DealZone

Adelson splashes the pot in Asia

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Sands China’s weak debut in Hong Kong - a first-day drop of 10 percent – was the fourth-worst launch on that market this year, but came as little shock to analysts who were betting against the Asian gambling play. Rival Wynn Macau is down 5 percent since listing in October.

Sands China’s $2.5 billion IPO wasn’t helped by the default tremors kicked off by Dubai, which has helped to expose a whole new area of risky bets in emerging markets.

“The fever for casino stocks is seen to be over now,” said Patrick Yiu, a director at CASH Asset Management. “Investors are worrying about the industry outlook, especially keen competition, when more casinos are ready for business.”

“We’re not in this for a day’s trading, we’re in it for the long term,” Las Vegas Sands CEO Sheldon Adelson said.

So is this a time to hold ‘em, fold ‘em, walk away or run? Adelson clearly is not counting his money while sitting at the table, and there will be many who argue that betting against the Chinese appetite for gambling never made anyone rich. More likely, fund managers will look for more attractive price points to place their bets, while Sands plays with house money.

Missing Lady Luck

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There was a time not so long ago when “smart” investors and analysts believed that casinos were a sure bet, that gambling was recession proof, and that it was a vice people could not shake off even if money got tight. And so casino giant after casino giant started on mega projects that set to outdo each other and make glitzy Las Vegas, well, glitzier. 

This recession is changing several of those plans. And despite the retirees putting their life savings into slot machines for fun in Atlantic City, casinos are taking a hit. 

MGM Mirage, one of the biggest of them all, is trying to come up with funds amid a sharp downturn. The company, which is controlled by billionaire Kirk Kerkorian, is hoping to raise money to meet debt payments and also to fund CityCenter, a troubled project it jointly owns with Dubai World, in Las Vegas.

The No. 2 U.S. casino operator has hired Morgan Stanley to sell two resort-style properties – one each in Detroit and Biloxi, Mississippi. Los Angeles-based private equity firm Colony Capital is also considering an investment in the debt of the casino company.

Will Lady Luck smile again on Las Vegas? Chances are Sin City will look different again in a few years, with or without her.

DEALS OF THE DAY

* Russia’s Gazprom signed a $4.2 billion deal to reacquire a stake in its oil arm from Italy’s Eni but delayed the buy-back of Russian gas assets from Italian companies to end April.

COMMENT

This comment is for SHAMS:

Why do you regious nuts have to associate everything with god? At least kd said something relevant and of interest.

Posted by Greg | Report as abusive