Australia’s Dalrymple coal stocks up but could face depletion
SYDNEY/PERTH, Jan 5 (Reuters) – Australia’s largest coal
export terminal, Dalrymple Bay, tripled its coal inventory to
around 700,000 tonnes on Wednesday as floodwaters receded,
allowing more rail lines from Queensland state’s collieries to
operate.
But logistical problems caused by the floods in
Australia's largest coal producing state persist, with some
lines hauling coal from Outback mines expected to remain at
least partially underwater for another week -- longer if the
rains return.
The worst flooding in decades has affected an area the
size of Germany and France and created an archipelago of towns
plunked amid a muddy inland sea.
Analysts are forecasting higher coal prices in months to
come as coal users scramble to find supplies elsewhere.
Port officials at Dalrymple Bay are also worried that coal
stocks will drop again if the mines are unable to resume
production soon and inventories run out, bringing much of
Australia's $25 billion coal export industry to a halt.
Seventy-five per cent of Queensland's mines are currently
not operating because of flooding, according to Queensland
state premier Anna Bligh.
At least 46 mines representing about 80 percent of
Australia's total metallurgical coal exports alone have likely
been affected by the torrential rains, either directly as
rains and flooding slow or halt production or due to rail
disruptions, Ben Willacy, an analyst with Wood Mackenzie in
Sydney, said.
Over one month this would result in 14 million tonnes of
lost coal production, Willacy said.
Since early December, coal miners, have been invoking
force majeure declarations to protect themselves against
lawsuits for cancelled export contracts.
Still the floods may not have an overall impact on
Australia's total coal production this year as long as mining
companies can make up for lost time once operations return to
normal, according to Willacy.
SIGNS OF RECOVERY
Macarthur Coal , the worlds largest producer of
seaborne low volatile pulverised coal injection coal, has
resumed shipments to the port after the key Goonyella rail
corridor reopened, but also warned future shipments will
depend on the availability of coal.
The company said its force majeure declaration on Dec. 3
remained in place due to the heavy rains, which last week
swamped the Bowen Basin colliery district and flooded mines.
Once the pits are free of water, well have more coal
exposed that can be processed and transported, but it is not
possible to predict when we will return to a steady state of
mining as that largely depends on any future rain, Macarthur
managing director Nicole Hollows said.
In Australia, like most everywhere in the world, coal is
shipped along rail corridors to export ports.
Although QR National has re-opened its Goonyella
and Moura rail lines, the company said Wednesday that it
expected parts of its Blackwater coal rail system to remain
flooded for another week. [ID:nL3E7C5026]
Last week, Dalrymple, which mostly loads ships bound for
Asian steel mills with metallurgical coal, was holding only
about 200,000 tonnes of coal against an ideal stockpile of 1.2
million tonnes.
The port was now receiving about 230,000 tonnes of coal a
day, or some 23 trainloads, slightly below the maximum it can
handle, according to the port spokesman.
"My concern is that I think we are drawing down from mine
stockpiles. Once we exhaust those stockpiles we will get an
indication of just how severe the mine production issues are,"
he said.
Two of the largest coal mines, Rio Tinto's
Blair Athol mine and Xstrata's Oaky Creek
mine, were each holding about 600,000 tonnes of coal in
stockpiles, while AngloAmerican's German Creek mine
holds about 700,000 tonnes, according to Dalrymple Bay's
spokesman.
"If we are drawing down 200,000 tonnes-plus per day, it's
not going to take long to draw down those stocks," he said.
"These mine areas are going to be affected for months to
come," said Jess Carey, a flood forecaster for the Australian
Bureau of Meteorology.
"In terms of river levels, they might recede by next week
but these big mining establishments are obviously going to
feel the affects for months to come, Carey said."
Despite the bad weather, Macarthur said, coal sales for
the six months to 31 December 2010 were 2.4 million tonnes, in
line with guidance provided to the market in mid-December.
But Macarthur also said net profit after tax for the first
half of the 2011 financial year would be at the lower end of
its Dec. 16 guidance of between A$97 million and A$102 million.
Analysts are forecasting spot metallurgical coal prices
are set to move sharply higher as Asia's steel mills scour the
globe for new suppliers to cover production lost to Australian
floods.
Spot prices for coking coal are hovering around $250 a
tonne, according to coal analysts and traders, more than 10
percent over the industry benchmark of $225 a tonne, free on
board, negotiated between BHP Billiton and
Japanese steelmakers for the first quarter of 2011.
Pressure to find coal elsewhere is now expected to lift
spot prices close to $300 a tonne in the next few weeks, a
level last seen when Australian collieries flooded in 2008
Australia's 159 million tonnes of coking coal exports --
the majority mined in Queensland -- in 2010 accounted for
nearly two thirds of global shipments, according to
preliminary government figures.
Although the state's coal operations have been heavily
impacted, Queensland's nascent coal seam gas industry has been
minimally impacted, according to BG Group , Santos
and Origin Energy , who all operate coal seam
gas wells in the area.
(Additional reporting by Amy Pyett; Editing by Ed Davies)
Steel mills face higher costs after Australia coal mines flood
SYDNEY (Reuters) – Spot coking coal prices have risen around 10 percent in a month and look set to move sharply higher as Asia’s steel mills scour the globe for new suppliers to cover production lost to Australian floods.
More than two months of torrential rains in Australia’s Queensland state, the world’s largest exporter of coal for steel-making, have left collieries underwater, rail lines inoperable and coal ports running at a trickle — if at all.
Analysis: Steel mills face higher costs after Australia floods
SYDNEY (Reuters) – Spot coking coal prices have risen around 10 percent in a month and look set to move sharply higher as Asia’s steel mills scour the globe for new suppliers to cover production lost to Australian floods.
More than two months of torrential rains in Australia’s Queensland state, the world’s largest exporter of coal for steel-making, have left collieries underwater, rail lines inoperable and coal ports running at a trickle — if at all.
Analysis – Steel mills face higher costs after Australia coal
SYDNEY (Reuters) – Spot coking coal prices have risen around 10 percent in a month and look set to move sharply higher as Asia’s steel mills scour the globe for new suppliers to cover production lost to Australian floods.
More than two months of torrential rains in Australia’s Queensland state, the world’s largest exporter of coal for steel-making, have left collieries underwater, rail lines inoperable and coal ports running at a trickle — if at all.
Rains halt coal supply to Australia’s Gladstone export
PERTH (Reuters) – Torrential rains and flooding are set to cut rail supplies of coal for another week from inland mines to Australia’s third-largest coal export terminal Gladstone, forcing the port to run down already-depleted inventories.
“With the coal supply chain stopped due to the extensive flooding in the area, we are only able to load from our stockpiles,” Gladstone Port Corp Chief Executive Craig Walker said in a statement.
Rains halt coal supply to Australia’s Gladstone export terminal
PERTH, Dec 31 (Reuters) – Torrential rains and flooding
are set to cut rail supplies of coal for another week from
inland mines to Australia’s third-largest coal export terminal
Gladstone, forcing the port to run down already-depleted
inventories.
“With the coal supply chain stopped due to the extensive
flooding in the area, we are only able to load from our
stockpiles,” Gladstone Port Corp Chief Executive Craig Walker
said in a statement.
Anglo American declares force majeure on Australia
PERTH (Reuters) – Global miner Anglo American (AAL.L: Quote, Profile, Research) has declared force majeure on its coal mines in Australia’s Queensland state due to prolonged heavy rains, joining a long list of coal firms hit by weather-related problems.
“Adverse impacts due to flooding vary across our operations and include disruption to road access, production and rail transportation,” the company said on Thursday.
Anglo American declares force majeure on Australia coal mines
PERTH, Dec 30 (Reuters) – Global miner Anglo American
has declared force majeure on its coal mines in
Australia’s Queensland state due to prolonged heavy rains,
joining a long list of coal firms hit by weather-related
problems.
“Adverse impacts due to flooding vary across our
operations and include disruption to road access, production
and rail transportation,” the company said on Thursday.
Australia coal port, freight operations disrupted
PERTH, Dec 29 (Reuters) – Heavy rains and flooding in
Australia’s key coal-producing Queensland state have brought
parts of the coal infrastructure, including rail and ports, to
a standstill, operators said on Wednesday.
Dalrymple Bay Coal terminal and Gladstone Ports, two of
Australia’s biggest coal terminals, and rail firm QR National
, the nation’s top coal transporter, said they were
forced to cut back operations due to weather-related
disruptions.
Asia Coal-Australia thermal coal prices at 2010 high over $120/tonne
* Australian weather concerns continue to weigh
* Hunter Valley minimally impacted by rains
By Rebekah Kebede
PERTH, Dec 22(Reuters) – Australia’s thermal coal prices,
a benchmark for Asia, climbed to a 2010 high over $120 per
tonne this week, as rains in delay loadings and a cold snap in
Europe boosted demand.
Thermal coal on the globalCOAL Newcastle index rose to a
2010 high of $123.50 for the week to date on Monday, up from
$118.75 a week earlier.

