Money on the markets
A maturing market amid the mayhem
When the finance minister presents the budget, the stock market moves one way or the other.
And like every year this will dominate the news.
Over there and everywhere.
Is that fair? Or convincing?
Some of the analysis will follow a pattern.
If the stock market goes up, the budget may be described as successful because it didn’t “rock the boat”.
If it moves sideways, it may be said the market had already absorbed the good news — the growth figures for instance.
If it moves down — the fiscal deficit may be the reason.
If the finance minister withdraws the stimulus it may not be good (for some) because it may mean more taxes and hence less profit.
A railway budget separate from the general budget started in 1924 because the railways then formed more than a third of the budget.
A dedicated budget for railways was called for.
However the pattern of government’s finances has changed and the railways despite the impressive statistics - 63,327-kilometre network, 18 million passengers, two million tons of freight – is less important.
On Friday the benchmark closed 253 points lower at 13,504 on worries over the monsoon and global economy.
Selling pressure pulled the BSE Sensex below 14,000 on Wednesday as concerns over global economic recovery spooked financial markets all around.
Trade was volatile and the 30-share sensitive index touched an intra-day low of 13,701 before closing 401 points lower at 13,769. The fifty-share Nifty ended 2.93 percent down at 4,078.
The BSE Sensex ended 0.9 percent up on Tuesday, recovering from yesterday’s biggest one-day drop in six months.
The benchmark turned negative during trade after rising more than 1 percent, as a large budget deficit weighed on investors’ minds. Trade was volatile and the 30-share sensitive index swung from an intra-day low of 14,000 to an intra-day high of 14,252 and closed 127 points higher at 14,170.
The Sensex plunged 5.8 percent on Monday as the higher-than-expected fiscal deficit announced by the government in the Union budget disappointed investors.
The 30-share sensitive index swung from an intra-day high of 15,097 to an intra-day low of 13,959 and closed 870 points lower at 14,043. The fifty-share Nifty ended 5.84 percent down at 4,165.
The rally in the benchmark, which closed at 14,913, was led by HDFC (up 7.7 percent). Gains in Tata Steel, M&M and Reliance Infrastructure also helped.
The government released the economic survey report on Thursday which said India could see growth of around 7 percent this year if it makes sweeping reforms and speeds infrastructure development. (Click here for complete coverage)