Is Apple in Intel’s future?

Apple developed the processor for it's recently launched iPad tablet PC in-house. Intel was left waiting on the sidelines but change may be in store. Future tablets from other device makers, and maybe even Apple, could prove to be a lucrative for the world's largest chipmaker. And why not, Intel already makes the microprocessors that are used in more than three quarters of the world's PCs. Tom Kilroy, Intel senior vice president and general manager of sales and marketing, says "wait til Computex" for a big announcement. So, what's likely to come out of the industry trade show this June in Taipei? Any thoughts? Click below to hear what Kilroy had to say in San Francisco at the 2010 Reuters Global Technology Summit.

Intel on Tablet Opportunities from Reuters TV on Vimeo.

Posted in Media and Communications, Summit, Technology, Technology, Media & Telecoms, TMT | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

VC’s Lament: the ones that got away

Vic Gundotra, Vice President of engineering at Google (R) and Omar Hamoui, founder and CEO of AdMob converse during the "Mobile: Where's The Money Going?" panel at the Fortune Tech Brainstorm 2009 in Pasadena, California July 23, 2009. REUTERS/Fred Prouser
Whether it’s passing up on a ticket to Woodstock or not buying Apple stock at $80 a share in January 2009, everybody has regrets.

So what do VCs regret?

We asked the panel of three money-men gathered for the VC Panel at the Reuters Technology Summit for their biggest laments when it comes to the deals they let get away.

“For me the one that comes to mind is AdMob,” said Khosla Ventures partner David Weiden, referring to the mobile advertising firm that Google announced plans to acquire for $750 million in November.

“I talked to Omar (Hamoui, AdMob’s founder and CEO) when he was one employee and spent a bunch of time with him early on and then we didn’t end up doing the investment together and I absolutely regret that,” he said.

Of course, with the Google acquisition now being held up by regulators, AdMob could end up remaining independent after all.

Accel Partner’s Richard Wong did take a chance on AdMob, with Wong now sitting on the company’s board of directors. Wong’s biggest regret has to do with Siri, a maker of voice-activated smartphone software for handling personal tasks that was recently acquired by Apple for an undisclosed sum.

“I remember looking at it, you have a clean shot at it…you just have to have the conviction to do it,” said Wong, who cited worries about how the application would get customers and compete against the likes of Google as issues that gave him cold feet.

Chris Moore, a partner at Redpoint Ventures had an early look at LinkedIn, the Internet social network for professionals that now counts more than 65 million users.

“I remember thinking about how useful this app was to me at the early stages, and not being able to squint to see the business model,” said Moore, who recalls telling LinkedIn co-founder Reed Hoffman that a deal wouldn’t happen.

“In hindsight the utility of the application and the focus is just enormous,” said Moore.

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Put regulation in the hands of politicians and, well, it becomes politicised.

That, anyway, is what Europe's new kid on lobbying block, the Association for Financial Markets in Europe (AFME's), told the Reuters Regulation Summit about EU plans to crack down on opaque derivatives markets by insisting on central clearing of standardised contracts, trade reporting and even exchange trading.

The European Commission will propose its draft European Markets Infrastructure Legislation (EMIL) in June which should make for some pointy headed pool side reading during the summer consulation period.

EMIL implements the G20 pledge to shine a light on derivatives but there is one additional aspect that is already coming under pressure -- an idea to force clearing houses to link up with each other so that users are not limited in their choice of clearer -- and hence trading platform. It's part of wider efforts to create a cheaper bloc-wide securities market.

But there are already whispers that Germany and France feel this may be a step too far -- cynics would no doubt speak about shielding Clearnet in France and Eurex in Germany. Europe's exchanges may well soon call for the European Commission to ditch the interoperability idea from EMIL and make it part of the review of EU MiFID share trading rules.

With such background maneouvres, it's not surprising that AFME's acting CEO Mark Austen thinks the market can and should move ahead with creating an integrated pan-EU clearing and settlement system.

Legislation is too unpredictable.

"Decisions would be made on trade-offs between which member-states benefit, not whether it's in the interests of market participants in general," he added.

Trouble is, the approach Austen wants has already been tried and failed miserably.

On the settlement side, it spurred an unprecedented move by the European Central Bank to set up its own pan-European settlement system for shares, T2S which goes live in late 2014.

On the clearing side, a voluntary code of conduct has clocked up over 80 applications for "interoperability" between clearers and so far you only need two fingers to count how many have gone live.

T2S and EMIL are the result of the market's failure to sort itself out and probably represent progress of sorts after years of deadlock.

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Impasse over model haunts raters again

Credit rating agencies are back in the spotlight and, just like a year or two ago, for all the wrong reasons.

Last week a U.S. Senate panel said the clout of Wall Street's big banks and the thirst for profits drove ratings agencies to inflate ratings on subprime mortage-related products, helping to fuel the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Making things worse for Moody's, S&P and Fitch, the Senators pointed to securities backed by subprime loans that Goldman offered in 2007 -- now the subject of an SEC fraud lawsuit -- as further evidence of questionable industry practices. Goldman has rejected the accusations.

The latest dose of self-inflicted misery for the raters is unlikely to prompt any fresh regulatory action.

The basic flaw in the whole business model is still unresolved -- that the issuer being rated pays the rater and no amount of blue sky thinking over the past three years since the crisis began has come up with a better idea that works.

Have the regulators signalled defeat on this long standing problem?

Greg Tanzer, secretary general of the International Organisation of Securities Commissions told the Reuters Regulation Summit this week that its key focus is on making sure IOSCO members across the world, such as the FSA in Britain and the SEC in the United States, apply its code of conduct for rating agencies -- a code the EU sniffily dismissed as ineffective and opted for a harder version in law last year.

For Tanzer, until the boffins come up with a practical alternative to the current ratings business model, the focus has to be on making sure agencies manage conflicts of interest, disclose them and improve the quality of ratings. Regulators have been criticised in the past for failing to follow through on principles adopted so IOSCO is keen to make sure its code takes effect on the ground before considering a further review.

Tanzer doubts the conflict of interest can ever be fully resolved and would simply be shifted elsewhere in some form.

Are regulators being pragmatic or defeatist? Perhaps neither -- the broader picture is one of slapping much heavier capital, liquidity charges and other safety belts on banks so that over time, policymakers hope ratings will become far less relevant and influential in the first place to matter.

Written by Huw Jones in London

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Reuters set to spotlight financial regulation in DC

FINANCIAL-REGULATION/OBAMA
The fight over new rules that will dramatically change Wall Street and financial markets is approaching the finish line in Washington, with both lawmakers and the financial industry making last-ditch efforts to put their stamp on the reform effort. Reuters will be hearing from the key players in the debate on April 26-29 during the 2010 Reuters Global Financial Regulation Summit.

Top regulators, watchdogs, lawmakers and stakeholders will provide their perspectives on how this landmark legislation will impact banks, investors, traders and consumers. The talks will focus in on proposals for a strong new consumer agency, strict oversight of derivatives and attempts to end the perception that some financial firms are “too big to fail.”

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Reuters set to spotlight financial regulation in DC

FINANCIAL-REGULATION/OBAMA
The fight over new rules that will dramatically change Wall Street and financial markets is approaching the finish line in Washington, with both lawmakers and the financial industry making last-ditch efforts to put their stamp on the reform effort. Reuters will be hearing from the key players in the debate on April 26-29 during the 2010 Reuters Global Financial Regulation Summit.

Top regulators, watchdogs, lawmakers and stakeholders will provide their perspectives on how this landmark legislation will impact banks, investors, traders and consumers. The talks will focus in on proposals for a strong new consumer agency, strict oversight of derivatives and attempts to end the perception that some financial firms are “too big to fail.”

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Avoiding another financial crisis

The Global Exchanges & Trading Summit takes place as lawmakers and regulators craft new rules to avoid a repeat of the financial crisis. The rising chorus for more transparency in capital markets could drive a host of new derivatives to exchanges and clearinghouses, propelling them out of the recession, but growing calls for a clampdown on speculation and automated trading could hit some of the world's most powerful dealers and investors, undercutting the exchanges that rely on them. High-frequency trading is behind much of the spike in volumes over the last year, but as volatility drops from crisis-era highs, traders of all kinds are forced to reevaluate strategies, and exchanges are maneuvering to attract that business. A couple years after a period of blockbuster mergers, investors wonder whether the heavyweight exchange operators are angling for another round. Join us March 29-31 as we ask some of the biggest players in the industry to share their insights and outlook for the industry at the Reuters Global Exchanges and Trading Summit which will take place in New York, London, Hong Kong.

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Economic security or environmental destruction?

OBAMA-CANADA/
The Oil Sands, the world's second-largest proven reserves after Saudi Arabia, hold out the promise of energy security for the United States and economic security for Canada. But environmentalists fear the destructive, energy intensive process of extracting the oil will carry direct consequences for the planet. Despite the doubts, new oil sands projects are again springing up after the financial crisis halted development. How will oil companies balance the quest for more oil with environmental concerns? Mar. 22-23 we'll put those questions to the oil companies, environmental groups and government officals at the first Reuters Canadian Oil Sands Summit in Calgary.

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Will growth in the food industry spur inflation?

Food and agriculture companies, having weathered the global economic meltdown, are now facing the prospects that renewed growth will spur renewed inflation.
With costs poised to rise for commodities like wheat and already high for items like sugar and cocoa, packaged foods makers face the task of trying to preserve profits at a time while retailers and consumers are balking at price increases.
Trade battles over U.S. meat and regulatory issues like a tax on soft drinks and push for more accurate disclosure of calories and fat on restaurant boards and food package are also concerns for the industry.

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Would the last person to leave the smelter please turn out the lights?

For UC RUSAL, one simple act is crucial to reducing costs.
Bonuses for managers at the world's largest aluminium company
depend on the company's 75,000 workers heeding the message.
"We have to introduce a new culture: if you leave the
office, turn off the lights," Artyom Volynets, UC RUSAL's deputy
chief executive for strategy, said at Reuters Global Mining and
Steel Summit on Monday.
"We have 16 smelters, each with their own headquarters and
offices. We employ 75,000 people. If each one of them is
switching off the lights at the end of their shift, that would
help tremendously."
UC RUSAL embarked on a major drive to slash production costs
last year as part of an ultimately successful attempt to secure
Russia's largest ever private sector debt restructuring.
Easy access to Siberian hydroelectric power, compared with
relatively high-cost coal used to power smelters in other parts
of the world, affords UC RUSAL a distinct cost advantage when
making aluminium used in transport, construction and packaging.
In the first half of 2009, it cost UC RUSAL an average
$1,400 to produce a tonne of aluminium. The metal is now selling
at above $2,200 a tonne.
UC RUSAL has cut costs by sourcing cheaper raw materials of
better quality and improving throughput rates at its smelters in
Siberia, which account for about 80 percent of its total output.
But cheap power in Siberia had also led to complacency.
"Our smelters are located in probably the only remaining
major energy-long region in the world. Therefore, if you buy
power at 2 cents per kilowatt, you don't really care how much
you spend," Volynets said.
"For my colleagues on the operational side of the business,
their key performance indicators are 100 percent tied to cost
improvements," he said. "They will not be compensated if these
improvements are not implemented."
(Writing by Robin Paxton in Moscow)

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