Reuters Blogs

DealZone

Behind the deals and deal-makers

19:55 January 29th, 2009

Dow’s game theory

Posted by: Michael Erman
Tags: DealZone

BOSNIA WEATHERDow Chemical may have yet to lay out its legal strategy for walking away or delaying its more than $15 billion takeover of Rohm and Haas, but its strategy makes sense from a game-theoretic standpoint, according to JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas.

If the court orders Dow to close the transaction after a trial, it would be no worse off than it would be today, except for legal fees, he argued in a research note earlier this week.

There also could be a benefits: “It may be that the court rules in its favor to a smaller or larger degree; it may be that Rohm and Haas grants it a financial concession as part of the legal process,” he wrote.

Still, Dow could back itself into a corner in terms of financing if it closes the deal too late.

The company is working to renegotiate the terms of its $13 billion, one-year term loan it would use to finance the deal. But as the terms of the loan are currently written, the loan will either mature a year after the deal closes or April 14, 2010, which ever date is earlier.

So if the deal doesn’t close by mid-April, Dow’s financing issues could be made more difficult, not easier, by the delay.

(PHOTO: Pensioners play outdoor chess as they enjoy a sunny autumn morning in Sarajevo November 3, 2008.  REUTERS/Danilo Krstanovic)

Post Your Comment

*
To prove you're a person (not a spam script), type the security word shown in the picture. Click on the picture to hear an audio file of the word.
Click to hear an audio file of the anti-spam word

House Rules:
  • We moderate all comments and will publish everything that advances the post directly or with relevant tangential information
  • We try not to publish comments that we think are offensive or appear to pass you off as another person, and we will be conservative if comments may be considered libelous information.