Money on the markets

A maturing market amid the mayhem

from Expert Zone:

Will Indian stocks end 2012 on a happier note?

(Rajiv Deep Bajaj is the Vice Chairman and Managing Director of Bajaj Capital Ltd. The views expressed in this column are his own and do not represent those of Reuters)

The rally in the Indian stock markets, fuelled by the so-called reform announcements, seems to have fizzled out. Frontline indexes have retraced more than 60 percent of the gains made since Sep. 13, 2012, the day the reform measures were made public.

Stock market sentiment turned bullish after the reforms were announced, which typically followed Europe's unlimited bond-buying plan revealed a week earlier and coincided with the launch of QE3 in the United States.

However, subsequent developments such as the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) refusal to cut the repo rate citing persistently high inflation at its October policy review, slowing growth and worsening trade and fiscal deficits, have dented some of that exuberance.

No solution in sight for bipolar Indian stocks

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(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

As the end of 2012 approaches, investors will likely remember this as a bipolar year for Indian markets.

from Expert Zone:

Hopes fade as investors await concrete action

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

It was an action-packed week for the markets but not for the reasons we had anticipated. Manmohan Singh’s government, which was expected to announce a string of policy action steps starting with a diesel price hike, failed to make any announcements which would have cheered markets.

from Expert Zone:

Get set for an action-packed week

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

Markets continued to display weakness during the week except for a spirited, though limited, rally on July 18 after the UPA convinced belligerent ally Mamata Banerjee to fall in line for the presidential elections. The Nifty lost 0.4 pct to close the week at 5205 on political worries after the NCP, another government ally, expressed dissatisfaction with its functioning.

from Expert Zone:

India Market Weekahead – Policy action, rupee to decide market direction

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

The week gone by displayed indecisiveness by participants as the markets garnered small gains after moving in a tight range. The Nifty managed to hold on to the 4900 level mark as investors cheered the government’s announcement to raise petrol prices in an attempt to revive the policy inaction tag.

from Expert Zone:

India Market Weekahead – Volatile market within a narrow range

(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

A sharper-than-expected cut of 50 basis points in the repo rate boosted the benchmark indices early during the week. However, as expected, the Nifty could not gain higher than 5350 as apprehensions about the limited scope of further rate cuts suppressed sentiment.

from Expert Zone:

Brace for volatility, but utilise opportunity

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

After a 21 percent run so far this year due to unabated liquidity flow, markets paused for two weeks in a row with a cut of close to 5 percent. Data showing a slowdown in GDP growth in Q3 December spooked investors while macroeconomic worries arising from high oil prices also weighed on sentiments.

from Expert Zone:

India Market Weekahead: RBI policy holds the key

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

Markets extended a rally for the third consecutive week led by strong FII inflows. FIIs have pumped in $1.2 billion so far this year as risk sentiment stabilised after several European debt auctions saw lower borrowing rates and overwhelming demand. Improvement in U.S. economic data, rupee appreciation and December quarter earnings exceeding lower expectations helped the market rally nearly 8 pct in three weeks.

from Expert Zone:

2012 – Boom or Doom?

(The views expressed in this column are the author's own and do not represent those of Reuters)

What a year 2011 has been. Except certain commodities such as gold and oil, every other asset class has been hit. With Sensex down more than 20 pct YTD, 10 year g-sec yields up by almost 1 pct and rupee down by almost 14 pct against the dollar, it has been a poor year for investors. This was caused by a bout of strong global risk aversion led by the European sovereign debt crisis, high inflation in emerging markets and consequent monetary tightening, and lack of proper policy action in India. The only salvation came from commodities such as oil (up almost 26 pct in rupee terms) and gold (up almost 38 pct in rupee terms).

Unitech shares jump more than 9 pct

Shares in Unitech, one of India’s leading real estate firms, rose 9.3 percent to close at 38.2 rupees, after a sell-off amid allegations that the firm was among those who were favoured in 2G licence grants in 2008.

On Tuesday, the CBI questioned Unitech’s MD as part of a probe into the alleged telecoms corruption scandal.

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