-groups-seek-drought-relief-with-ethanol-waiver/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jul 2012 00:09:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Hirtzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/michael-hirtzer/2012/07/31/us-livestock-groups-seek-drought-relief-with-ethanol-waiver/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[July 30 (Reuters) &#8211; Hard-hit U.S. livestock and poultry producers petitioned the government on Monday to reduce or cancel the required use of ethanol in gasoline for a year, asking for &#8220;a little help&#8221; to ride out the worst drought in 56 years. The request for a first-ever waiver from the federal Environmental Protection Agency&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>July 30 (Reuters) &#8211; Hard-hit U.S. livestock and poultry<br />
producers petitioned the government on Monday to reduce or<br />
cancel the required use of ethanol in gasoline for a year,<br />
asking for &#8220;a little help&#8221; to ride out the worst drought in 56<br />
years.</p>
<p>The request for a first-ever waiver from the federal<br />
Environmental Protection Agency&#8217;s mandate, which in essence<br />
requires that more than a third of the U.S. corn harvest be<br />
converted into ethanol, comes as grain prices have surged to<br />
record highs, driving up feed costs and squeezing profits for<br />
producers.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are having trouble buying corn&#8230; it&#8217;s really putting a<br />
burden on our operations and many others across the nation,&#8221;<br />
says J.D. Alexander, president of the National Cattlemen&#8217;s Beef<br />
Association, whose Nebraska feedlot is about half full of<br />
cattle. &#8220;It&#8217;s time to wean the ethanol industry and let it stand<br />
on its own.&#8221;</p>
<p>The EPA has not granted a waiver since the Renewable Fuels<br />
Standard (RFS) was enacted in 2007. The policy has enjoyed years<br />
of staunch bipartisan support, boosting income for  U.S. farmers<br />
and helping reduce the country&#8217;s dependence on foreign oil. But<br />
it is now coming under renewed attack.</p>
<p>The beef, chicken, pork and turkey trade groups said they<br />
had delivered a petition to EPA administrator Lisa Jackson to<br />
waive the mandate &#8220;in whole or in substantial part&#8221; for the<br />
remainder of this year and part of next.</p>
<p>Matt Hartwig, a spokesman for the Renewable Fuels<br />
Association, said in an interview the move by the livestock<br />
groups &#8220;is not an official waiver request &#8212; and did not trigger<br />
EPA to begin the process.&#8221;</p>
<p>The only groups that can petition the EPA for a waiver are<br />
oil refineries or blenders, a state or the EPA itself.</p>
<p>The request had been expected as livestock groups hit<br />
hardest by the 60 percent rise in corn prices over the past six<br />
weeks ramped up lobbying efforts. It is far from clear whether<br />
they will succeed where Texas Gov. Rick Perry failed four years<br />
ago, when he sought a partial waiver.</p>
<p>The groups said the mandate had proved powerful enough to<br />
&#8220;directly affect the supply and cost of feed&#8221;, causing<br />
sufficient harm to meet the requirement of severe economic or<br />
environmental harm. But analysts say meeting that criteria may<br />
be difficult to prove.</p>
<p>It is also unclear what kind of political reception the<br />
request will have in Washington ahead of the November election,<br />
in which President Barack Obama, a supporter of ethanol, seeks a<br />
second term. Some of the most fiercely contested states are in<br />
the farm belt, where the mandate is very popular.</p>
<p>&#8220;EPA officials and the secretary of agriculture (Tom<br />
Vilsack) have all indicated that they are not considering a<br />
waiver at this time. I am not sure if this (petition) changes<br />
the landscape all that much,&#8221; said Mark McMinimy, biofuels<br />
analyst at Guggenheim Partners Washington Research Group.</p>
</p>
<p>IF NOT NOW, WHEN?</p>
<p>Corn futures soared to a record of $8.28-3/4 per<br />
bushel this month at the Chicago Board of Trade as the most<br />
extensive drought in five decades reduced the yield potential of<br />
the developing crop.</p>
<p>About 35 percent of the U.S. corn supply is now used to<br />
produce ethanol &#8212; about the same amount that is used as animal<br />
feed, according to the U.S. Agriculture Department.</p>
<p>&#8220;The whole waiver process, if not enacted now, has to be put<br />
into question. If we are not going to do this now, in a historic<br />
drought year, then when?&#8221; said John Burkel, vice chairman of the<br />
National Turkey Federation and a Minnesota turkey farmer.</p>
<p>Two-thirds of the country is suffering from moderate to<br />
exceptional drought.</p>
<p>But ethanol supporters doubt EPA will make any change to the<br />
mandate amid ample ethanol stocks and a cushion of tradable<br />
credits generated when a gallon of ethanol is produced &#8212; known<br />
as renewable identification numbers (RINs) &#8212; which will keep<br />
corn-ethanol use in check for 2012 and into 2013, they say.</p>
<p>Additionally, waiving the ethanol mandate would reduce<br />
supplies of the ethanol byproduct dried distillers&#8217; grains,<br />
which is also used to feed animals.</p>
<p>&#8220;Waiving the RFS won&#8217;t bring the type of relief the<br />
livestock groups are seeking, nor will it result in<br />
significantly lower feed prices,&#8221; Bob Dinneen, president of the<br />
Renewable Fuels Association, said in a statement.</p>
<p>&#8220;Because ethanol plants also produce a high protein feed,<br />
limiting ethanol production will only further complicate drought<br />
related feed issues and costs,&#8221; he added.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting by <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/search/journalist.php?edition=us&#038;n=christine.stebbins&#038;">Christine Stebbins</a> in Chicago.;<br />
Editing by Dale Hudson, Bob Burgdorfer and Andrew Hay)</p>
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