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15:27 July 14th, 2008

Go private to avoid the short-sighted?

Posted by: Paritosh Bansal
Tags: DealZone

stocks.jpgHow do you save an investment bank from rumor mongers? Take it private, one analyst suggests.

Lehman Brothers, the investment bank whose stock has fallen more than 30 percent this month, has been targeted by the fear-trade just as Bear Stearns was earlier this year, Fox-Pitt Kelton analyst David Trone wrote in a research note.

“We continue to believe that the decline in Lehman’s stock has little to do with the company’s liquidity and balance sheet, but is more based on investors’ pricing in the probability of a Bear Stearns-like run-on-the-bank,” Trone wrote.

Bear Stearns, once the fifth-largest U.S. investment bank, faced a run on the bank in March, and was forced to sell itself.

Trone said “an emergency prohibition of short-selling in brokerage shares is imperative,” but in the absence of such a measure going private was the best bet.

“Without a public stock, there would be no shorting, thus no motivation for rumor-mongering, thus no source to spook their counterparties and creditors,” Trone wrote.

(Photo credit: Reuters)

2 comments so far

[...] day after Fox-Pitt Kelton analyst David Trone suggested Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc may be better off going private, the investment bank may be ready to do just that. Lehman Chief Executive Richard Fuld is [...]

- Posted by Private matters | Ertx.com - Updated Every 20 Minutes

[...] and rumors about its own survival. Its shares are down roughly 30% this year. That decline, according to Trone, has little to do with the Lehman’s liquidity and balance sheet, and more to do with [...]

- Posted by Deal Journal - WSJ.com : Afternoon Reading: Will Lehman Take Its Ball and Go Home?

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