Editor, Reuters Polls and Economic Data, London
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Apr 23, 2015

Europe, China business activity disappoint in April

LONDON/SYDNEY (Reuters) – Business activity slowed more than any forecaster expected in the euro zone this month while manufacturing in Asia’s top two economies hit the brakes, suggesting the global recovery path is less clear than policymakers are predicting.

The sudden drop in the euro zone flash composite Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) was driven by sharply slower growth in manufacturing orders in Germany and France, suggesting recent optimism about the euro zone may be overdone.

Apr 22, 2015

Global growth outlook steady despite oil fall, stimulus burst

LONDON/BENGALURU (Reuters) – A collapse in oil prices that gave a windfall to the world’s energy consumers and a flurry of policy easing from central banks might have been expected to brighten the outlook for global economic growth.

But Reuters polls of more than 250 economists across Europe and North America show only modest upgrades to growth forecasts and a reluctance to relinquish a depressed inflation view, despite the rush of rate cuts and central bank cash that most respondents believe is far from over.

Apr 22, 2015

Global growth outlook steady despite oil fall, stimulus burst: Reuters poll

LONDON/BENGALURU (Reuters) – A collapse in oil prices that gave a windfall to the world’s energy consumers and a flurry of policy easing from central banks might have been expected to brighten the outlook for global economic growth.

But Reuters polls of more than 250 economists across Europe and North America show only modest upgrades to growth forecasts and a reluctance to relinquish a depressed inflation view, despite the rush of rate cuts and central bank cash that most respondents believe is far from over.

Mar 5, 2015
via MacroScope

The U.S. job market is consistently beating expectations

The evidence clearly shows that the U.S. job market now is consistently beating rising expectations, which should give pause to those doubting an interest rate rise is coming from the Federal Reserve later this year.

Including revisions, it has been well over a year since there was a considerable disappointment in monthly non-farm payrolls hiring data.

Mar 4, 2015

Analysis – For first time in years, euro economy starts surprising on upside

LONDON (Reuters) – The euro zone economy is sprouting more green shoots than anticipated just as the European Central Bank fires up a money printing programme worth more than 1 trillion euros.

An analysis of Reuters polls shows more than half the most important economic reports since the start of the year, as well as data across the bloc’s four largest economies, have beaten the consensus forecast and many have topped the highest prediction.

Mar 4, 2015

For first time in years, euro economy starts surprising on upside

LONDON (Reuters) – The euro zone economy is sprouting more green shoots than anticipated just as the European Central Bank fires up a money printing program worth more than 1 trillion euros.

An analysis of Reuters polls shows more than half the most important economic reports since the start of the year, as well as data across the bloc’s four largest economies, have beaten the consensus forecast and many have topped the highest prediction.

Feb 22, 2015

Weekahead: Fed rate rise timing back in the spotlight

LONDON (Reuters) – Greece’s struggles with its euro zone creditors may have grabbed much of the world’s attention, but U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is likely to reclaim the spotlight this week with testimony on a long-anticipated shift in policy.

If the Fed sticks to mid-year for its first interest rate rise in a decade, it will be perceived as a reflection of the world economy’s growing resilience.

Feb 22, 2015

Fed rate rise timing back in the spotlight

LONDON, Feb 22 (Reuters) – Greece’s struggles with its euro
zone creditors may have grabbed much of the world’s attention,
but U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is likely to reclaim
the spotlight this week with testimony on a long-anticipated
shift in policy.

If the Fed sticks to mid-year for its first interest rate
rise in a decade, it will be perceived as a reflection of the
world economy’s growing resilience.

Dec 5, 2014
via MacroScope

The great flatline of wage expectations

It’s not just wages around the industrialised world that are flatlining. So are expectations.

While there is considerable change from month to month on U.S. pay statistics, what has remained virtually constant throughout the past decade is a weak rate of pay growth that has not managed to keep pace with inflation.

Nov 25, 2014

British house price boom fading but no price falls expected – Reuters Poll

LONDON (Reuters) – The latest British property boom is fading, more than a year after it got a boost from a stimulus programme aimed at first-time buyers, although prices are still expected to outpace inflation in coming years.

The latest Reuters poll of property market analysts also forecasts an end to London’s housing boom. London prices rocketed 25 percent in recent years but are expected to slow to near the national rate of around 4 percent in coming years.

    • About Ross

      "Ross Finley, Global Editor, Reuters Polls & Economic Data, commissions consensus forecasts and edits related news stories on everything from foreign exchange rates to stock markets to expectations on monetary policy from major central banks. He is based in London."
      Joined Reuters:
      1999
      Languages:
      English, French
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