2010 Reuters Hedge Funds and Private Equity kicks off

Some of the world's leading names in the hedge funds and private equity industries are visiting the Reuters bureaus in New York, London and Hong Kong this week to discuss the outlook for the sector in a series of exclusives interviews as part of the 2010 Reuters Hedge Funds and Private Equity Summit.

Private equity is still struggling with the triple problem of raising funds, exiting investments and striking deals -- although the last has become a little easier of late. M&A has picked up and there have been a few single-digit billion LBO deals struck in recent months. Still, volatile markets have been making for an uphill struggle to exit investments, and raising money for new funds is uphill. On top of that, executives are facing the possibility of higher tax and tougher scrutiny on their firms.

Investors whose portfolios were decimated during the financial crisis are searching for better returns and are now ready to send new money into hedge funds. However despite the industry's strong returns in 2009, investors are still asking managers for greater insight and transparency at a time regulators and legislators are also putting the industry under a new spotlight.

Will the industry continue to post high returns? Have expectations for performance changed?

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Are the days of flying business and 4-star hotels over for biz travelers?

Are flying coach and staying at budget hotels the "new normal" for businesspeople who travel for work? If so, what does it mean for airlines, hotels and casinos still trying to recover from the economic downturn? Chris Woronka, Senior Gaming, Lodging and Leisure Analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities shares his thoughts with us on what's in store for the Travel and Leisure Industry in 2010. Will the industry once again be flying high? Or, will the prospects for a better year ahead get grounded?

2010 Travel and Leisure Industry Outlook

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Will the travel & leisure industry bounce back in 2010?

Be it through optional newspaper delivery, a fee for blankets, or shuttered restaurants, travel and leisure companies have had to trim costs creatively as the recession hurt revenues and profits.  The sector has recently been buoyed by expectations of recovery amid signs that business travel demand is starting to rebound.  But discounted airfares and hotel rates and volatile fuel prices pose challenges to profitability. Room rates at hotels remain under pressure, while casino operators are looking to Asia to spur growth as prime U.S. destinations such as Las Vegas struggle to rebound.  And airlines, which have cut jobs and reduced capacity in the past two years as the economic downturn battered demand, face new security concerns that also could slow recovery.  Executives of some of the world's biggest and best-known airlines, hotel and casino companies will address these and other issues at the Reuters Travel and Leisure Summit, to be held in New York from Feb. 22-24.

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Awaiting the alternative energy sukuk: Innovation vs conservatism

MANAMA, Feb 18 (Reuters) - Dubai’s debt fiasco and real estate bubble bust pushes investors to look out for alternative assets underlying Islamic finance products – could renewable energy provide a way-out?

Predominantly, Islamic finance and investment products have been backed by infrastructure or commodities assets. But executives at the 2010 Reuters Islamic Banking and Finance Summit said product diversification was needed to cut the over-reliance on real estate in the Gulf.

“Sharia scholars are eager to support the renewable energy initiative, but the Islamic banking industry (in the Gulf) does not seem to be overly interested in this area although I am aware of a couple of deals involving acquisitions of clean tech companies in the U.S. and wind farms in the UK," said Ayman Khaleq, partner at the Vinson & Elkins law firm in Dubai.

“The big banks have teams that focus on renewable energy as an asset class. However, the problem is that Islamic banks are not big enough to be able to cover specific sectors such as alternative energy,” he added.

In order to launch an alternative energy sukuk, the Gulf's small local banks would need to team up with bigger international players such as Deutsche Bank, Barclays, or BNP Paribas, which have been active on the renewable horizon.

But some experts have warned more originality in the Islamic finance industry could alienate investors, who are reluctant to take on fresh risk in the wake of Dubai’s debt crisis and recent sukuk defaults in the region.

WAITING FOR THE GREEN PUSH

Despite favourable environmental conditions in the Gulf offering fertile ground for green technologies, Abu Dhabi’s Masdar initiative is so far the region’s only flagship initiative. www.masdar.ae

“Although in the Gulf, with the sun and desert, you would think that solar energy would be worth harnessing Islamically or otherwise," Khaleq said.

Gulf states are in need of economic diversification as the oil bonanza is slowly drying out, and are urged to develop alternative energy sources.

An industry source said sovereign wealth funds from Bahrain or Malaysia, and family offices in Saudi Arabia or Kuwait, could nevertheless become potential investors.

“There might be venture capital type of funds that could look at these new technologies in the Gulf," the source added.

Khaleq is optimistic an alternative energy sukuk could see daylight soon: "I'm hoping in 2010, but Islamic investor, and generally regional investors, are being more conservative and so are the scholars,” he said.

“However, the ingredients are there: structures, acceptability of asset class, interest and technology. But it is a question of who will be the pioneer in making it all happen."

Writing by Martina Fuchs

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Is Islamic banking truly sharia-compliant?

Manama, Bahrain Feb. 16  - The Islamic finance industry has a problem. Its main selling point is that it is sharia-compliant, meaning it adheres to Islam’s prohibition of interest and avoids dealing with forbidden sectors such as alcohol and gambling.

But in the eyes of many, much of the industry is actually not sharia-compliant at all.

For one, the industry's benchmark is LIBOR, which is an interest-based concept and critics say it should develop its own.  In addition, many scholars complain that the most popular of structures are, if not in direct breech of Islamic law, then widely abused.

“If you believe in Islamic finance and you believe money is just a medium of exchange then a lot of going on is not acceptable, because it's making money off money,” says Simon Eedle, managing of Islamic banking at Credit Agricole CIB.

So what will it take for the Islamic finance industry to clean up its act? Just your ordinary punter, it seems.

“I think the man on the street wants to do genuine Islamic banking,” Eedle says.

“I think the problem is the business is not yet developed enough to be able to offer anything other than conventional banking in a sharia-compliant format,” he says.

Abdul Rahman Tolefat, the CEO of Allianz Takaful also thinks your average believer will help the profit-driven industry to keep to the straight and narrow.

“I agree, the push will come from the retail side,” he says.

By: Raissa Kasolowsky

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Dubai crisis will not spread, says Invesco’s Garnick

dubaiDubai's financial problems have spooked investors around the world. Moody's Investors Service didn't help matters on Wednesday when it said it would review the ratings of  not just of Dubai, but of neighboring emirate Abu Dhabi and the federal government of the seven-member United Arab Emirates federation. Dubai and Abu Dhabi are both part of the UAE, the world's third-largest oil exporter.

But Invesco's sassy market watcher, Diane Garnick, says the crisis isn't likely to spread. Based on her past visits to Dubai, which she dubs a "Las Vegas-wannabe," she expects little fall-out for other world markets.

"The one thing that Dubai completely aced about Las Vegas is that what happens in Dubai stays in Dubai," she said during an interview at the Reuters Investment Outlook Summit in New York.  "This crisis won't spread." 

Investors should have been wary of Dubai all along, she added,  since the hotel construction boom was built without enough other attractions to pull in tourists.  "It's like a tour of different hotels -- that's all it is," says Garnick, who's based in New York. Atlanta-based Invesco oversees about $419 billion for retail investors and institutions.

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Soccer clubs and mortgages: How a media mogul spends $10 million

Unlike many of us, media executives know what it’s like to play around with large wads of cash. So it seemed natural to ask them about what kind of investment opportunities they’re seeing when they gathered in New York this week for the Reuters Global Media Summit.

We gave each media honcho $10 million in hypothetical cash and told them to put the money to work without buying stock in their own companies.

Diller11Some executives plowed the money into broad sectors and regions, like emerging markets, while others zeroed in on specific stocks, like Electronic Arts’ CEO John Riccitiello’s penchant for software maker Adobe.

Zynga CEO Mark Pincus said he already owns shares of privately-held Facebook, the Internet social network on which many of Zynga’s video games are designed to be played on, and that he’d buy more on the secondary markets (OK, so he creatively sidestepped the rule against investing in his own company).

And some media moguls seemed to have investment strategies driven by goals other than maximizing returns:

"I would put it in US-based international equities. I mean, if you said….If you forced me to invest a dollar."

(Reuters: You can put it in your pillow if you want.) That’s what I’ve been doing. Unfortunately, the pillow was unsleepable

-Barry Diller, CEO, IAC/InterActive Corp

"Pay off my mortgage in Nantucket. That's probably the safe answer with my wife."

- Mark Greenberg, CEO, Epix

"Leeds United (British soccer club) -- I've seen them recently and they could do with the money."

-John Ridding, CEO Financial Times

"I think having a good time, for the next five or six years."

-Mitch Lowe, President, Redbox

See what tech and media executives said in May 2009, December 2008 and May 2008.

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Washington divided, more trouble ahead for Obama?

Washington insiders say that not since the 1890's have the people that represent the U.S. been so divided. From Gay rights to Afghanistan lawmakers are at polar opposites on issues that are on the Obama administration's agenda. What's next? And, what's likely to get the green light or the stop sign?

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Time private bankers got professional

It's hard to imagine that a banker who represents multimillionaires would be anything but professional - but a top executive at a leading global bank thinks that's precisely the wealth management industry's problem.

"There is so much mediocrity in the industry we have to raise the bar here," said Gerard Aquilina, vice chairman of Barclays Wealth, at the Reuters Global Wealth Management Summit in Geneva.

    To Aquilina's way of thinking, private bankers need the same "institutional rigor" as investment bankers in the way they operate. To this end the bank is looking to pursue only top-quality hires.

"Our strategy is not to be the hoover that comes and hires willy-nilly, we want to be much more selective," said Aquilina -- perhaps an ironic view given Barclays acquired thousands of investment bankers from the ashes of the fallen Lehman Brothers last year.

    But he and his colleagues are so sure of their position that he said they are working on developing MBA-level courses with some unnamed top universities on private banking, especially as they see fewer and fewer interns turning up their noses at the prospect of a three-month rotation in the private banking shop.

    They're not alone, either. Alexander Classen, head of EMEA wealth management for Morgan Stanley, said his firm too was seeing more and more people turn up to recruiting presentations on college campuses, whereas at one time they would have summarily shunned the private bankers for the investment banking sessions.

Things may have changed since then, but private banks may still have their work cut out if they want to attract talent early. After all, as Aquilina himself admitted, "There are not many people at eighteen who say, 'Hey Dad, I want to be a private banker'. Most people just fall into it."

 

 

 

 

 

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Everyone needs a private banker

Everyone needs a private banker. Full service means exactly that for one speaker at the Reuters Wealth Management Summit. The 'normal' range of extras that wealth managers are offering super-rich clients under the banner Lifestyle Management has expanded as they scramble to keep on board clients whose massive wealth was rendered a little less massive during the financial crisis.
 
Citigroup's private banking arm keeps an art curator on staff to make sure clients don't overspend at auctions and maximise the value of their collection - it's a real problem apparently.
 
But one of the smaller banks represented at the summit goes a lot further than that. "We do pretty much whatever they want." On further investigation this stops short of walking the dogs but it does include managing fleets of vehicles, relocation for tax exiles, school selection for the rich in-waiting, wine cellar stocking, art advice (of course) and payroll services for the hired help.
 
But what was the most unusual request he has ever had from a client? "We were once asked pick up some strange medication and we organised the redecoration of the interior of a private jet in questionable taste," said one private banker. He wouldn't say any more, but some might think that was too much detail already.
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