Shane's Feed
Jan 3, 2014
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China’s debt problem

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China’s debt problem is back. Around Christmas, the seven-day repo rate, a benchmark used to gauge how much money is in the banking system, spiked to nearly 9%, then fell again to around half that after the Chinese central bank injected cash into the system through reverse repos.

Dec 20, 2013
via Counterparties

Top of the charts

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The onslaught of year-end lists is upon us, and in the econoblogosphere that means, among other things, charts. Lots of charts.

Dec 20, 2013
via Equals

The default gender

Andrew Gelman wrote something really smart over at the Monkey Cage the other day regarding Ross Douthat’s column on how having daughters makes you more conservative (emphasis mine):

But here’s my question: Why is it all about “the effect of daughters”? Why not “Does having sons make you support the Democrats?” It looks to me like having sons is considered the default … Lots of discussion of how having a girl might affect your attitudes on abortion, not so much discussion about how having a boy might affect your attitudes on issues such as gun control or war, which disproportionately affect young men. This is a real problem, when issues of girls and boys, men and women, are treated asymmetrically.

Dec 20, 2013
via Data Dive

The surprise uptick in 3rd quarter GDP revisions

U.S. GDP grew at its fastest pace in nearly two years in the third quarter of 2013 — at a 4.1% annual rate rather than the 3.6% previously reported — according to revised data released by the government Friday. Particularly, consumer spending was much higher than previously reported.

Here’s more detail from Reuters:

Business spending increased at a 4.8 percent rate instead of the 3.5 percent pace reported early this month. That reflected stronger growth in intellectual property products such as software, research and development, and entertainment.

Dec 20, 2013
via Counterparties

Miami Babel: A weekend in the art world’s most baffling, velvet-roped, celebrity-filled spectacle

PRESS RELEASE: “Hope you are having an amazing week. I wanted to send over some photos and information of Gerard Butler traveling from LAX to Miami mid last week for Art Basel.

Gerard is wearing PRPS Goods & Co. denim while he stopped to sign a few autographs and talk to fans before rushing to his gate to catch the flight. He was hurrying to Miami for the dinner he hosted at the W South Beach with Dom Pérignon.”

Dec 18, 2013
via Counterparties

The last Fedbye

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The Fed’s December meeting statement is out, and the big news is that the taper is here. More specifically, the FOMC announced it will reduce its asset purchases to $75 billion per month from $85 billion. This was Fed chairman Ben Bernanke’s last scheduled press conference before the Senate votes on the confirmation of his chosen successor, Janet Yellen, who is set to take over February 1. Having served as Fed chief since 2006, Bernanke’s term is effectively over, and it’s now time to consider his legacy.

Dec 16, 2013
via Data Dive

Syrian government forces bomb Aleppo

Reuters has the latest details on the bombing raid in Aleppo, Syria conducted by President Bashar al-Assad’s forces over the weekend:

Seventy-six people, including 28 children, were killed on Sunday when Syrian army helicopters dropped “barrel bombs” on the northern city of Aleppo, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said on Monday.

Dec 13, 2013
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The Fed Dream Team

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Stanley Fischer is likely to be tapped as the vice chair of the Fed once Janet Yellen takes the helm on February 1, according to Jon Hilsenrath. From 2005 until last June, Fischer served as the head of the Bank of Israel. “His broader résumé—MIT, IMF, Citigroup, Bank of Israel—places him very much at the center of the economic policy-making establishment of the past two decades, including the years leading up and after to the 2008 financial crisis”, says Hilsenrath.

Dec 12, 2013
via Data Dive

Where Obamacare enrollment stands in each state

As enrollment starts to increase, the government has started using manual work-arounds for the various software errors that plague HealthCare.gov. About 365,000 people have signed up for private insurance in the last two months, and 5 million visited the site in the first week of December, according to Reuters.

Here’s what enrollment looks like compared to the state-run exchanges:

Here’s more on what’s still missing from the site:

Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius described the manual procedure as a temporary measure for software applications that have not yet been built, tested and incorporated into the massive system behind the HealthCare.gov website.

Dec 10, 2013
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Mandela’s economic legacy

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Nelson Mandela’s economic legacy is intertwined with, and nearly as important as, his political one. Charles Kenny has the numbers: economic growth in South Africa rose to just under 3% between 1995 and 2003 (Mandela served as president from 1994 to 1999), up from roughly 1.5% in the 1980s. Average incomes in the country increased by 93%, secondary school enrollment increased to 70% from 50%, and “the proportion of the country that cooked using electricity from the mains climbed from 45 percent in 1993 to 73 percent by 2011”. Yet, inequality grew in the first decade after Mandela was elected in 1994.