Reuters Blogs

DealZone

Behind the deals and deal-makers

10:12 October 30th, 2008

The 800lb albatross in the room

Posted by: Chris Kaufman
Tags: DealZone, ,

The logic behind Delta’s purchase of Northwest was based on the price of oil staying above $100 a barrel. This is what the parties sold to unions, shareholders, creditors and politicians when making the case for the deal; the airline industry was going to have to overhaul everything about its business to manage costs.

New high-efficiency jets were going to be rolling off Boeing’s assembly lines, and airlines would have to find billions of dollars to buy them. Yes, prices for carry-on luggage would keep rising, and free in-flight peanuts could become a thing of the past. Worries about an economic malaise derailing vacation plans and choking corporate travel budgets would grow to full-blown fear of the worst recession in generations by the time the Delta-Northwest deal was struck.

The new, larger Delta will be an international powerhouse with unparalleled scheduling and pricing strength with service to 375 cities worldwide, experts said. The company estimates $2 billion in cost savings and revenue enhancements annually from the merger.

With savings like that, it’s a whole lot easier to forget the high-oil-price argument. The deal is expected to reignite merger plans throughout the industry, as the logic shifts to competitiveness rather than cost. Oh sure, there may still be a recession to deal with, but cutbacks in capacity are already offsetting some of that. Airline investors are so beaten down that they’ll probably be willing partners — and heck, perhaps airlines can use their costly fuel hedging strategies to convince the Fed to lend a hand. There’s a place in the handout line right behind GM.

Deals of the day:

* Top miner BHP Billiton’s chief executive ruled out adding a cash sweetener to its all-share $69 billion offer for rival Rio Tinto, saying financial turmoil hitting commodity markets was no reason to change.

* Newcrest Mining, Australia’s largest gold producer, sees ample acquisition opportunities ahead and its low debt levels mean it has the firepower to take advantage of them, it said.

* The head of Mazda Motor > said he did not expect any change in the Japanese automaker’s relationship with Ford Motor, amid reports that the struggling U.S. automaker would sell part of its controlling stake.

* British billing and support systems company Intec Telecom Systems said it ended talks about a potential offer for the company, given current market volatility and the fact that it had not received a suitable offer.

* An Italian investor group planning to buy Alitalia was in a stand-off with unions, after failing to agree on new work contracts at late-night talks, unions said.

2 comments so far

[...] has closed, are more deals in the airline space to follow? That

- Posted by Deal Journal - WSJ.com : Evening Reading: Will Bonuses Be Wafer Thin?

[...] closed, are more deals in the airline space to follow? That’s the question Reuters’s DealZone is asking. Back when the Delta-Northwest deal was announced, the rationale for airline consolidation was the [...]

- Posted by Evening Reading: Will Bonuses Be Wafer Thin? | Wall Street

Post Your Comment

*
To prove you're a person (not a spam script), type the security word shown in the picture. Click on the picture to hear an audio file of the word.
Click to hear an audio file of the anti-spam word

House Rules:
  • We moderate all comments and will publish everything that advances the post directly or with relevant tangential information
  • We try not to publish comments that we think are offensive or appear to pass you off as another person, and we will be conservative if comments may be considered libelous information.