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It’s Labor Day weekend in the US. We assume you have already left the office and are on your way to wherever it is that you have chosen to soak up the last rays of the summer sun. As such, we decided to look into what the holiday weekend will cost you. This is what FRED tells us (for comparison, the latest Consumer Price Index shows a 2% increase compared to last year):
Gas prices have been falling — although they haven’t fallen by as much as they did at this time of year last year.
In life, and especially at work, women often are afraid to break the rules. They are also afraid to fail in ways that can differ from men. Often, this holds them back in their careers. It isn’t an irrational position. Instead, it’s more likely a reaction to social pressures that tell them they will be more harshly judged than their male peers on their perceived missteps.
Over at the Harvard Business Review blog this week, Tara Sophia Mohr writes that she is skeptical of the “confidence gap” as a reason that women aren’t getting as far up on the career ladder as their male peers. She did a survey of professionals and asked them: if they looked at a job, but decided not to apply, why not? It usually wasn’t because they didn’t think they could do the job well, she says.
Burger King is moving to Canada. The American fast food chain is buying Tim Horton’s in an $11 billion cash-and-stock deal and will incorporate over the border. It’s an obvious tax inversion move. Or is it? According to Burger King’s CEO Daniel Schwartz, “We don’t expect there to be meaningful tax savings or a meaningful change in our tax rate.”
Or not. Matt Zeitlin reports that while that’s technically true today, “the company could reap significant tax savings if it continues to grow overseas.” The consensus is that this is definitely a tax inversion deal. Matt Levine says it’s an “immaculate inversion,” and writes, “the result is that Burger King will do an inversion where a majority of its U.S. shareholders won’t owe taxes.”
U.S. housing prices fell 0.2% in June from May, the latest data from the Case Shiller index shows. Compared to June last year, prices were up 8.1%, but the pace of the increase is still slowing down. May’s numbers showed a year-over-year change of positive 9.4%.
Cullen Roche noted that the yearly growth in housing prices was nearly 15% earlier in 2014. Calculated Risk’s Bill McBride says he’s “been expecting a slowdown in year-over-year prices as ‘For Sale’ inventory increases, and the slowdown is here!” June’s yearly increase was the smallest since December 2012 and June was the third-straight month of inflation-adjusted declines in housing prices.
It’s expensive to live in a big city. But what if it’s more expensive to live in a small city? The Citizen’s Budget Commission, a non-profit financial watchdog organization in New York, took a look at housing costs in US metro areas recently, then added in transportation costs. By these two metrics, New York City (and most dense metro areas with good public transportation) is one of the cheaper urban options.
This is what housing and transportation costs look like for a typical household in various urban areas around the country (New York is highlighted because that’s the CBC’s focus)*:
Europe is in trouble. “The combination of zombie banks, a rapidly aging population and, most importantly, too-tight money have pushed it into a ‘lowflationary’ trap that makes it hard to grow, and is even harder to escape from,” wrote Matt O’Brien, analyzing some of the most recent eurozone economic data earlier this month. The situation in Europe, he says, is worse than during the Great Depression. At Bruegel, Jérémie Cohen-Settonsays that “Europe appears stuck in a never-ending slump.”
This was the backdrop for Mario Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech on Friday on the state of unemployment in Europe. The ECB president urged a move away from austerity. “This could be done by a greater use of aggregate fiscal policy (having a common eurozone budget), and by looking at opportunities to substitute spending for tax cuts…” says Joe Weisenthal.
You’d be forgiven for thinking that Bank of America settles crisis-era mortgage cases with the U.S. government once a week or so. But the one this week, at $16.65 billion, is the big one. That is, it’s the biggest settlement to date, eclipsing not only previous settlements by the bank (which now come to a total of about $65 billion), but also all of the similar settlements reached by other banks. JP Morgan paid $13 billion and Citigroup $7 billion recently for similar reasons. The bank will pay “$9.65 billion in cash to resolve more than a dozen federal and state investigations, and provide $7 billion in help to struggling homeowners and communities,” according to Reuters.
Here’s our updated chart of the biggest bank settlements in history:
No individuals were charged, but Bank of America has admitted to some of its terrible pre- and post-crisis behavior. There are, as usual, some embarrassing emails involved. Here are some details from the Reuters story:
Things are a little crazy in the dollar store M&A world. Back in June, Dollar General (from here, General) thought about trying to buy its rival, Family Dollar (from here, Family). For various reasons, this didn’t happen. Instead, Dollar General’s other rival, Dollar Tree (from here, Tree), submitted a bid to buy Family for $8.5 billion several days after the meetings with General. Family accepted this, even though General came back with a $9.7 billion cash offer.
“Aside from offering all cash and a bigger, 29 percent premium to Family’s undisturbed share price, General may be a better fit with Family as both companies offer goods at various prices whereas Tree sticks with items that actually sell for $1 or less,” writes Kevin Allison. And yet.
Yesterday, the Islamic State released footage of the beheading of American journalist James Foley, who was captured in Syria two years ago. The group also says it may execute another American journalist depending on the next moves of President Obama.
Reuters reports that the gruesome decapitation video seemed to suggest that the Islamic State was opening a new anti-U.S. front that could result in attacks on U.S. interests or even American soil. “The stronger the war against the States gets, the better this will help hesitant brothers to join us,” said one Islamic militant.
West Africa’s Ebola crisis is not just about the death toll — it’s also an economic disaster in the making. The UN’s World Food Programme declared Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia to be at the highest level of food emergencies last week. The Thomson Reuters Foundation reports that “hunger is spreading fast as farmers die leaving crops rotting in fields. Truckers scared of the highly infectious disease halt deliveries. Shops close and major airlines have shut down routes, isolating large swathes of the countries.” A million people live in the Mano River region, the epicenter of the disease.
The spread of the disease is also, in part, an economic issue. Steven Hoffman and Julia Belluz at Vox write that annual healthcare spending in West Africa comes out to less than $100 per person, compared to $8,000 per person in the U.S. Ebola is spread through body fluid contact, and is thus relatively easy to avoid with the right precautionary measures. However, “aid workers on the ground… report that they don’t have access to the basics to protect themselves and their patients,” say Hoffman and Belluz.