Buried within Foreign Policy’s latest Failed States Index (Pakistan is in 10th place, though its overall score at 104.1 compared to 103.8 in 2008 suggests a far slower rate of decline than might have been expected given its troubles over the past year) is a short article worth reading about its looming water crisis.
“The country’s troubles today pale compared with what it might face 25 years from now. When it comes to the stability of one of the world’s most volatile regions, it’s the fate of the Himalayan glaciers that should be keeping us awake at night,” says author Stephan Faris. “In the mountainous area of Kashmir along and around Pakistan’s contested border with India lies what might become the epicentre of the problem.”
The subject is not new. I’ve discussed it on this blog here, here and here.
But there’s still no real sign of it getting the attention it deserves, despite its obvious potential not only to stoke tensions between India and Pakistan, but also to create water and food shortages and flash floods.
Some years back, I saw first hand the power of flooding in Himalayan rivers while driving from Srinagar to Leh — the same strategic road Pakistan tried to close with shelling in the Kargil war. Shortly before we arrived in Leh the entire road bridge — a proper heavy concrete road bridge — had been swept away, closing the road. Not even the might of the Indian army, which had scaled the mountains above Kargil in part to defend that road, could get it open again.
(Photos: On the Srinagar to Leh road, summer, 2006)

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[...] is not a new warning. In recent months, as this blog itself has noted, experts have painted an increasingly bleak scenario of Pakistan’s [...]
- Posted by Pakistan’s cry for waterI hope the JF-17’s that are being inducted into PAF have this mission in mind, of one day busting the water-stoppage dams that India is building in Indian Occupied Kashmir.
Water is Pakistan’s right but many Indians are so blind with hatred, and so enraged by their powerlessness against Pakistan, that they might very well one day stop the flow of water to Pakistan.
- Posted by Aamir Ali@Quick and lightning air strikes should be carried out. Pakistan has nothing to loose, if we dont stand up to guard our interests no one will.
- Posted by Umair
–Umair, 63 yrs of freedom and saying “nothing to lose”, how worse can it get?
- Posted by rajeevLet me add one more thing—-the world will gain a lot since they won’t have to give you aid anymore.
@SA deserve a better present and future.
- Posted by peacelover
–But many analysts are asking that with pakistan around, is the above possibility can every become a reality.
- Posted by rajeev