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Nov 9, 2011

Euro zone crisis hammering developed economies: Reuters poll

By Ross Finley

(Reuters) – The outlook for developed economies remained dangerous in November despite an emerging split between Europe, ravaged by an intensifying sovereign debt crisis, and a slightly better performance in the United States.

Reuters polls of more than 250 economists, taken after G20 leaders left a critical summit in Cannes with no concrete plans to solve the crisis, provide some of the strongest evidence yet that the euro zone is already in recession.

Oct 6, 2011

Bank bond purchases to rise to 325 billion pounds – poll

LONDON (Reuters) – The Bank of England will be forced to snap up an additional 50 billion pounds of government bonds in the stimulus programme it expanded on Thursday to 275 billion pounds, a Reuters poll of economists showed.

Grappling with an economy that has barely grown in nine months and a real economic and financial threat from the sovereign debt crisis engulfing Britain’s main trading partner, the euro zone, the Bank has sprung back into action.

Sep 15, 2011

Risk of second recession rising in developed economies

LONDON (Reuters) – The developed world’s economies have become ensnared in a growth slowdown that threatens to turn into recession, at a time when room for manoeuvre with bold policy responses has narrowed significantly, Reuters polls showed.

Surveys of more than 250 economists in North America, across Europe and Japan portend steadily increasing chances that central bankers will need to fire any weapons they may have left to stave off disaster.

Sep 14, 2011

Second recession risk rising in developed world – Reuters poll

LONDON (Reuters) – The developed world’s economies have become ensnared in a growth slowdown that threatens to turn into recession, at a time when room for manoeuvre with bold policy responses has narrowed significantly, Reuters polls showed.

Surveys of more than 250 economists in North America, across Europe and Japan portend steadily increasing chances that central bankers will need to fire any weapons they may have left to stave off disaster.

Aug 9, 2011
via MacroScope

Recession predictions? Better late than never

The chances of a second U.S. recession are rising. But just how high a probability is always difficult to gauge. The latest Reuters consensus from private sector economists – most employed by an industry that got us into the mess – is currently one in four. That’s not very high, but it has crept up from one-in-five when we asked the same people two weeks ago.

In the meantime, the U.S. has done what many would never have thought possible – it lost its AAA sovereign debt rating from Standard & Poor’s, thanks to an acrimonious political debate over the debt ceiling and, in S&P’s judgment, inadequate legislation to tackle deficits over the long-term. Global stock markets have plummeted 20 percent since May, racking up staggering losses over the past few days, rattled by that U.S. rating downgrade, worries about a world economic slowdown, and a spiralling euro zone debt crisis that now is lapping at the shores of a G7 country — Italy.

Aug 9, 2011

U.S. outlook casts shadow over world economy – Reuters poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The chances of another U.S. recession are rising and Europe’s recovery is also at risk, according to the latest Reuters poll, taken during the worst stock market selloff since the nadir of the financial crisis.

The latest survey of more than 200 economists, published four years to the day that credit markets first started to dry up, showed analysts cutting forecasts for U.S. growth, a reflection of widespread concern the global economy is slowing rapidly.

Aug 9, 2011

U.S. outlook casts shadow over world economy

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The chances of another U.S. recession are rising and Europe’s recovery is also at risk, according to the latest Reuters poll, taken during the worst stock market selloff since the nadir of the financial crisis.

The latest survey of more than 200 economists, published four years to the day that credit markets first started to dry up, showed analysts cutting forecasts for U.S. growth, a reflection of widespread concern the global economy is slowing rapidly.

Jul 28, 2011

No interest rate hike seen this year – Reuters poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Faced with a stalling economy, the probability that the Bank of England will launch a second round of government bond purchases has crept up to one in four from one in five over the last month, according to the latest Reuters poll.

The poll of 63 economists, conducted mostly after news the UK economy grew by just 0.2 percent in the second quarter, rounding off a nine-month period of effective stagnation, also saw a tailing off in the probability of a rate hike this year.

Jul 27, 2011

No Bank rate hike in 2011 – Reuters poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Faced with a stalling economy, the probability that the Bank of England will launch a second round of government bond purchases has crept up to one in four from one in five over the last month, according to the latest Reuters poll.

The poll of 63 economists, conducted mostly after news the UK economy grew by just 0.2 percent in the second quarter, rounding off a nine-month period of effective stagnation, also saw a tailing off in the probability of a rate hike this year.

Jul 27, 2011

No Bank rate hike in 2011; chances of QE2 rising – Reuters poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Faced with a stalling economy, the probability that the Bank of England will launch a second round of government bond purchases has crept up to one in four from one in five over the last month, according to the latest Reuters poll.

The poll of 63 economists, conducted mostly after news the UK economy grew by just 0.2 percent in the second quarter, rounding off a nine-month period of effective stagnation, also saw a tailing off in the probability of a rate hike this year.

    • About Ross

      "Ross Finley, Global Editor, Reuters Polls & Economic Data, commissions consensus forecasts and edits related news stories on everything from foreign exchange rates to stock markets to expectations on monetary policy from major central banks. He is based in London."
      Joined Reuters:
      1999
      Languages:
      English, French
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