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Oct 16, 2014

Fed still on course for rate rise around mid-2015 say economists: Reuters poll

By Jonathan Spicer and Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – The Federal Reserve is still set to raise interest rates by mid-2015, according to a Reuters poll of economists that also found a better-than-even chance bond markets are underestimating how quickly policy will eventually tighten.

The latest poll, conducted Oct 8-15 in the midst of widespread selling on global stock markets, stands in contrast to U.S. interest rate futures markets which in recent days have pushed off the timing of the first hike to late next year.

Oct 16, 2014

Faltering euro zone pressing down on global growth, inflation: Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – Growth prospects for the still-unsteady global economy have dimmed as disinflation grips the world, making it difficult for central banks to move away from aggressive monetary stimulus, Reuters polls found.

The recent sell-off in financial markets, for years propped up by central bank liquidity and other stimulus measures, has brought into focus the risks another euro zone slowdown now poses to global growth.

Oct 16, 2014

Faltering euro zone pressing down on global growth, inflation

Oct 16 (Reuters) – Growth prospects for the still-unsteady
global economy have dimmed as disinflation grips the world,
making it difficult for central banks to move away from
aggressive monetary stimulus, Reuters polls found.

The recent sell-off in financial markets, for years propped
up by central bank liquidity and other stimulus measures, has
brought into focus the risks another euro zone slowdown now
poses to global growth.

Oct 3, 2014

Euro zone business growth in September weakest this year: PMI

Oct 3 (Reuters) – Euro zone business grew at the slowest rate this year in September, reflecting falling demand in the region where new orders were the weakest in almost a year, surveys showed on Friday.

Firms cut prices at a faster rate last month, underscoring the difficulty the European Central Bank is likely to have in bringing persistently low inflation back up, especially with weak demand for goods and services in a stagnating economy.

Oct 1, 2014

Euro zone manufacturing growth slows again in September: PMI

Oct 1 (Reuters) – Manufacturing growth in the euro zone slowed further in September as new orders contracted for the first time in over a year on dwindling demand at home and from abroad, a business survey showed on Wednesday.

Factories also cut prices last month for the first time since April, while preliminary data on Tuesday showed euro zone inflation slowed further in September to just 0.3 percent, the lowest since the height of the financial crisis.

Oct 1, 2014

Euro zone manufacturing growth slows again in September as inflation fades: PMI

Oct 1 (Reuters) – Manufacturing growth in the euro zone slowed further in September as new orders contracted for the first time in over a year on dwindling demand at home and from abroad, a business survey showed on Wednesday.

Factories also cut prices last month for the first time since April, while preliminary data on Tuesday showed euro zone inflation slowed further in September to just 0.3 percent, the lowest since the height of the financial crisis.

Sep 25, 2014

Global stock market rally set to continue into 2015: Reuters poll

By Jonathan Cable and Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – Global stock markets will keep climbing well into 2015 as they shift away from a liquidity driven rally to focus on growth expectations, although many strategists also warned in a worldwide Reuters poll that prices are already very high.

Accommodative monetary policy has driven a bull market in stocks in recent years, but the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates early next year and the U.S. Federal Reserve not long after, tempering future gains.

Sep 25, 2014

Global stock market rally set to continue into 2015

Sept 25 (Reuters) – Global stock markets will keep climbing
well into 2015 as they shift away from a liquidity driven rally
to focus on growth expectations, although many strategists also
warned in a worldwide Reuters poll that prices are already very
high.

Accommodative monetary policy has driven a bull market in
stocks in recent years, but the Bank of England is expected to
raise interest rates early next year and the U.S. Federal
Reserve not long after, tempering future gains.

Aug 6, 2014

Another selloff in emerging FX likely, but less severe: poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The risk of another selloff in emerging market currencies in the coming year is high, foreign exchange strategists polled by Reuters said, although they do not expect it be as severe as the one earlier this year.

A rout in emerging markets that began in 2013 intensified in January and February this year as investors and speculators fled on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve would gradually cut back its stimulus programme, which had made unleashed cash into higher-yielding emerging assets.

Aug 4, 2014
via MacroScope

ECB’s fingers crossed for private loans growth

Mostly bereft of policy options except for outright quantitative easing, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi hopes that hundreds of billions of euros more in cheap loans to banks will boost inflation.

The jury will be out for a long time before we get any decision on whether they have worked.

    • About Rahul

      "Rahul Karunakar is editor-in-charge of Reuters polls team in Bangalore. The team of correspondents and analysts conducts polls related to Reuters news coverage on everything from economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, foreign exchange, other asset classes, as well as snap polls on mainly macroeconomic and financial stories driving the news agenda."
      Joined Reuters:
      2005
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