Editor in Charge, Polling, Bangalore
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Mar 4, 2015

Euro to ease only slightly in coming year despite ECB QE: Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – The euro’s slide has almost run its course and broad dollar strength will only push it down slightly in the coming year even as the European Central Bank embarks on a massive monetary stimulus program, a Reuters poll found.

The dollar has rallied in a nearly uninterrupted stretch since June, tracking a steep fall of nearly 50 percent in oil prices and on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will tighten policy around the middle of this year.

Mar 2, 2015

Global stimulus swells as China eases, ECB to start soon on QE

BENGALURU/SYDNEY, March 2 (Reuters) – Global stimulus is
swelling, with China cutting interest rates ahead of
disappointing factory data and the European Central Bank set to
start government bond purchases just as data hints the euro zone
economy may be picking up.

Central banks from Switzerland to Turkey, Canada and
Singapore have already loosened monetary policy this year and
chances are high the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut rates
for a second time in as many months on Tuesday.

Feb 26, 2015

Just over half of analysts see ECB’s QE plan pushing inflation to target: Reuters poll

By Kailash Bathija and Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – The European Central Bank has convinced slightly more than half of 83 economists polled by Reuters that its money printing program, which starts in March, will be successful in bringing euro zone inflation back up to target.

After exhausting almost every other policy tool, the ECB announced at its January meeting that it would start buying 60 billion euros worth of mostly government bonds each month to prevent deflation from taking hold.

Feb 24, 2015

British house price rises to slow even as BoE delays rate hike: Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – British property price rises will slow this year as tighter lending standards limit access to credit and big deposit requirements keep newcomers out of the market, especially in cities like London, a Reuters poll showed.

The results, from a poll of analysts taken over the last few days, come even as expectations rise that the Bank of England will delay raising rates from a record low of 0.5 percent until later in the year or even until 2016.

Feb 24, 2015

British house price rises to slow even as BoE delays rate hike

Feb 24 (Reuters) – British property price rises will slow
this year as tighter lending standards limit access to credit
and big deposit requirements keep newcomers out of the market,
especially in cities like London, a Reuters poll showed.

The results, from a poll of analysts taken over the last few
days, come even as expectations rise that the Bank of England
will delay raising rates from a record low of 0.5 percent until
later in the year or even until 2016.

Jan 15, 2015

Disinflation, euro zone and China pose threat to global growth

BENGALURU (Reuters) – Global economic growth will be modest at best in the coming year as weak inflation persists, Reuters polls showed on Thursday, while a faltering euro zone and China could restrain it further.

The last few months have been marked by rapidly-cooling inflation — driven by a spectacular 60 percent fall in oil prices since June — with consumer price rises in many cases far below stability targets set by central banks.

Dec 17, 2014

Global stock markets expected to rally in 2015 on more cheap cash: Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar and Jonathan Cable

(Reuters) – Global stock markets are expected to rally next year as central banks in Asia and Europe flood markets with fresh liquidity just as others begin tightening, Reuters polls showed on Wednesday.

Accommodative monetary policy drove a bull market in stocks in recent years, and as China, Japan and the euro zone struggle with disinflation and weak growth more cash is expected to flow into investors’ pockets.

Dec 17, 2014

Global stock markets expected to rally in 2015 on more cheap cash

By Rahul Karunakar and Jonathan Cable

(Reuters) – Global stock markets are expected to rally next year as central banks in Asia and Europe flood markets with fresh liquidity just as others begin tightening, Reuters polls showed on Wednesday.

Accommodative monetary policy drove a bull market in stocks in recent years, and as China, Japan and the euro zone struggle with disinflation and weak growth more cash is expected to flow into investors’ pockets.

Nov 28, 2014

U.S. funds turn against stocks but favour North American assets – Reuters Poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – U.S. fund managers cut their recommended global equity allocation in a model portfolio for a sixth consecutive month in November and increased their bond holdings for the fourth month in a row, a Reuters poll showed.

That suggests investor sentiment is shifting away from central bank cash to the real economic outlook. But fund managers were still overweight equities, and held recommended North American stock allocations at a high level.

Nov 27, 2014
via MacroScope

Euro zone bank lending: not as bad isn’t good enough

Photo

More cheap loans to banks was the European Central Bank’s answer to boost bank lending to private businesses in the euro zone. But the latest data show credit growth is still contracting and the best some economists came up with is that at least it’s not as bad as it was a year ago when it was shrinking faster.

A month after 82.6 billion euros — more than the Fed was injecting into the economy every month through its bond purchases last year — was flushed into banks in the first operation of the ECB’s new cash loans, net lending to private firms contracted at an annual rate of 1.1 percent.

    • About Rahul

      "Rahul Karunakar is editor-in-charge of Reuters polls team in Bangalore. The team of correspondents and analysts conducts polls related to Reuters news coverage on everything from economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, foreign exchange, other asset classes, as well as snap polls on mainly macroeconomic and financial stories driving the news agenda."
      Joined Reuters:
      2005
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