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	<title>Pakistan: Now or Never?</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan</link>
	<description>Perspectives on Pakistan</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 09:02:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Pakistan&#8217;s Lashkar-e-Taiba and the power of religion</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/20/pakistans-lashkar-e-taiba-and-the-power-of-religion/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/20/pakistans-lashkar-e-taiba-and-the-power-of-religion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 21:33:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Lashkar-e-Taiba]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4229</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the anniversary approaching of the Mumbai attacks, the Lashkar-e-Taiba militant group blamed for the assault is still seen as a serious threat. But what about its humanitarian Jamaat ud-Dawa sister organisation?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/taj-fishing.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4241" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/taj-fishing.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="173" align="left" /></a>Following up on earlier posts <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/07/09/lashkar-e-taiba-assessing-the-threat/" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/14/pakistan-and-afghanistan-the-bad-guys-dont-stay-in-their-lanes/" target="_blank">here</a> about Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), I&#8217;ve been looking closely at <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE59Q2SV20091027" target="_blank">the arrest in Chicago on anti-terrorism charges of two men</a> linked to LeT and accused of plotting attacks in Denmark.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE5AJ1F820091120?sp=true" target="_blank">Analysts say the Chicago case demonstrates the global reach of the militant group</a> and its ability to plot attacks in India and around the world. The court documents submitted by U.S. authorities also allege that Lashkar-e-Taiba had suggested that attacks on India be given priority over the planned attack in Denmark, highlighting the threat still posed by the group one year after Mumbai.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/asiaCrisis/idUSLK431769" target="_blank">As discussed in this factbox</a>, analysts cite several reasons for Pakistan&#8217;s reluctance to dismantle Lashkar-e-Taiba. These include its role in Kashmir and in India-Pakistan rivalry, and popular support for the humanitarian work of its Jamaat ud-Dawa sister organisation. They also cite an unwillingness to create a new enemy right now when Pakistan is already fighting the Pakistani Taliban in Waziristan and facing a wave of reprisal attacks in its cities. Lashkar-e-Taiba is the only Pakistani militant group which is not believed to have been involved in attacking targets within Pakistan itself.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/kashmir-earthquake.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4242" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/kashmir-earthquake.jpg" alt="" width="193" height="300" align="right" /></a>None of that makes the group any less dangerous. But while researching the subject, I also found myself asking questions about the nature of the group and the kind of support it has &#8211; beyond its alleged state backing. This is not to condone violence. But by failing to look at this support, particularly for Jamaat ud-Dawa&#8217;s  humanitarian work, are we perhaps missing at least part of the point?</p>
<p>The religious ideology of the Markaz ud-Dawa wal Irshad which gave birth to Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jamaat ud-Dawa is Ahl-e-Hadith, a Salafist school of thought which seeks a return to what it sees as the &#8221;purer&#8221; practices of the early Muslims. This ideology originally sprang from a rejection of the corruption of religion by political power and of the syncretism which had thrived in South Asia through a blending of Hinduism and Islam, and which also underpinned the popularity of the Sufi tradition.</p>
<p>Whatever you think of this ideology, it does bear a remarkable resemblance to the thinking behind the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protestant_Reformation" target="_blank">Protestant Reformation in Europe</a> which rejected the power and the myths of the Catholic Church and sought what it saw as a return to the original views of the followers of Jesus, best exemplified by its then heretical efforts to translate the Bible from Latin into languages that ordinary people could understand.</p>
<p>The Protestant Reformation led to centuries of wars, pogroms and cruelty from which Europe only properly emerged after World War Two. It also contributed to a philosophy of clean living, hard work and individualism which some argue laid the foundations for capitalism and with it, the rising power and wealth of the west.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/gujarat-earthquake.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4243" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/gujarat-earthquake.jpg" alt="" width="193" height="300" align="left" /></a>So my first question is whether we understand properly these similarities between such reformist traditions in Islam and Christianity, both in their time seen as hardline, fundamentalist and dangerous?  And are we drawing the right lessons from this?</p>
<p>Secondly, one of the reasons for the popular support for Jamaat ud-Dawa is its extensive humanitarian work in education, healthcare and disaster relief.  This is not unique to Pakistan or Islam - before the development of universal free education in many countries, most people were educated in schools originally set up by charities and religious organisations.</p>
<p>Providing help to the poor is common to most if not all religious organisations.  In disaster relief, the Hindu Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) was amongst the first on the spot following the 2001 Gujarat earthquake in India, just as Jamaat ud-Dawa cadres rushed to help the victims of the 2005 earthquake in Pakistan and Pakistani Kashmir</p>
<p>Again, are we paying enough attention to the similarities between the ways in which different religious organisations help the poor and drawing the right lessons? There are inherent dangers in this help &#8211; as seen in the activities of some Christian missionaries in the British empire, in the global network of support for Jamaat ud-Dawa that counter-terrorism experts fear can be exploited by Lashkar-e-Taiba, and in the popular backing for the RSS after the Gujarat earthquake in 2001 that may have strengthened it in its alleged role in the communal violence in the state a year later.</p>
<p>There are no obvious answers to these questions. But if those posting comments here could set aside the many bitter feuds which divide nations and indeed the exploitation of religion for political gain that has been a feature of every continent, how would you start addressing them?</p>
<p>Please try to restrict your comments to those you would be willing to make if everyone was physically present in the same room, rather than in an internet forum.</p>
<p>(Photos: Mumbai skyline; earthquake-hit road near Muzzafarabad in Pakistani Kashmir; a girl rescued from the Gujarat earthquake)</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Pakistan&#8217;s conspiracy theories</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/17/pakistans-conspiracy-theories/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/17/pakistans-conspiracy-theories/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 22:56:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[conspiracy theories]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4213</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Conspiracy theories are gaining currency in Pakistan with outside powers frequently blamed for the wave of gun and bomb attacks on its cities. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/lahore-mosque.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4221 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/lahore-mosque.jpg" alt="" width="218" height="300" align="left" /></a>If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, then &#8230; anyone who tells you it is a duck must be hiding something. So goes the logic of conspiracy theories which are gaining increasing currency in Pakistan because of the wave of gun and bomb attacks in its towns and cities.</p>
<p><a href="http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/17/taliban-blames-blackwater-for-pakistan-bombings/" target="_blank">As reported in the New York Times</a>, India, Israel and the United States are frequently blamed for the violence, as is the U.S. security company formerly known as Blackwater. </p>
<p>The Pakistani Taliban, <a href="http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2009/11/20091116145058336650.html" target="_blank">according to al Jazeera</a>, appear to have capitalised on that by blaming Blackwater for two attacks that most shocked Pakistanis &#8212; one a suicide bombing on a market crowded with women and children in Peshawar which killed more than 100 people and the other an attack on the Islamic University in Islamabad.</p>
<p>&#8220;Surprisingly enough, this whole India-US-Israel theory has a lot of popular currency these days in Pakistan,&#8221; <a href="http://blog.dawn.com/2009/11/14/the-convenient-curtain-of-myth/" target="_blank">writes Asif Akhtar in a blog for Dawn newspaper</a>. &#8221;The myriad of television talk-shows on every news channel are heavily relying on this theory of a triangulated axis of evil out to destroy Islam and Pakistan with one nifty stone’s throw of insurgent terror.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If the present reasoning of global evils out to destroy Islam and Pakistan continues, then the only answer is the apocalyptic war which is talked about in fringe mythologies related to the arrival of the Antichrist. The last thing we want is for this to be a self-fulfilling prophecy!&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/peshawar-two.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4222 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/peshawar-two.jpg" alt="" width="201" height="300" align="right" /></a>Foreign journalists have not escaped, being accused of working variously for the CIA, Mossad, and India&#8217;s R&amp;AW spy agency, and of course, Blackwater, <a href="http://blog.lefigaro.fr/inde/2009/11/espionite-pakistanaise-les-jou.html" target="_blank">according to Marie-France Calle in her French-language blog for Le Figaro newspaper.</a></p>
<p>Conspiracy theories are not new to South Asia, and are usually driven by the assumption that some much more powerful nation must be pulling the strings behind the scenes. </p>
<p>They gained momentum during the 1980s when intelligence agencies ran the covert war against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. The collapse of the Soviet Union shortly after its withdrawal from Afghanistan underpinned a view of all-powerful intelligence agencies who could redraw the world map - no matter that many historians argue that the collapse was due to many other factors which were quite independent of its Afghan defeat.</p>
<p>&#8220;In the world of the conspiracy, powerful actors are not merely mortals with influence but rather god-like beings who direct geopolitics like an opera, and that is just how the powerful often appear to be in this country,&#8221; <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/nov/15/pakistan-terrorism-bombings" target="_blank">writes Mustafa Qadri in Britain&#8217;s Guardian newspaper</a>. &#8220;By marshalling conspiracy theories many people, not just in Pakistan, abdicate responsibility for confronting the ills their societies face. If you are playing cards with a cheat, is there any point in trying to get a better hand?&#8221;</p>
<p>There is a fine line between conspiracy theories and a healthy scepticism about what those in power are saying. And there is always room for sensible discussion both about the agendas of intelligence agencies, and about <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE5AA08T20091111" target="_blank">the role of private security firms like Blackwater</a>.</p>
<p>But in a country trying to re-establish itself as a democracy, and where economic development is seen as one of the better ways of draining support for the Taliban, how do you develop a strong civil society if voters are constantly being told they have no hope of change since everything is being run by a Hidden Hand?</p>
<p>(Photos: Lahore and Peshawar after the market bombing)</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Pakistan and Afghanistan: &#8220;the bad guys don&#8217;t stay in their lanes&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/14/pakistan-and-afghanistan-the-bad-guys-dont-stay-in-their-lanes/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/14/pakistan-and-afghanistan-the-bad-guys-dont-stay-in-their-lanes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2009 11:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[al Qaeda]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Bruguiere]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Bush]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Lashkar-e-Taiba]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4174</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new book by former French investigating magistrate Jean-Louis Bruguiere adds fresh arguments against those who say the United States should scale back its objectives in Afghanistan and Pakistan to focus more narrowly on hunting down al Qaeda.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/bruguiere.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4197 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/bruguiere.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="300" align="right" /></a>Given the debate about whether the United States should refocus its strategy in Afghanistan and Pakistan more narrowly on hunting down al Qaeda, it&#8217;s worth looking at what happened immediately after 9/11 when it did precisely that.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"><a href="http://www.amazon.fr/que-nai-pas-dire-entretiens/dp/2221114248/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1258157765&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">In a new book</a> about his years fighting terrorism, former French investigating magistrate Jean-Louis Bruguiere casts fresh light on those early years after 9/11. At the time, he says, the Bush administration was so keen to get Pakistan&#8217;s help in defeating al Qaeda that it was willing to turn a blind eye to Pakistani support for militant groups like the Lashkar-e-Taiba, nurtured by the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency to fight India in Kashmir.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">Basing his information on testimony given by jailed Frenchman Willy Brigitte, who spent 2-1/2 months in a Lashkar training camp in 2001/2002, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLC383495" target="_blank">he writes that the Pakistan Army once ran those camps</a>, with the apparent knowledge of the CIA. The instructors in the camp in Pakistan&#8217;s Punjab province were soldiers on detachment, he says, and the army dropped supplies by helicopter. Brigitte&#8217;s handler, he says, appeared to have been a senior army officer who was treated deferentially by other soldiers.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">CIA officers even inspected the camp four times, he writes, to make sure that Pakistan was keeping to a promise that only Pakistani fighters would be trained there. Foreigners like Brigitte were tipped off in advance and told to hide up in the hills to avoid being caught.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/musharraf.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4199 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/musharraf.jpg" alt="" width="206" height="300" align="left" /></a>Reluctant to destabilise Pakistan, then under former president Pervez Musharraf, the United States turned a blind eye to the training camps and poured money into the country. In return, Pakistan hunted down al Qaeda leaders &#8212; among them alleged 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, captured in 2003. &#8221;For the Bush administration, the priority was al Qaeda,&#8221; writes Bruguiere. &#8221;The Pakistan Army and the ISI would focus on this - external - objective, which would not destabilise the fragile political balance in Pakistan.&#8221;</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">Pakistan denies that it gave military support to the Lashkar-e-Taiba and has banned the organisation. But India at the time accused western countries of double standards in tolerating Pakistani support for Kashmir-focused organisations while pushing it to tackle groups like al Qaeda which threatened Western interests. Diplomats say that attitude has since changed, particularly after bombings in London in 2005 highlighted the risks of &#8220;home-grown terrorism&#8221; in Britain linked to Kashmir-oriented militant groups based in Pakistan&#8217;s Punjab province.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">Last year&#8217;s attack on Mumbai, blamed on the Lashkar-e-Taiba, and more recently <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE59Q2SV20091027" target="_blank">the arrest in Chicago of David Headley</a>, linked to the Lashkar-e-Taiba and accused of planning attacks in Denmark and India (<a href="http://www.justice.gov/usao/iln/pr/chicago/2009/pr1027_01.pdf" target="_blank">pdf document</a>), has underlined international concern about <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/07/09/lashkar-e-taiba-assessing-the-threat/" target="_blank">the threat posed by the group</a>.</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/tajmumbai.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4200 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/tajmumbai.jpg" alt="" width="226" height="300" align="right" /></a>But for Bruguiere, one of the major lessons was that Islamist militants can&#8217;t be separated into &#8220;good guys and bad guys&#8221;, since they were all inter-linked. </div>
</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">&#8220;You should take into account, this is crucial, very, very important,&#8221; <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLC383495" target="_blank">Bruguiere told me in an interview</a>. &#8220;Lashkar-e-Taiba is no longer a Pakistan movement with only a Kashmir political or military agenda. Lashkar-e-Taiba is a member of al Qaeda. Lashkar-e-Taiba has decided to expand the violence worldwide.&#8221;</div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;"> </div>
<div style="overflow: hidden; color: #000000; background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">Bruguiere said he became aware of the changing nature of international terrorism while investigating attacks in Paris in the mid-1990s by the Algerian Armed Islamic Group (GIA). These included an attempt to hijack a plane from Algiers to Paris in 1994 and crash it into the Eiffel Tower &#8212; a forerunner of the 9/11 attacks. The plane was diverted to Marseilles and stormed by French security forces.</div>
<p>This new style of international terrorism was quite unlike militant groups he had investigated in the past, with their pyramidal structures. &#8221;After 1994/1995, like viruses, all the groups have been spreading on a very large scale all over the world, in a horizontal way and even a random way,&#8221; he said. &#8220;All the groups are scattered, very polymorphous and even mutant.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/marriott.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4201 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/marriott.jpg" alt="" width="262" height="300" align="left" /></a>Gone were the political objectives which drove terrorism before, he writes, to be replaced with a nihilistic aim of spreading chaos in order to create the conditions for an Islamic caliphate. For the hijackers on the Algiers-Paris flight, their demands seemed almost incidental. &#8220;We realised we faced the language of hatred and a total determination to see it through.&#8221;</p>
<p>Many have argued against this view of international terrorism as a new and nebulous Islamist network without obvious political objectives, which found its most powerful expression in al Qaeda. Just as Lashkar-e-Taiba grew out of rivalry between India and Pakistan over Kashmir, the GIA sprang from anger about the annulment of elections in Algeria that an Islamist group was poised to win. Its attacks on Paris in the mid 1990s were seen as a reprisal for France&#8217;s role in supporting the government in its former colony. Many of those who support al Qaeda and other Islamist groups are driven by anger over the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and other perceived injustices across the Middle East. </p>
<p>Yet if he is right that the United States and its allies are facing a loose international network of Islamists with no clear pyramid structure, then it would suggest that no amount of drone bombing of al Qaeda and the Taliban leadership of the kind promoted by counter-terrorism supporters would work. Nor would it be enough, alone, to address political grievances at a national level without taking account of a network which operates globally and does not recognise the validity of the nation state. Rather, you would need a sophisticated and comprehensive strategy which went far beyond the kind of focused counter-terrorism first used by the Bush administration.</p>
<p>Browsing through <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/09/28/090928fa_fact_packer?currentPage=all" target="_blank">the New Yorker profile on U.S. special envoy Richard Holbrooke</a>, I noticed the same argument was raised there:</p>
<p>&#8220;A pure counter-terror approach had, in fact, been the Bush Administration’s policy for years: kill or capture terrorist leaders, with minimal support for political institutions in Kabul and Islamabad,&#8221; it said. &#8220;It had created the mess that (President Barack) Obama inherited, with two countries under threat from insurgents and Al Qaeda’s strength increasing.</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8216;Al Qaeda doesn’t exist in a vacuum,&#8221; it quoted former CIA officer Bruce Riedel, who led Obama&#8217;s first review of strategy, as saying.  “They’re part of a syndicate of terrorist groups. Selective counterterrorism won’t get you anywhere, because the bad guys don’t stay in their lanes.”</p>
<p>(Photos: Jean-Louis Bruguiere; Pervez Musharraf, the Taj in Mumbai, the Marriot in Islamabad)</p>
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		<title>Pakistan&#8217;s Waziristan fight tougher than Kashmir  ?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/10/pakistans-waziristan-fight-tougher-than-kashmir/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/10/pakistans-waziristan-fight-tougher-than-kashmir/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 15:25:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sanjeev Miglani</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Kashmir]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistani Taliban]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Peshawar]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Waziristan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4168</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Pakistani Taliban says the Pakistani military faces a fight in Waziristan tougher than Kashmir. It must be quite a bitter irony for the Pakistani army to be dealt such a warning from militants, many of whom it nurtured to fight the Indian army in Kashmir in the first place.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/w1.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4171  aligncenter" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/w1.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="171" align="none" /></a></p>
<p>The Pakistani Taliban are <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20091110/wl_nm/us_pakistan_waziristan" target="_blank">warning</a> the Pakistani military that it faces a fight in Waziristan tougher than Kashmir where the Indian army has struggled to quell a 20-year armed revolt.</p>
<p>It must be a rather bitter irony for the Pakistani army to be dealt such a warning from an umbrella militant group, several of whose members it once nurtured to fight the Indian army in Kashmir.</p>
<p>War by a thousand cuts, the Pakistan strategic establishment said, referring to the strategy to bleed India&#8217;s much larger army and ensure parity. So militants were given material support to take on the Indian army which was then forced to throw in more and more troops in to the conflict zone, until there were almost - and to this day remain -  anything around 400,000 to 500,000 troops in the area.  Such a large military presence by itself deepens the people&#8217;s alienation and perpetuates the insurgency.</p>
<p>Is it going to be the same for the Pakistani army as Pakistan Taliban spokesman  <span class="yshortcuts" style="background: #dceeff; cursor: hand; color: #000000; border-bottom: #0066cc 1px dashed;">Azam Tariq</span> told Reuters on Tuesday just as suspected militants carried out the third attack near the frontier city of Peshawar in as many days ?</p>
<p>Waziristan as Kashmir does seem a stretch. One, the Pakistani Taliban don&#8217;t have the cross border backing that the militants operating in Kashmir had, beginning with helping them cross over, to training, to  giving them arms and then pushing them back across the Kashmir frontier. Leave alone state support, it&#8217;s not even certain that their brothers-in-arms, the Afghan Taliban, are backing them to the hilt in what must be their toughest battle yet since they turned against the Pakistani state.</p>
<p>For what it&#8217;s worth an Afghan  Taliban commander on Tuesday distanced himself from the Pakistani Taliban, saying it didn&#8217;t support targeting innocent people.  The Afghan Taliban&#8217;s target were only the foreign forces in Afghanistan, Afghan Taliban commander Abdul Mannan alias Mullah Toor told Pakistan&#8217;s <a href="http://geo.tv/11-10-2009/52687.htm" target="_blank">GEO TV</a>.</p>
<p>Two, the Pakistani army has deployed about 30,000 troops in the South Waziristan operation, a drop for an army with a <a href="http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/pakistan/army.htm" target="_blank">size of over 520,000 troops</a>.  The Taliban will have to do much more to draw the Pakistani army deeper into their lair and in  greater numbers before it can really begin to bleed them.</p>
<p>Third, there doesn&#8217;t seem to be any people&#8217;s support for the Taliban,  at least not in the open and not in the sense that the Indian army faces in Kashmir.</p>
<p>In such circumstances, can the Pakistani Taliban really go the distance, fight a 20-year war? Perhaps they will target Pakistan&#8217;s cities and towns to weaken the state&#8217;s resolve as they have done in the run-up and aftermath of the offensive.</p>
<p>{Reuters picture of people fleeing south Waziristan]</p>
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		<title>Pakistan, India and the United States</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/09/pakistan-india-and-the-united-states/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/09/pakistan-india-and-the-united-states/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 08:35:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sanjeev Miglani</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[army]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[defence]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4152</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While the United States and Pakistan have been struggling to deal with the challenges to their relationship, India and America have quitely gone ahead and completed the largest military exercise ever conducted by New Delhi with a foreign army. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/a2.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4157  aligncenter" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/a2.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="286" align="none" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">While attention has almost entirely been focused on America&#8217;s difficult relationship with Pakistan - a writer in Foreign Policy magazine called it the world&#8217;s most <a href="http://afpak.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/11/02/the_most_dysfunctional_relationship_in_the_world" target="_blank">dysfunctional</a> relationship - India and the United States have quietly gone ahead and completed the largest military exercise ever undertaken by New Delhi with a foreign army.</p>
<p>The exercise named <a href="http://www.usarpac.army.mil/yudhabhyas.html" target="_blank">Yudh Abyhas 2009 </a>(or practice for war)  and conducted in northern India involved tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, and helicopter-borne infantry. The U.S. army deployed 17 Strykers,  its eight-wheeled armoured vehicle, in the largest deployment of the newest vehicle outside of Iraq and Afghanistan for Pacific Rim forces, the military said.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#8220;This exercise indeed is a landmark. For the Indian Army, this is the biggest we have done with any foreign army,&#8221; Indian army director general of military operations, Lt. Gen. A.S. Sekhon said.</p>
<p>Since they began exercising together over the past decade after being on opposite sides of the Cold War, India and the United States have steadily advanced their military relationship. As the two big powers in the Indian Ocean, they  have had steadily complex naval exercises and this year, for added measure, brought in the Japanese navy too in a three-way exercise, a move which must not have been lost on the Chinese.</p>
<p>Indeed, as Robert Haddick, who edits the <a href="http://smallwarsjournal.com/" target="_blank">Small Wars Journal</a>, writes in his column at <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/10/30/this_week_at_war_you_cant_always_pick_your_afghan_friends?page=0,1" target="_blank">Foreign Policy </a>that the one defence relationship  in Asia that is progressing well for the United States is that involving India. It&#8217;s not trouble-free especially with a prickly power such as India, but it stands out compared with the troubled security relationships the United States has with Pakistan and China, the author notes.</p>
<p>U.S. military engagement with China remains a work in progress. As Admiral Timothy Keating, the former military commander for the U.S. Pacific Command told the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1a02a2c6-aeeb-11de-96d7-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1" target="_blank">Financial Times </a>in an interview last month he didn&#8217;t have direct phone contacts for his counterparts in the People&#8217;s Liberation Army, increasing the potential for misunderstanding.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/a1.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4156   aligncenter" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/a1.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="268" align="none" /></a></p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t have their [senior Chinese military officials'] phone number. I can&#8217;t pick up the phone and wish them happy birthday. I don&#8217;t mean to be glib about it . . . [But] we don&#8217;t enjoy the sort of communication that I have with almost every other military leader in Asia,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>And what of Pakistan ? As noted in this blog, before only 16 percent of Pakistanis surveyed have a favorable view of the United States and 13 percent have confidence in President Barack Obama, according to the <a href="http://pewglobal.org/reports/display.php?ReportID=265" target="_blank">Pew Research Center</a>.<span id="more-4152"></span></p>
<p>Such a deep distrust and rage  severely complicates the relationship,  and often blinds Pakistan at its own loss, a Toronto-based analyst Sadiq Saleem <a href="http://www.new-pakistan.com/2009/11/7/the-world-s-reality-and-ours" target="_blank">writes.</a> He says the visceral opposition to the U.S. aid bill was a case in point.</p>
<p>&#8220;Pakistanis as a nation are riled up en masse over the supposed ‘loss of sovereignty’ over the fact that our ally of 55 years decided to give us unconditional economic aid – in addition to conditional military aid.  At $1.5 billion per year the Enhanced Partnership for Pakistan Act 2009 would make Pakistan the single largest recipient of US government development aid in the world – greater than the Israel economic aid package.&#8221;</p>
<p>But a combination of politicians and journalists have called the aid as anti-Pakistan because of the conditions attached to it. The big worry, according to Saleem, is that at some point Washington may get tired of dealing with a difficult partner.</p>
<p>&#8220;If our anti-Americanism continues the day might come when the Americans do not see the value of their Pakistani relationship. I, and anyone else who points this out, is not an American agent but a voice of sanity in an environment of anger and hate,&#8221; he says.</p>
<p>Will America turn to India, where it still enjoys support and admiration among ordinary people even more than government leaders ? </p>
<p>[Reuters picture of the exercise, and below a U.S. military release of the exercise]</p>
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		<title>Pakistan&#8217;s South Waziristan operation: defeat or dispersal?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/07/pakistans-south-waziristan-operation-defeat-or-dispersal/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/07/pakistans-south-waziristan-operation-defeat-or-dispersal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Nov 2009 17:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[baluchistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan army]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[South Waziristan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pakistan's offensive is progressing well in South Waziristan, according to the army. But with politicians once again fighting with each other, can the government deliver the economic and political reforms to keep the Taliban at bay?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dust-storm-one.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4146 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dust-storm-one.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="218" align="left" /></a><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Afghanistan-Pakistan/idUSTRE5A50QZ20091106?sp=true" target="_blank">Pakistan&#8217;s military offensive in South Waziristan</a> appears to be showing considerably more success than earlier attempts to take control of the tribal region on the Afghan border, at least according to army accounts which are the only real source of information. </p>
<p>But will it turn the tide in Pakistan&#8217;s battle against Islamist militants? A few articles which have appeared over the last few days give pause for thought.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/provinces/14-the-task-ahead-zj-03" target="_blank">Dawn newspaper says in an editorial</a> the Taliban have &#8220;been subdued, not vanquished&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;Before operation Rah-i-Najat was launched, the army put the Taliban strength at about 10,000. Since the maximum number of Taliban fatalities has been put at about 500, those not taken prisoner may have slipped into North Waziristan or the adjoining settled districts. They must be pursued relentlessly without being given a chance to reorganise, and the nation ought to be told what strategy the authorities have up their sleeve to finish the job.&#8221;</p>
<p>And to achieve lasting success, the civilian administration is going to have to provide the kind of basic development - schools, roads, healthcare, electricity - that the refugees <a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-waziristan-refugees7-2009nov07,0,4341643.story" target="_blank">quoted in this Los Angeles Times</a> article say they are hoping for. </p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dust-storm-two.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4147 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dust-storm-two.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="187" align="right" /></a>But that might prove difficult at a time when the country&#8217;s political parties &#8211; rather than focusing on development and political reforms to convince people to back the government rather than the Taliban &#8212; are once again <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Afghanistan-Pakistan/idUSTRE5A12R620091103" target="_blank">embroiled in the kind of in-fighting</a> that has destroyed civilian democracy in the past.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20091105/REVIEW/711059990/1008" target="_blank">Writing in Gulf newspaper The National</a>, historian Manan Ahmed worries about the Pakistani Taliban spilling into Baluchistan and finding fertile ground for growth among a people unhappy with the government in Islamabad.  The province is already home to a separatist Baluch insurgency. &#8220;The true crisis facing Pakistan is not the Taliban,&#8221; he writes. It is instead the state&#8217;s failure to provide political and economic rights to the many different people and ethnic groups who make up the country.</p>
<p>The Pakistan Army this year has driven the Taliban out of the Swat valley and is on the way to pushing them out of their South Waziristan stronghold.  But can the civilian government provide the administrative backbone needed to ensure the military operations eventually defeat rather than merely displace the Taliban? <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/columnists/cyril-almeida-can-they-ever-make-it-work-619" target="_blank">The signs are not looking promising</a>.</p>
<p>(A word on comments: my last post elicited some very interesting and insightful comments for which many thanks.  But I&#8217;d like to ask everyone again to avoid polemics and focus on making points which take the discussion forward.)</p>
<p>(File photos of refugees from Swat during a dust-storm)</p>
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		<title>Pakistan, India and 1971</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/04/pakistan-india-and-1971/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/04/pakistan-india-and-1971/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 23:06:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[1971]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Bangladesh]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4131</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The 1971 war between India and Pakistan which led to the creation of Bangladesh is seen very differently in both countries and stirs deep passions even today. A Pakistani writer tries to describe why.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dhaka.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4133 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/dhaka.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="196" align="left" /></a>The 1971 war between Pakistan and India crops up so often in comments on this blog that I&#8217;d been thinking of creating a South Asian equivalent of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godwin's_law" target="_blank">Godwin&#8217;s law</a> - that any discussion that goes on for long enough will eventually get back to what happened then. At the very least, it seemed like a good idea to set up a post into which all comments about 1971 could be channelled.</p>
<p>Khurram Hussain, a Pakistani writing in India&#8217;s Outlook magazine, has started the discussion by arguing that the way to understand Pakistan is not through the lens of partition in 1947, but through the war in 1971 which led to the division of the country and the creation of Bangladesh, then East Pakistan. Here are some excerpts, but do please <a href="http://outlookindia.com/article.aspx?262535" target="_blank">read the full article</a>:</p>
<p>&#8220;The Partition has a mesmerising quality that blinds the mind, a kind of notional heft that far outweighs its real significance to modern South Asian politics. The concerns of the state of Pakistan, the anxieties of its society, and the analytic frames of its intellectual and media elites have as their primary reference not 1947 but the traumatic vivisection of the country in 1971. Indians have naturally focused on their own vivisection, their own dismemberment; but for Pakistan, they have focused on the wrong date. This mix-up has important consequences,&#8221; he writes.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/kargil.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4134 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/kargil.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="205" align="right" /></a>&#8220;First, Indians tend not to remember 1971 as a Pakistani civil war, but rather as India’s &#8216;good&#8217; war. It is remembered as an intervention by India to prevent the genocide of Bengalis by Pakistanis. The fact that the Bengalis themselves were also Pakistanis has been effaced from the collective memory of Indian elites. This makes 1971 merely another Kargil, or Kashmir, Afghanistan or Mumbai—an instance of Pakistan meddling in other people’s affairs, and of the Pakistani military’s adventurism in the region.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Pakistani intellectual elites share with their Indian counterparts the normative horror of what the West Pakistani military did in the East. How can anyone in their right mind not deem such behaviour beyond the pale? But horror does not preclude abiding distaste for the Indian state’s wilful opportunism in breaking Pakistan apart. It is for this reason that while the intellectual classes in Pakistan, especially the English language press and prominent university scholars, have almost always condemned their state’s involvement in terrorist activity inside India proper, they have remained largely quiet concerning Kashmir. What’s good for the goose is good for the gander. Kashmir does not seem so different to them than East Pakistan.&#8221;</p>
<p>Whether you agree or not with his analysis, what he has done is try to explain why the historical narrative about the last four decades is very different in both countries.  As is evident from the many comments on earlier posts, there is a huge gap in perceptions about 1971 and its very different impact on India and Pakistan. So how do you narrow that gap?</p>
<p>(Photos: General Jagjit Singh Aurora looks at a photo of the signing of the surrender in a museum in Dhaka; war memorial in Drass to Indian soldiers who died in the Kargil war)</p>
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		<title>Pakistan poll shows support for offensive, but U.S. blamed</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/04/pakistan-poll-shows-support-for-offensive-but-us-blamed/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/04/pakistan-poll-shows-support-for-offensive-but-us-blamed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 10:41:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[opinion poll]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Taliban]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A narrow majority of Pakistanis support the military operation in South Waziristan, according to an opinion poll, but ambivalence remains about what many still see as "America's war".]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/lahoresoldiers.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4125 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/lahoresoldiers.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="195" align="left" /></a>A narrow majority of Pakistanis support the army&#8217;s offensive in South Waziristan, but many still believe Pakistan is fighting &#8220;America&#8217;s war&#8221;, <a href="http://www.gallup.com.pk/pollsshow.php?id=2009-11-03" target="_blank">according to a Gilani Research Foundation poll conducted by Gallup Pakistan</a>.</p>
<p>In the poll, conducted in the last week of October, 51 percent supported the offensive, 13 percent opposed it and 36 percent were unsure. A majority held the United States and Pakistan&#8217;s own government &#8211;rather than the Taliban &#8211; responsible for the situation which required the offensive in the first place.</p>
<p>And in a country where many believe the government and army are being pushed to follow America&#8217;s bidding, in part to bolster the U.S. position in Afghanistan, 39 percent of respondents said the military was fighting &#8221;America&#8217;s war&#8221;, while 37 percent said it was fighting Pakistan&#8217;s own war.</p>
<p>The researchers said 36 percent of respondents were hopeful the operation would bring peace, 37 percent believed it would worsen the situation and 27 percent were unsure.</p>
<p>Pakistani ambivalence about tackling Islamist militants has <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/10/25/pakistans-war-within/" target="_blank">undermined efforts to rally the country against them</a>, despite a spate of gun and bomb attacks in the country&#8217;s cities, though <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/featuredCrisis/idUSSP163669" target="_blank">political analysts say the urban violence has now convinced many that action is necessary</a>.</p>
<p>Many blame that ambivalence on what they see as a Pakistani military strategy of attacking only those militants who threaten Pakistan itself, while leaving alone other groups like the Afghan Taliban and Kashmir-oriented groups which can be used as &#8220;strategic assets&#8221; against Indian influence in the region.</p>
<p>But even in terms of Pakistan&#8217;s approach to the Pakistani Taliban, or Tehrik-e-Taliban (TTP) - a major target of the South Waziristan operation - some question whether the army is doing the right thing in launching military offensives in the tribal areas bordering Afghanistan.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/refugees-two.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4127 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/refugees-two.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="208" align="right" /></a>For an alternative view to the prevailing support for the South Waziristan offensive, <a href="http://mondediplo.com/2009/11/02pakistan" target="_blank">Muhammad Idrees Ahmad argues in Le Monde diplomatique</a> that Pakistan is creating its own enemy through ill-considered operations that alienate local people and drive more into the arms of the Taliban. </p>
<p>In a country where conspiracy theories abound, many are also quick to blame India or the United States for the violence rather than the Taliban.</p>
<p>Do read this exchange recounted by <a href="http://www.cnas.org/blogs/abumuqawama/2009/11/pakistan-dispatch-state-nation.html" target="_blank">Londonstani, a blogger at Abu Muqawama</a>, about last week&#8217;s attack on a market in Peshawar which killed more than 100 people, <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/10/31/attacking-women-in-pakistan/" target="_blank">many of them women and children</a>.</p>
<p>  &#8220;Person 1: &#8216;The Taliban couldn&#8217;t have blown up the market in Peshawar because a Muslim wouldn&#8217;t do that.&#8217;<br />
  &#8220;Person 2: &#8216;No, the Americans did it. But you know, the market that got blown up catered for women. And you know it&#8217;s haram for women to go out of  the house.&#8217;<br />
  &#8221;Person 1: &#8216;Oh&#8230;..yeah&#8217;&#8221;.</p>
<p>And if the bomb and gun attacks are turning people against the Pakistani Taliban, that does not mean they are likely to rally behind their government. <a href="http://www.gallup.com.pk/pollsshow.php?id=2009-11-04" target="_blank">According to this poll</a>, 73 percent of respondents believe that the terrorism has worsened dramatically in Pakistan. But commenting on the government’s response, 44 percent said they believe they had completely failed while 44 percent said they had been successful to some extent.</p>
<p>(Photos: soldiers in Lahore; refugees from earlier Swat offensive)</p>
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		<title>Targeted killings in Pakistan and elsewhere : official U.S. policy now ?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/02/targeted-killings-in-pakistan-and-elsewhere-official-us-policy-now/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/11/02/targeted-killings-in-pakistan-and-elsewhere-official-us-policy-now/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 16:29:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sanjeev Miglani</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[al Qaeda]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Baitullah Mesud]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[CIA]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Talban]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Waziristan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4104</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[America's use of Predator drone aircraft to carry out killings of terrorism suspects is again in focus with critics saying this amounts to executions without trial.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">One of the things U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton ran into last week during her trip to Pakistan was <a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-clinton-pakistan1-2009nov01,0,1313175.story?track=rss" target="_blank">anger </a>over attacks by unmanned &#8220;drone&#8221; aircraft inside Pakistan and along the border with Afghanistan.</p>
<p> One questioner during an interaction with members of the public said the missile strikes by Predator aircraft amounted to &#8220;executions without trial&#8221; for those killed.  Another asked Clinton to define terrorism and whether she considered the drone attacks to be an act of terrorim like the car bomb that ripped through <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/metropolitan/04-peshawar-blast-death-toll-rises-to-111-qs-09" target="_blank">Peshawar</a> that same week killing more than 100 people.</p>
<p>The people of Pakistan aren&#8217;t the only ones asking that question.  A top <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/28/world/28nations.html" target="_blank">UN rights expert</a> has swung the attention back on the drone programme, saying that the United States may be violating international law with the missile strikes.</p>
<p>Philip Aston, the Special Rapporteur on extradjudicial, summary or arbitary executions, said there could be circumstances under which the use of such techniques could be justified in international law, but Washington would have to show it followed appropriate precautions and accountability mechanisms.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/c1.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4111  aligncenter" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/11/c1.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="252" align="none" /></a></p>
<p>The United States will have to be more upfront about its Predator war. &#8220;Otherwise you have the really problematic bottom line, which is that the Central Intelligence Agency is running a programme that is killing a significant number of people, and there is absolutely no accountability in terms of the relevant international law.&#8221;</p>
<p>There is little doubt now that targeted killing is official U.S. policy,  Jane Meyer argues in a detailed piece for the <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/10/26/091026fa_fact_mayer" target="_blank">New Yorker</a>.  What is worrying is that the embrace of the Predator programme has occurred with remarkably little public discussion, given that it represents a radically new and geographically unbounded use of state-sanctioned lethal force. &#8220;And because of the CIA program&#8217;s secrecy, there is no visible system of accountability in place, despite the fact that the agency has killed many civilians inside a politically fragile nuclear-armed country with which the U.S. is not at war,&#8221; Meyer writes.<span id="more-4104"></span>The drone programme, for all its successes, has stirred deep ethical concerns. Meyers quotes Michael Walzer, a political philosopher and author of the book &#8220;Just and Unjust Wars&#8221; that he is unsettled by the notion of an intelligence agency wielding such lethal power in secret. &#8220;Under what code does the CIA operate ?&#8221; he asks. &#8220;I don&#8217;t know. The military operates under a legal code, and it has judicial mechanisms. &#8221;</p>
<p>He said of the CIA&#8217;s drone programe, &#8220;there should be a limited, finite group of people who are targets , and that list should be publicly defensible and available. Instead, it&#8217;s not being publicy defended. People are being killed, and we generally require some public justification when we go about killing people.&#8221;</p>
<p>The article is worth reading in full, but here some other parts that I found interesting :</p>
<p>- It took the CIA 16 missile strikes and 14 months before it killed Baitullah Mehsud, the leader of the Pakistan Taliban. During this hunt, between 207 and 321 additional people were killed, depending on which news accounts you rely upon.</p>
<p>-  During his first nine and half months in office, President Barack Obama has authorised as many CIA aerial attacks in Pakistan as George W. Bush did in his final three years, according to a study done by the New America Foundation. So far this year, the administration has sanctioned at least 41 CIA missile strikes inside Pakistan - a rate of approximately one bombing a week.</p>
<p>- At any given moment, the CIA has multiple drones flying over Pakistan, scounting for targets, according to a White House counter-terrorism official. There are actually so many drones in the area that sometimes arguments have broken out over which remote operators can claim which targets, provoking &#8220;command and control issues.&#8221;</p>
<p>- Only six of the 41 CIA drone strikes conducted by the Obama administration in Pakistan have targeted al Qaeda members. Eighteen were directed at Taliban targets in Pakistan and 15 were aimed specifically at Mehsud.  The tactical shift in the U.S. strikes has quieted some of the Pakistani criticism of the air strikes, although the bombings are still seen as undermining the country&#8217;s sovereignty.</p>
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		<title>Attacking women in Pakistan</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/10/31/attacking-women-in-pakistan/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/2009/10/31/attacking-women-in-pakistan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2009 22:54:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Myra MacDonald</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan: Now or Never]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Islambad University]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Peshawar]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[women]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/?p=4090</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Women have clearly become a target in the latest spate of violence in Pakistan. So how should we respond?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/10/islamabad-giirls.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4095 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/10/islamabad-giirls.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="200" align="left" /></a>Back in the spring, when the Pakistani Taliban still controlled the Swat valley, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/asiaCrisis/idUSISL389419" target="_blank">video footage of a girl being flogged</a> became one of the most powerful images of their rule. The footage, shot on a mobile phone and circulated on YouTube, turned public opinion against the Taliban and helped lay the groundwork for a military offensive there.</p>
<p>In the latest spate of bombings sweeping Pakistan, women have again become targets.  First came <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/21/world/asia/21pstan.html?_r=1" target="_blank">the twin suicide bombing on the International Islamic University in Islamabad</a> which included an attack on the women&#8217;s canteen.  Then last week, more than 100 people were killed in the car bombing of a bazaar in Peshawar which was frequented largely by women.</p>
<p>&#8220;It was the deadliest bombing in Pakistan in two years and its target was clear: not the police, not the security forces, not political leaders, but Peshawar’s women,&#8221; <a href="http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2009%5C10%5C31%5Cstory_31-10-2009_pg3_3" target="_blank">wrote Rafia Zakaria in the Daily Times</a>. &#8221;The site of the blast, Peshawar’s Meena Bazar, as is well known in the area, is an exclusively women’s shopping area where women and children shop for clothing, household wares and similar goods. Unsurprisingly, the vast majority of those killed were women and children.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/10/peshawar1.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-4097 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/files/2009/10/peshawar1.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="212" align="right" /></a>&#8220;While the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan have denied involvement in the bombing, investigations, the modus operandi of the attack and most importantly the target of the bombing all point to their culpability. Most significant of these factors is that the attack targeted women. It is after all females who have borne the brunt of the TTP’s onslaught since they began their reign of terror in the northwest of Pakistan. As the Taliban’s war against the Pakistani state has ensued, the marginalisation of women, the destruction of schools constructed for their education and their banishment from public spaces like the Meena Bazar have been a central facet of the Taliban’s campaign of terror and hatred. This latest attack thus fits perfectly into this grimly familiar design. The massive and indiscriminate killing of scores of innocent women and children who had dared to leave the walls of their home inculcates the very fear that the Taliban seek to instil among Pakistani women across the country.&#8221;</p>
<p>There are many overlapping reasons for women being killed, of which forcing them to stay at home is only one.  Misogyny, in any culture, has always been the preserve of the weak who cannot show their power in any other way. So what seems to be happening here is actually about power. By attacking women and children, along with the teenage girls in Islamabad University, the militants can prove they will stop at nothing <a href="http://blog.dawn.com/2009/10/28/attacking-our-way-of-life/" target="_blank">in order to drive fear into the civilian population</a>.</p>
<p>My question is how this should be addressed.</p>
<p>In Afghanistan, the west has begun to &#8220;load-shed&#8221; <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20091109/jones" target="_blank">the rights of women</a> on the grounds that the environment is already complicated enough.</p>
<p>But what if we turn this around and say that the only way to respond to the current wave of violence sweeping Afghanistan and Pakistan is by looking at the 50 percent of the population who are women?</p>
<p> Please post whatever links you can, and I&#8217;ll collect and make sense of them.</p>
<p>(Photos: funeral of a girl killed in Islamabad; after the bombing in Peshawar)</p>
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