Rolfe Winkler

Lunchtime Links 2-2

February 2, 2010

Homeownership rate falls to 2000 level (CR) At 67.2% it’s still way overstated. Home “ownership” is a misnomer in cases when the owner has withdrawn mortgage equity or when the price of the home has fallen below the principal value of the mortgage. A better measure of homeownership, I think, is just to look at total owner’s equity as a % of household real estate. The most recent Fed Flow of Funds report (page 104, line 50) puts the figure at just 37.6%

Lunchtime Links 1-29

January 29, 2010

Kohn, Bair warn banks about interest rate risk at FDIC symposium (Wutkowski, Reuters) The Fed says rates will stay low for an “extended period.” But that doesn’t mean “forever” so the Fed, along with other bank regulators, have warned bankers to prepare their balance sheets for higher rates. The populist line that banks need to “lend more” to get the economy going is just foolish. Regulators know the score: banks that lend too much at these low rates, or are using too much cheap short-term funding, will be caught out when rates head back up. Text of Kohn’s speech here. PDF of Sheila Bair’s here. (Bair’s speech is shorter and less wonkish)

Geithner’s faulty apologia

January 28, 2010

Tim Geithner’s appearance in front of Congress today was another embarrassment, perhaps more for the people’s representatives than the Treasury Secretary. Still, Geithner offered a clumsy defense for paying out 100¢ on the dollar to AIG’s counterparties, which included more than Goldman Sachs.

Morning Links 1-25

January 25, 2010

Tishman gives up Stuyvesant Town (Wei/Spector, WSJ) Way underwater was this deal: the price tag was $5.4 billion, but the property is thought to be worth only $1.8 billion now. Tishman put up only $112 million of equity. Lenders and investors get wiped out. Good. By the way, if underwater investors can walk away, there’s little reason underwater homeowners should feel a moral obligation to keep paying their own overpriced mortgages….

Grist for Goldman conspiracy theorists

November 24, 2009

From Yves over at NakedCapitalism:

A former managing director at monolines Ambac and FGIC wonders why AIG was bailed out but the monolines weren’t. (He admits to bias, so take this with a grain of salt.)

“There were no discussions on AIG”

June 26, 2009

I’m sorry I missed this CNBC interview last week with Robert Wolf, chief of UBS Investment Bank in the U.S.  There’s a remarkably eye-opening sound bite.   (hat tip M. Mayer)