DealZone

The Car Business: Self-loathing and Chinese Takeaways

Nobody hates cars as much as the car industry does these days. The business is crippling some of its biggest players and behold the dearth of industry names queuing up to buy other automakers.

Opel in Germany is being sold yet are Volkswagen, Porsche, BMW or Daimler anywhere to be found? Spot the empty parking lot.

Without the Chinese, auto sector M&A right now is about as exciting as a 1981 Yugo.

Some makers still have money though, so what has everybody racing to get away?

Bad experiences, in part.

The last really big deal where two car companies merged was DaimlerChrysler in 1998. It’s best remembered this way: Spent a lot of dimes, did a lot of crying. Disaster and divorce. 

A great article written years after the deal revealed telltale signs of the troubles in store for that marriage when even the order of the name – which should go first – threatened to break up the talks.

Tesla sticker shock?

Elon Musk

With highly touted plans for a new electric car in jeopardy, an overseas investor steps in to provide new capital and a much-needed endorsement.

GM? No, Tesla.

Remarkably, the terms of German automaker Daimler AG’s 10-percent stake in Tesla may have also helped the Silicon Valley electric-car start-up inch closer to GM in value.

Daimler’s vague disclosure of its purchase price as  “double digit million dollar” means Tesla is valued at a minimum of $100 million.
That would make Tesla, which was founded nearly six years ago, about one-eighth the size of 100-year-old GM.

Chrysler bankruptcy looms despite deal

USA/Chrysler’s biggest lenders and the U.S. government reached a breakthrough framework deal to cut the automaker’s debt by $6.9 billion, but officials say bankruptcy is still a strong possibility with the Obama administration’s Thursday deadline for a comprehensive rescue plan just hours away.

Fiat Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne was quoted by the president of the Canadian Auto Workers union as saying Chrysler would likely enter Chapter 11 bankruptcy for a period of time. But Michigan Senator Carl Levin said, “If they do go into bankruptcy, it would really be in and out.” A source with senior-level knowledge of the restructuring told us that a surgical bankruptcy could be a way, for instance, to address “recalcitrant” lenders.

With Germany’s Daimler AG dumping its 19.9 percent stake in Chrysler and Italy’s Fiat poised to “eventually” own more than a third of the company, European know-how and innovation have never been more important for the U.S. auto industry.

20 percent = zero

At the end of December 2007, Daimler’s 20-percent stake in Chrysler was valued at about $1.18 billion.

At the end of June, Daimler valued that investment at about $219.6 million.

Today, Daimler said the book value of that 20-percent stake is zero.

That’s right, zero.

To put that zero in perspective:

A year ago, after Daimler sold 80 percent of Chrysler to U.S. private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management, the German automaker listed the value of its minority interest at $1.8 billion.

Ten years ago, Daimler paid $36 billion for all of Chrysler.

For Daimler to disclose that the book value of its stake has come to nothing, and to do it at a time when it is in talks to sell that stake to Cerberus, is bad news for Chrysler.