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Jun 24, 2015

ECB TLTROs working but lending has a long way to go

Almost a year after the European Central Bank announced new cash loans tied to actual lending to small and medium enterprises, data on Friday is expected to show euro zone private loans are picking up pace.

To stimulate loan growth the ECB aimed to provide billions of euros in cheap cash, encouraging much of that money to be lent to businesses.
The central bank, through its Targeted Long-term Refinancing Operations (TLTROs), has doled out 384.08 billion euros to banks so far.
The ECB’s credit-easing measures could be working, according to the consensus from 11 economists in a Reuters poll last week.
Private lending, considered the euro zone’s economic backbone, is forecast to rise 0.4 percent in May on a year-on-year basis.

Apr 22, 2015

Global growth outlook steady despite oil fall, stimulus burst

LONDON/BENGALURU (Reuters) – A collapse in oil prices that gave a windfall to the world’s energy consumers and a flurry of policy easing from central banks might have been expected to brighten the outlook for global economic growth.

But Reuters polls of more than 250 economists across Europe and North America show only modest upgrades to growth forecasts and a reluctance to relinquish a depressed inflation view, despite the rush of rate cuts and central bank cash that most respondents believe is far from over.

Apr 22, 2015

Global growth outlook steady despite oil fall, stimulus burst: Reuters poll

LONDON/BENGALURU (Reuters) – A collapse in oil prices that gave a windfall to the world’s energy consumers and a flurry of policy easing from central banks might have been expected to brighten the outlook for global economic growth.

But Reuters polls of more than 250 economists across Europe and North America show only modest upgrades to growth forecasts and a reluctance to relinquish a depressed inflation view, despite the rush of rate cuts and central bank cash that most respondents believe is far from over.

Apr 9, 2015

Dollar to take a breather on delayed Fed hike expectations: poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – Any gains for the dollar will be more subdued going forward, as doubts over the timing of an eventual U.S. interest rate hike put the brakes on an historic rally over the past year, a Reuters poll found.

The greenback has had an almost uninterrupted run against a basket of major currencies, rising almost 13 percent in 2014 and a further 9 percent this year on the view the Fed could raise rates as soon as in June.

Apr 9, 2015

Dollar to take a breather on delayed Fed hike expectations-Reuters poll

April 9 (Reuters) – Any gains for the dollar will be more
subdued going forward, as doubts over the timing of an eventual
U.S. interest rate hike put the brakes on an historic rally over
the past year, a Reuters poll found.

The greenback has had an almost uninterrupted run against a
basket of major currencies, rising almost 13 percent in 2014 and
a further 9 percent this year on the view the Fed could raise
rates as soon as in June.

Mar 31, 2015

Reuters Poll: Market uncertainty tempers forecasts for equities’ gains this year

By Rahul Karunakar and Hari Kishan

(Reuters) – Uncertainty surrounding the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike has tempered analysts’ forecasts for stock market gains this year, Reuters polls showed on Tuesday.

Global stocks have largely rallied since the start of the year, with several indexes at or close to record highs as more than two dozen central banks have eased monetary policy.

Mar 31, 2015

Market uncertainty tempers forecasts for equities’ gains this year – Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar and Hari Kishan

(Reuters) – Uncertainty surrounding the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike has tempered analysts’ forecasts for stock market gains this year, Reuters polls showed on Tuesday.

Global stocks have largely rallied since the start of the year, with several indexes at or close to record highs as more than two dozen central banks have eased monetary policy.

Mar 31, 2015

Market uncertainty tempers forecasts for equities’ gains this year

March 31 (Reuters) – Uncertainty surrounding the timing of
the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike has tempered
analysts’ forecasts for stock market gains this year, Reuters
polls showed on Tuesday.

Global stocks have largely rallied since the start of the
year, with several indexes at or close to record highs as more
than two dozen central banks have eased monetary policy.

Mar 18, 2015
via MacroScope

Patient: Fed may drop the word, not the idea

Photo

Fed Chair Janet Yellen may signal later today that she is no longer patient about when to consider raising rates but any eventual hike is likely to come after June, judging by how many key economic reports so far this year have undercut expectations.

An analysis of Reuters polls shows that while employment data – which tends to lag activity – has beaten the consensus and, in some cases, even topped the highest forecast, most other economic reports have come in much weaker than expectations.

Mar 4, 2015

Euro to ease only slightly in coming year despite ECB QE: Reuters poll

By Rahul Karunakar

(Reuters) – The euro’s slide has almost run its course and broad dollar strength will only push it down slightly in the coming year even as the European Central Bank embarks on a massive monetary stimulus program, a Reuters poll found.

The dollar has rallied in a nearly uninterrupted stretch since June, tracking a steep fall of nearly 50 percent in oil prices and on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will tighten policy around the middle of this year.

    • About Rahul

      "Rahul Karunakar is editor-in-charge of Reuters polls team in Bangalore. The team of correspondents and analysts conducts polls related to Reuters news coverage on everything from economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, foreign exchange, other asset classes, as well as snap polls on mainly macroeconomic and financial stories driving the news agenda."
      Joined Reuters:
      2005
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