Chief Correspondent, UK Company News, London
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May 11, 2010

Europe shows Britain coalitions can work

LONDON (Reuters) – Recent European history teems with examples of durable coalition governments that tackled crises head on, giving Britain’s new Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron reason to hope he can prove skeptics wrong.

Italy, with a track record for short-lived administrations, is often held up as an example of the instability that can accompany coalitions bridging political divides but Finland, Germany, Ireland and the Netherlands all show it can be done.

Gordon Brown resigned as prime minister on Tuesday, leaving Cameron, who won most seats in a parliamentary election last week but fell short of a majority, to cement a coalition with the third-placed Liberal Democrats.

The prospect of a coalition has unsettled markets in a country accustomed to one-party rule and emerging from its worst recession since World War Two, but analysts say such governments have successfully tackled economic crises elsewhere in Europe.

“Italy’s a special case,” said Eoin O’Malley, politics lecturer at Dublin City University (DCU). “Italy is very much a southern European country and I think Britain is more likely to behave like a northern European country and make it work.”

The current Irish government — unpopular at home but often cited abroad as an example of how governments can act decisively to tackle debt problems — was formed as a coalition between Prime Minister Brian Cowen’s centrist Fianna Fail, Greens, the now defunct pro-business Progressive Democrats and Independents.

O’Malley also pointed to the Irish government formed in 1994 by John Bruton as an example of a functional coalition that was more complicated than anything proposed in Britain, including as it did politicians from three parties that spanned both the left and the right of the political spectrum.

May 10, 2010
via UK News

Irish lesson for Clegg: get coalition right or face oblivion

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If the Irish experience of coalition politics is anything to go by, Nick Clegg risks a lot more than unpopularity if he strikes a half-baked coalition deal with the Conservative Party. He also faces electoral oblivion should he fail to win enough concessions and power to carry his grassroots supporters with him.

Ireland’s pro-business Progressive Democrats (PDs) — relatively loyal junior coalition partners in successive administrations led by former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern — imploded at the last Irish general election, winning just two seats in parliament. They subsequently disbanded altogether.

The losses suffered by the PDs mean Ahern’s successor Brian Cowen now relies on a handful of Greens to make up the numbers but voters have also punished them for supporting an establishment party that has dominated Irish politics for decades, inflicting heavy losses on the Green Party in local elections last June.

Ireland’s Greens have subsequently enjoyed something of a recovery in opinion polls but only after standing up to Cowen, threatening to pull out of the government, issuing ultimatums and wringing concessions out of him, none of which augurs well for Britain’s oft-stated need for a strong and stable government.

Clegg can take some consolation from the fact that one junior coalition partner to strengthen its electoral position after entering into government was Germany’s Green Party. Despite winning less than 7 percent of the vote in 1998, it secured key concessions such as a policy to phase out nuclear power and three ministerial portfolios, including the high profile post of Foreign Minister for its party leader. The Greens — currently in opposition — were the big winners in regional elections at the weekend in which Germans punished Chancellor Angela Merkel’s centre-right coalition.

If Clegg is to enter into government with a party that many of his supporters will feel they have expressly voted against, he will need a strong deal that he can sell to them and to secure a position in government from which he can wield real influence and demonstrate leadership.

If he wants to make a go of it, Clegg is hopefully seeking counsel from Germany’s former Green foreign minister Joschka Fischer  – who, incidentally, made his political bed and his mark in a left- rather than right-of-centre administration — and learning salutary lessons from the ruins of other less fortunate coalition partners.

Apr 27, 2010
via UK News

The Osborne factor: Conservative victory no guarantee of market stability

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A new Reuters poll of business leaders reveals just how nervous they are of political uncertainty at a time when the economy is looking so fragile. Some 90 percent of them believe a hung parliament will stall Britain’s tentative emergence from recession.

Another striking element for those of us pulling together the latest survey was how many chief executives and finance directors want Ken Clarke to be the next chancellor, making it the second Reuters poll in the space of a month to reveal an influential group with serious doubts over whether Shadow Chancellor George Osborne is fit to hold the country’s tattered public purse.

All of which means that even if markets and business get what they want on May 6 – a Conservative victory – there is no guarantee of an end to the political uncertainty that has set sterling and gilts off on something of a roller-coaster ride. We’ll get a further update on what economists think with the latest Reuters poll on Wednesday.

In the meantime, is there anything Osborne can do to convince voters and business that he has what it takes to hold the keys to Number 11? If not is there any conceivable way David Cameron can do what executives and City economists clearly want and ditch Osborne in favour of Clarke?

Or perhaps a happy compromise would be to settle market nerves by giving Clarke a more high profile, supervisory role in any new government than he is currently destined for. After all, the chief executive of the biggest firm – and one of the country’s biggest employers — in our survey of company bosses said he felt Clarke was not only the best potential chancellor but also his pick for prime minister.

Mar 18, 2010

Greek PM fears debt cost spiral

BRUSSELS/ATHENS (Reuters) – Greece raised the stakes on Thursday in its quest for EU help to tackle its debt crisis, warning it cannot achieve promised deficit cuts if its borrowing costs remain high and might have to call in the IMF.

Market concerns it may prove impossible to construct a euro zone financial safety net for the currency area’s most heavily indebted member due to German reluctance sent the euro lower, hit Greek bank shares and raised the risk premium on Greek bonds.

Prime Minister George Papandreou told the European Parliament that draconian austerity measures announced by his socialist government showed it was committed to the stability of the euro and would carry out necessary structural reforms.

“But if we keep borrowing at very high rates, and this is the challenge we have, we cannot sustain the deficit reduction that these hard measures aim to achieve,” he told a committee of the EU legislature.

“We should be able to borrow at rates that are normal.”

The premium investors charge for holding Greek debt rather than benchmark German bonds rose to about 310 basis points, meaning Athens would have to pay well over 6 percent to borrow on capital markets, by far the highest yield in the euro zone.

Economists say such rates are unsustainable in a ye ar when Greece needs to borrow some 53 billion euros ($72.4 billion), 20 billion of it in refinancing between April 20 and end May.

Feb 18, 2010

VT sets its sights on 800p/share bid from Babcock

LONDON, Feb 18 (Reuters) – VT Group <VTG.L> snubbed suitor Babcock International <BAB.L> for the second time in a week on Thursday, setting its sights on a 800 pence a share offer valuing the defence support firm at 1.44 billion pounds ($2.25 billion).

Shareholders and analysts said a 750 pence a share approach would probably be enough to at least get the two companies talking and rejected VT’s argument that the proposed tie-up would not make strategic sense.

“There’s certainly a consensus that says Babcock can go up to 750 pence without diluting their own earnings so that would seem to be the absolute bottom of an acceptable price,” said Angela Lascelles, joint managing director at OLIM Ltd, citing broker figures. OLIM holds 1.49 percent of VT shares.

Babcock on Thursday increased its proposed bid to as much as 715 pence per VT share, paying with 0.701 new Babcock shares plus cash in an offer valuing VT at up to 1.29 billion pounds.

VT responded by saying Babcock continued to significantly undervalue its business.

“Shareholders will take around 800 pence a share before they tell VT to talk,” a source familiar with VT’s thinking told Reuters.

Shares in VT Group, once a naval shipbuilder but now a support services company which provides flight training for Britain’s Royal Air Force and supplies cranes and bulldozers to the army’s Royal Engineers, closed up 6.2 percent at 660 pence, having earlier hit a new 20-month high of 665 pence. Shares in Babcock ended 2.3 percent down at 553 pence.

Feb 18, 2010

VT sets its sights on 800 pence a share from Babcock

LONDON (Reuters) – VT Group has set its sights on an offer of 800 pence a share from suitor Babcock International but analysts believe the group’s improved offer, which is worth up to 715 pence, could be sufficient to tempt VT shareholders into push for talks.

“Shareholders will take around 800 pence a share before they tell VT to talk,” a source familiar with VT’s thinking told Reuters Thursday.

Babcock Thursday increased its proposed offer to buy the defense and public services firm to as much as 1.29 billion pounds ($2 billion) with a proposal to pay 0.701 new Babcock shares plus an unspecified sum of cash.

Shares in VT Group were up 4.2 percent at 647.5 pence by 5:47 a.m. ET, having earlier hit a new 20-month high of 665 pence and extended their gains so far this week to 30 percent.

Shares in Babcock were 2.7 percent down at 551 pence.

VT said in a statement in response that the latest cash and shares proposal, worth between 680 and 715 pence a share, was only a “small improvement” on the 633.9 pence previously offered and “continued to significantly undervalue VT and its prospects.”

The new offer values VT at between 1.22 billion and 1.29 billion pounds ($1.9 billion to $2 billion) and represents an increase of between 7.3 and 12.8 percent.

Feb 15, 2010

Babcock in $1.8 billion VT bid, eclipses Mouchel move

LONDON (Reuters) – Babcock International <BAB.L> has made a 1.14 billion pound ($1.79 billion) approach to buy defense services firm VT Group <VTG.L>, potentially scuppering VT’s own bid for infrastructure services firm Mouchel <MCHL.L>.

Babcock, which operates ship-building and nuclear power programs, said on Monday that VT had rejected an initial cash and share approach worth 633.9 pence per VT share, representing a premium of 24.8 percent to its current share price.

“There seems to be a more compelling logic to a combination of Babcock and VT than for VT and Mouchel,” said Arbuthnot analyst David Brockton.

“Babcock’s approach could seriously hinder VT’s move for Mouchel. It will have to defend the Babcock bid and may well have to walk away from Mouchel now.”

The offer from Babcock, which wants to combine with VT to create a defense-focused support services company, was comprised of 245.5 pence in cash and 0.701 Babcock shares, although part of the cash element comes from VT’s own resources.

Earlier on Monday VT raised its own bid for Mouchel, boosting hopes it would clinch a 330 million pound deal for the infrastructure support services group as part of moves to diversify beyond the defense industry.

Shares in Mouchel, which had risen as much as 14 percent following VT’s improved offer, quickly shed those gains to close down 12 percent at 221 pence.

Dec 7, 2009

Shanks seeks $1 billion after Carlyle approach

LONDON (Reuters) – British waste management firm Shanks Group Plc revealed a 536 million pound ($889 million) buyout approach, sending its shares soaring, but said its board and key shareholders were looking for at least 10 percent more.

Shanks <SKS.L did not name the company behind the approach but a person familiar with the matter said it was the Carlyle Group, the well-connected U.S. investor that is one of the world’s biggest private equity firms.

Nick Spoliar, an analyst at Altium Securities, said the approach could prompt counter-bids from other waste companies and private equity firms, attracted by the steady returns from a business that often works with 25-year contracts.

“Businesses such as this … have long-term characteristics which are very attractive in terms of generating predictable returns over decades,” he told Reuters.

Sector rivals include France’s Suez Environnement, while big-name private equity players such as Guy Hands of Terra Firma

have bought waste and water companies.

Shanks said the “highly preliminary and unsolicited” approach valued it at 135 pence per share.

Dec 3, 2009

UK moves to calm fears of RBS walkout over bonuses

LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Gordon Brown moved to allay fears of a mass walk out by the board of Royal Bank of Scotland <RBS.L>, saying it would not be singled out for unduly harsh treatment over bonuses.

In a rare move by politicians to calm the global backlash against big payouts to bankers, Brown said nobody was being “discriminated against” while his business secretary Peter Mandelson said he understood the concerns of RBS directors. Their comments followed a Wall Street Journal report that Goldman Sachs <GS.N> is meeting investors in an effort to head off anger over planned bonuses that will put employees on track to earn an average of $700,000 each this year. [ID:nN0258740]

UK rival Barclays <BARC.L>, meanwhile, is to bump up the fixed salaries of staff in its Barclays Capital investment bank, an industry source said. The bank will also backdate some of the pay rise.

Other banks have increased basic salaries as pressure builds on them to limit their annual bonus awards — an unintended consequence of guilelines set by G20 countries, and likely to add to the debate about fat payouts to bankers after the crisis.

RBS, set to become 84 percent state-owned after its latest government bailout, warned on Wednesday it could struggle to hire or retain key staff after the government took control of bonuses in return for insuring its bad debts. [ID:nGEE5B114J]

Industry sources, who say the bank’s board could resign en masse were the government to veto bonuses, point out directors have a fiduciary duty to act in the best interests of the whole company and therefore all its shareholders, big or small.

“People like Standard Life and the Prudential and Fidelity, I think now need to stand up and speak publicly about their position on large bonuses and large payments,” British Treasury Minister Paul Myners told Sky television.

Nov 18, 2009

Turnaround specialist Archie Norman to chair ITV

LONDON, Nov 18 (Reuters) – ITV Plc <ITV.L>, Britain’s biggest free-to-air commercial broadcaster, has turned to Archie Norman, a turnaround specialist and former Conservative politician, to end its error-strewn seven-month hunt for leadership.

Norman, known for turning around supermarket chain Asda and telecoms business Energis before selling both, but who has little or no direct experience of the TV industry, will take up the position of non-executive chairman in January. [ID:nLI97485]

His early tasks will include the selection of a chief executive, after a protracted saga which culminated earlier this year in the failure to secure the services of favoured candidates Tony Ball, ex head of BSkyB <BSY.L>, and Simon Fox, CEO of music retailer HMV <HMV.L>. [ID:nLP493693]

Shares in ITV, home to talent show X-Factor and soap opera Coronation Street, were up 5.9 percent at 55 pence by 1450 GMT, outperforming the flat DJ Stoxx European Media Index. The stock has bounced from a multi-year low of 16-1/2p set in March.

Norman, who replaces industry veteran Michael Grade, will also be responsible for lobbying politicians and regulators at a time when the Conservative party is well ahead in the opinion polls as a general election approaches. Norman is a former chief executive of the party.

“We see the appointment of a heavyweight chairman with an established track record as a positive move,” UBS analysts said. “Amid a backdrop of improving ad momentum and a strong viewing share performance, there may be a possibility that Norman may make limited changes to the current executive line-up rather than look externally.”

However interim CEO John Cresswell repeated his stance that he will leave once a replacement has been found, rejecting speculation he could be persuaded to stay. “I stand by the statement I made,” Cresswell said at an investor conference in Barcelona.

    • About Paul

      "I took over the team covering British business news in September 2008, just as Lehman Brothers collapsed and banks plunged into crisis. Prior to that, I ran Reuters operations in Ireland, covering the Celtic Tiger boom and IRA disarmament. From 2000 to 2004, I worked in Frankfurt reporting on the European Central Bank and making daily TV appearances on the BBC World Business Report. I have also reported from Athens and Dublin during the euro zone crisis. Follow me on twitter at www.twitter.com/pchoskins"
      Joined Reuters:
      1998
      Languages:
      English, French, German
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